Author Topic: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?  (Read 27008 times)

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Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #105 on: May 18, 2009, 02:58:25 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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At this point i'd just trade KG back to sota for Al Jefferson. Their is only positives from that.

except al doesn't play defense, nearly at all. Its the one thing people point to as to why he's not a true superstar, he won't or can't play low post D.

I wouldn't make that trade but not because Big Al wouldn't play defense. He's talented...he'd learn.

But I wouldn't make that trade because there has gotta be some morality. You don't take a guy for 2 years, then trade him back after he got you a chip. Rick James would call that coooold bloooodeed

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Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #106 on: May 18, 2009, 03:00:38 PM »

Offline crownsy

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At this point i'd just trade KG back to sota for Al Jefferson. Their is only positives from that.

except al doesn't play defense, nearly at all. Its the one thing people point to as to why he's not a true superstar, he won't or can't play low post D.

I wouldn't make that trade but not because Big Al wouldn't play defense. He's talented...he'd learn.

But I wouldn't make that trade because there has gotta be some morality. You don't take a guy for 2 years, then trade him back after he got you a chip. Rick James would call that coooold bloooodeed

why would he start to learn now? its been the knock on him for what, 5 years now?
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Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #107 on: May 18, 2009, 03:02:28 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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Will we get an offer good enough to pull the trigger? I seriously doubt it. I think in the end we'll play out next year and let Ray's contract expire. But to say that we couldn't get anyone of value for Ray is foolish.

I never said we couldn't get anyone of value for Ray. I said we would never get anyone of similar value for Ray.

He gives both an all star presence and a reducing salary to make it easier to resign Rondo.

If we trade him for 18 million dollars of long contracts, we might get talented players, but we give up any financial flexibility and I find it hard to believe that after seeing the Posey negotiation, that adding such massive contracts for such a long time would not have an impact on resigning Rondo.

Any other scenarios make even less sense. Let's talk about the recently mentioned 1 good player + 1 expiring contract deal: if Dallas is even remotely interested in salary relief, why would they include an expiring deal themselves in such a trade? Wouldn't it be easier to simply trade Josh Howard straight up for any other multitude of expiring deals, and then have that deal plus Stackhouse?

The fact is, you can play with the trade machine all day long and you won't come up with a realistic trade where we get fair value. You won't get anything like an all star PLUS financial flexibility that we get with Allen.

The only way Allen is traded is if he is completely unreasonable in his request for an extension.
You keep mentioning needing to keep Ray to maintain flexibility to sign Rondo but you are forgetting that Tony Allen, Scal, House and Pruitt all expire at the same time as Ray's contract. That's $9 million a year in more flexibility that you are conveniently forgetting. That is why Rondo's extension has nothing to do with Ray Allen.

Also, Ray will be 34 next year. There have never been a lot of shooting guards with great outside shots that stay at Ray's level much past 34 years of age. So you have to remember that signing Ray, even to less money, is probably a case of continuous diminishing returns. That is why parlaying Ray's contract now, while it is at it's peak in value, is important for extending any championship window.

Receiving back even slightly younger but very productive players while also filling in a need elsewhere is a viable alternative to transforming this team as time goes on. If done three years in a row with all three of the Big Three, the Celtics in three years could have an excellent group of different players in their primes without having to step all the way back to lotteryville to have another chance at titles.

I think long term thinking regarding these trades are what is needed along with good planning as to which players to hold onto and extend long term. Remember, holding onto Ray and letting him expire along with all the other expiring contracts in 2010 doesn't give us financial flexibility. During the summer of 2010 we will have, as of right now, 6 players with $46 million tied up. Considering the holds that need to be put in place for your free agents if you don't renounce them and the fact that Baby and Rondo should both be signing new deals, the Celtics are still going to be over the salary cap. So we could lose Ray, and all those other players and not be able to replace them properly because we are still over the cap.

It's better to retain the spending slots that already exist and attempt to keep you salary expenditures where they are but change the personnel through trades than it is to let players expire and then get into a bidding situation with other teams over them while being restricted in what we can offer because we are still over the cap.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #108 on: May 18, 2009, 03:03:49 PM »

Offline hpantazo

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At this point i'd just trade KG back to sota for Al Jefferson. Their is only positives from that.

except al doesn't play defense, nearly at all. Its the one thing people point to as to why he's not a true superstar, he won't or can't play low post D.

I wouldn't make that trade but not because Big Al wouldn't play defense. He's talented...he'd learn.

But I wouldn't make that trade because there has gotta be some morality. You don't take a guy for 2 years, then trade him back after he got you a chip. Rick James would call that coooold bloooodeed

why would he start to learn now? its been the knock on him for what, 5 years now?

agreed. I also think that big Al doesn't have the footspeed or athleticism to play great defense even if he could learn.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #109 on: May 18, 2009, 03:20:29 PM »

Offline WeMadeIt17

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I love Ray Allen on this team and realistically I see him staying.. BUT the only reason I could ever see him leaving is because of that comment Ainge made about moving bird or Mchale. So I am sure if Ray were traded Ainge would make the right deal.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #110 on: May 18, 2009, 03:43:27 PM »

Offline vagrantwade

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Doesn't it really depend on what he'll take for an extension to? I mean let's say DA looks at RA and figures he has 2/3 borderline All Star years and another 2/3 really good shooter role player years, for a total of 4-6 years left where he's a real contributor to the team and their quest for a championship. (Now if DA thinks Ray has one year left, maybe two the rest is moot, but why not let him play out the last year and leave - that's usually the cheepest way.)

So DA says 4 years left, I own next year at 20. "Ray will sign a 3 year extension at 8 per?" If Ray says yes, should they do it? (I don't know if that's allowed under current cap rules or not.) And if there is going to be a lock out next year and ownership expects to have either a no-cap year or a year with very owner friendly provisions, wouldn't that be a big deal to?



the scary thing is that ray's skills are declining, but we are still way over the cap, so if we re-sign ray as a role player, we have no way to add an impact player once ray declines to role player status.

How are Ray's skills declining? The more others score points, the lower his PPG is going to be naturally.

HE most definitely has not declined in skill from last year. The 51 point game should have taught you that.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #111 on: May 18, 2009, 04:11:51 PM »

Offline dlpin

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You keep mentioning needing to keep Ray to maintain flexibility to sign Rondo but you are forgetting that Tony Allen, Scal, House and Pruitt all expire at the same time as Ray's contract. That's $9 million a year in more flexibility that you are conveniently forgetting. That is why Rondo's extension has nothing to do with Ray Allen.

Also, Ray will be 34 next year. There have never been a lot of shooting guards with great outside shots that stay at Ray's level much past 34 years of age. So you have to remember that signing Ray, even to less money, is probably a case of continuous diminishing returns. That is why parlaying Ray's contract now, while it is at it's peak in value, is important for extending any championship window.

Receiving back even slightly younger but very productive players while also filling in a need elsewhere is a viable alternative to transforming this team as time goes on. If done three years in a row with all three of the Big Three, the Celtics in three years could have an excellent group of different players in their primes without having to step all the way back to lotteryville to have another chance at titles.

I think long term thinking regarding these trades are what is needed along with good planning as to which players to hold onto and extend long term. Remember, holding onto Ray and letting him expire along with all the other expiring contracts in 2010 doesn't give us financial flexibility. During the summer of 2010 we will have, as of right now, 6 players with $46 million tied up. Considering the holds that need to be put in place for your free agents if you don't renounce them and the fact that Baby and Rondo should both be signing new deals, the Celtics are still going to be over the salary cap. So we could lose Ray, and all those other players and not be able to replace them properly because we are still over the cap.

It's better to retain the spending slots that already exist and attempt to keep you salary expenditures where they are but change the personnel through trades than it is to let players expire and then get into a bidding situation with other teams over them while being restricted in what we can offer because we are still over the cap.

Regardless of who else is expiring, trading Allen reduces financial flexibility. Salary cap is not the only thing that matters. Luxury tax and salaries in general also do. Otherwise, letting Posey go wouldn't have happened.

Here is the bottom line: unless Ray Allen requires 15 mill or more (which he wouldnt get from anyone else), keeping him and extending him gives us a veteran all star SG AND about 6-8 mill in salary reduction for 2010.

Is there any realistic trade out there that accomplishes the same and is not completely unrealistic?

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #112 on: May 18, 2009, 04:49:54 PM »

Offline cordobes

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And in that case, wouldn't it make more sense for the team looking to do this to trade the 10-12 mill long term deal (which, by the way, is probably going to be around what Ray Allen gets for an extension) to simply trade that 10-12 mill contract for an expiring 10-12 million dollar contract, as opposed to including an expiring deal themselves in the mix?

And then, wouldn't any of the myriad of teams with 10-12 million dollars expiring contracts also be able to offer theirs if the player being mentioned is a talent anywhere the level of a Ray Allen?

That would be shooting ourselves in the foot, trading an 18 million dollar expiring contract for what a 10-12 million dollar expiring contract would get.

It depends solely on what the goal is.

Going back to Dallas -- they want to win a title. They're not rebuilding. They're not trying to save dollars ... they're trying to win.

If they believe Ray is the better player, at least for next season, then the trade has some value for them.

The trade has a secondary value for Dallas because the medium term future of their team, and Dirk's future, rests on 2010. Depending on where the cap falls that summer, they may to part with Josh Howard anyway in order to free up enough money to make a maximum contract offer. So Josh's possible better third to fifth seasons may not be of any value to them, but Ray's immediate quality is of high value to them.



Then there's other situations -- now I'm not a fan of this trade but it's a useful example -- A Golden State Warriors trade where they part with Jackson or Maggette as the contract. Perhaps that team can't get a 2010 expiring contract for those players because their contracts last 4-5 seasons instead of 2-3 seasons, and instead have to sweeten the offer by including a makeweight of some kind (in a Ray trade, that'll be the other expiring deal).


Re: Dallas, isn't Howard also an expiring? They'd basically be paying $8 millions (plus whatever they can get for Stackhouse's contract) to replace Josh with Ray. I don't think they do that.

I think there may be a few deals in that mold worth exploring - e.g. Jefferson, Ridnour, Charlie Bell, Elson, pick for Ray Allen, Tony Allen, Scal - but I don't see the teams pulling the trigger.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #113 on: May 18, 2009, 04:53:18 PM »

Offline Who

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Re: Dallas, isn't Howard also an expiring? They'd basically be paying $8 millions (plus whatever they can get for Stackhouse's contract) to replace Josh with Ray. I don't think they do that.

I think there may be a few deals in that mold worth exploring - e.g. Jefferson, Ridnour, Charlie Bell, Elson, pick for Ray Allen, Tony Allen, Scal - but I don't see the teams pulling the trigger.
If my memory serves me, Josh Howard has a team option for 10/11.

It only makes sense for Dallas if they believe Ray will be the better player in 09/10, then it's worth the extra money ... and if they believe they can't find a way to keep Josh while offering a max contract to someone in 2010.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #114 on: May 18, 2009, 04:54:39 PM »

Offline Mr October

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I honestly think Ray is going to be kept on this team for another 3 years. IF he were resigned at 16/2 or 20/2, he would still be an extremely valuable floor spreader after 2010.

Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #115 on: May 18, 2009, 05:46:00 PM »

Offline action781

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Ray Allen will retire as a Celtic, as will Kevin Garnett & Paul Pierce.

Together they brought us #17 and together, they may bring us another one.

We owe it too them, to retire as Celtics, if they so wish.

No, Ray doesn't pay to put the team on the floor every night.  The fans pay for this team to play every night.  The only people owed anything is the fans.  The celtics gave Ray $17M last season, therefore do not owe him anything else.
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Re: Has Ray Allen played his last game as a Celtic?
« Reply #116 on: May 18, 2009, 05:57:35 PM »

Offline greenwise

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I would only trade Ray for Shaq. Their salaries almost match, and Shaq has only one year remaining in his contract too.


http://www.realgm.com/src_checktrade.php?tradeid=5076611