With the national media predicting the Lakers almost unanimously, I thought it would be good to start a thread on our prediction and its basis.
I like the Celtics in 5. I know I may seem like a homer, but I really feel strongly that we will control this series, for several reasons.
I would love to believe your prediction but I feel it is much more likely the Lakers will beat us in 5. Let's take a look at your reasoning:
1. We will have plenty of rest going into the series. As an older team, that is an advantage
-true, but the Lakers are still the younger, more athletic team.
2. We clearly can take care of business on the road. What happened in ATL and CLE is now irrelevant. Beating Detroit in 6 is more impressive than beating SA in 5, in my book. Especially winning there twice.
- debatable. Just coz we won two in Detroit doesn't mean the losses at ATL and CLE didn't happen.
3. We are a much better defensive team.
- I think so too.
4. We match up very well personnel-wise.
-I disagree but don't have time to break it down matchup by matchup right now.
5. We are hungrier.
- how could you claim to know that even if it were true? You think the Lakers could have knocked off the Spurs in 5 without being famished?
6. We have home court advantage.
- thank god for that, but homecourt advantage is kind of warped in the finals thanks to the ridiculous 2-3-2 format. If u win the first two at home and then drop three on the road, that's an incredible amount of pressure to win those last two at home. If you drop one of the first two at home, you're very likely not to get back there for a game 6.
7. PP historically is a beast vs. the Lakers. He is also showing that in big moments, he is a star and a leader.
- he sure is, but Kobe is a beast vs. everyone
8. The pressure is on LA, with everyone taking them. The media has practically annointed them champs, the new dynasty. Yeah right.
- I want to believe this but I think the pressure of being a favorite is kind of imaginary. What do the Lakers care if people are picking them?
9. I'll take our big 3 over their big 3 any day.
- I love our top 3 but all-around they aren't as good as LA's. our best (KG) and their best (Kobe) is a wash. Our 2nd best (Pierce) and theirs (Gasol) is a wash. But I'd take Odom over Ray anyday. I love Ray, but he's a spot-up shooter who hasn't been able to hit consistently all postseason. Odom is a solid offensive player, a very good defender and a strong rebounder. If Odom's shot isn't falling, he can still help his team in other ways. You can't say that about Ray.
I feel like there is an if, and, but or "that's just not true" for each of your reasons ecxept maybe the one about us being a better defensive team. Of course, that could be a big one since the better defensive team does seem to win the finals a lot.