Author Topic: Powe vs. Glenn Davis  (Read 74843 times)

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Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #75 on: March 22, 2009, 12:43:09 PM »

Offline BillfromBoston

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What do you know, another Powe vs. Davis thread where nobody changes their opinion and the same arguments are re-stated over and over again...

I've got one thing to post in response to Sweet17 and Chris - Powe actually rates in the 80th percentile in efficiency when it comes to FINISHING on post plays - so he is better than above average, he is in the elite 20th percentile of all NBA post players....

...on that note, to Chris - Powe looked less impressive to begin this season because of the USAGE he was seeing - Powe lost almost 20% of his off-ball offense: cuts and P&R and replaced it with low post touches.

So, Powe started taking roughly 20% more of his shots against a SET DEFENSE while losing out on 20% of his easy baskets set up by others. A good portion of this was due to playing with Eddie House as the PG, while another part was by design of the team to take advantage of his post proficiency.

January was his low point as teams forced him to adjust his post game - since then he's started mixing in his hook and more fakes, which has led to better success on the block. He's also been playing with Rondo and Marbury, so his amount of easy baskets has increased, thus increasing rhythm as well.

Davis has developed nicely, but it should be apparent by the numbers and by what we've witnessed that Powe's defense is much, much more effective at the POWER FORWARD position than Glen Davis -- the metrics are staggering and for all you "visual only" people, you should have seen the struggles Davis has been having as a PF.

Its been Powe's defense that has been solid on the perimeter and on the block - his overall game as a PF is only really lacking the USAGE of a jump shot - a shot he took over 40 times last year and made at just under 40%, roughly where Davis is this year.

Davis has proven to be capable of consistent production this year and he is a fine role player who has value to this rotation for his ability to shoot the set shot and play two positions, no argument.

But it is also inarguable that Powe does far more of his damage against a SET DEFENDER as opposed to scoring primarily off uncontested shots. Both are good P&R and cut men, but Powe is a superior finisher around the basket by the numbers.

If the team has a mind to add a veteran 7 footer more long term, i'd have to go with Powe as the back up PF because of his low post ability, (almost non-existent in bench players) and his superior overall offensive and defensive showing at that particular position.

...I feel Powe will incorporate a set jumper eventually to complete his offensive game, but his post proficiency and ability to rebound at a high level are so much harder to find than a big who can shoot from 15-17...

But its no longer arguable that Glen Davis can play and can be a first big off the bench - he's proven he can harness a skill and be very effective - I just don't see him as a superior PF based on current skill sets and future development...Powe just has skills that are rarer to find and harder to teach IMO...


Bill,

Again nice post....here's a high five!!


My gut feeling is Davis is going to be here next year and Powe isn't.
The thing that gets me is if we take that last 4 or 5 games (excluding the Chicago game), Powe's numbers are pretty fantastic for a bench player.  I don't care who the games are against, how often do you see a bench player with as little regard as Powe go for 3 double doubles with 5 blocks and 14 foul shots in one of those games?  I'm not sure what Powe has to do to gain the respect of those who believe Davis is a better player. Granted, Davis has made great strides but he has never had games like Powe has. Perhaps in the intangibles department but I think Powe has also made great strides in his passing and defense. For awhile, I thought much of what Powe did was just sometimes attributable to luck......scoring against weaker opponents, getting garbage points, taking charges and hustling for rebounds.  Yet, the more I see him play and the more he gets to play, the more I see people underestimating his "basketball IQ" because it's not luck but the skill to be able to do the things he does without the necessary physical or athletic attributes as many others in the NBA possess.


I hear what you are saying, my speculation relies on a few key concepts:

- Powe is a less attention seeking personality than Davis - the latter of which specifically held fast to getting a 2 year deal so he could hit free agency faster
- Davis also has stated multiple times he wants to be an All Star
- the market isn't going to bear huge money this off-season for role players or even some wannabe "stars" who are 2nd or 3rd tier, so both should be affordable
-low post offense is hard to find and this team has very little outside Perk and Powe
-The team has hunted 2 straight years for a longer backup center
-Powe's production on both ends has been better at the 4 than Davis'
- scouting Powe for over 5 years, i know he can develop an in-game jump shot, thus making him a complete offensive player.
- in 3 years, KG's deal will be up and that gives Powe 3 seasons to prep for the potential job - he'd be 28 years old and ready for a 5 year run of prime basketball.

Now, Davis could develop into David West for all I know and start shooting off the dribble, hitting turn-arounds, and completely mastering the face-up game...but he hasn't shown enough of that yet for me to take the "potential" over the established production of Powe and the latter seems like the type who would settle for 20-25 mpg as the first big...

We'll see...

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #76 on: March 22, 2009, 12:44:16 PM »

Offline winsomme

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If powe was 2 inches taller he'd be once heck of a pf in the league, definitely starting material. But his lack of height(honestly he seems closer to 6'7) really gives him trouble scoring down low against taller defenders. Powe's main strength on offense is putbacks and also ability to catch and dunk. Other than that it pains me to try to watch him operate downlow(he really has poor footwork, no fakes, no moves).

That being said not sure there is another player in the nba that works as hard as powe and thats why i like his play.

Davis on the other hand about the same height has unique set of skills that is impossible to find in the nba. His versatility is incredible considering he can guard the likes of shaq but also finese oriented pf's using his footwork. His post game is pretty much non existant but for guys like powe and davis who don't have much height , a nice jumper will take them a long way. Lastly bbd has higher iq. Especially watch when either powe or davis play team defence davis seems bbd he is one step ahead (though powe doesn't make alot of mistakes) . Also i personally think a player who knows how to pass has high basketball which powe doesn't know how to do.


In any case this is a comparison thread so just proving my opinion why'd i like to keep davis instead of powe if it came down it. I really don't think we can keep both short pf's(playing time issues), and also can afford to keep either(going to get big raises)

I think this post is typical of the reason why these threads always denigrate into arguments.

I absolutely hear what you are trying to describe when it comes to Davis - it is the same stuff that originally drew me to him.

But my philosophy is based on tangible, consistent results, something that Davis has now shown with his jumper and his defense.  

There are tons of things i like about Davis' game and hope to watch develop into consistent elements that will make him the player I think he can be, but when you don't measure and weigh the body of work, you  fall victim to the "highlight reel" memory flaw, where you take a couple memorable great things and turn it into an argument for what a player "can" do as if he does it regularly.

Davis has taken the next step by locking down his J and knowing the team defense - but he isn't doing all these other things that are "nearly impossible to find" with any level of consistency to date.

On the other hand, your assessment of Powe's post game is just flat out wrong when weighed against the statistical evidence - he is one of the most efficient post players in the league and the arguably tops off the bench.

Now, an argument about situational effectiveness may be a deeper argument, but there is no argument that he is very, very good at scoring on the block and if we are looking at both players games and future development I absolutely love where Powe is at with his post game and expect even more variety down the road.

As far as defense is concerned - Powe is ahead of Davis as a PF - by the numbers or the eyes - he is quicker with his latteral movement and knows how to use angles to prevent penetration outside or in --- Davis' advantage in team defense is pretty negligable at this stage, yet most in this argument continue to evaluate these two based off where they started from LAST SEASON.

I have little doubt that Davis will be a long-term player in the NBA now - he's proven he can master a skill and develop a go-to game for himself...but Powe continues to be ahead of him from a production and efficiency standpoint right now and if the team is forced to pick just one to be the PF, I think Powe's no frills game has had the advantage in terms of consistency and results over the past two years...

...but again, this board has never succeeded in ever changing anyone's mind, so as always, we'll have to see how it plays out...

Both players can play and both have some chance to develop into starters for a playoff team - what the percentages are is what im trying to figure...

but BFB, when you're considering development and consistency, don't you think that you also have to incorporate what the team is asking the player to work on?

for instance, one could criticize Leon for not have his 15 jumper further along, but that's not really fair because that's not a shot they are really pushing for him to take.

on the other hand, like Doc said last night, they have been working long and hard on getting that shot for Baby because they know in their sets he is going to be wide open for that shot. and the work obviously has paid off.

as for Baby not yet being an efficient scorer in the post or better able to defend mobile PFs, the team isn't really asking him to do either of those things with regularity, so he simply isn't getting the time working on them.

basically the only time that Baby gets the ball in the offensive sets is in the high post to pass or kick-outs for this jumper he has been working on.

for Leon, they actually run plays for him on the block and dump the ball in to him. It's clearly something that they have been working on with him.

perosonally, i think the strengths and weaknesses of each of their games at this point is more a reflection of where they are putting their work in than an inability to do other things.

It's also why they don't have a duplicate set of skills and are BOTH useful to the team.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #77 on: March 22, 2009, 12:49:08 PM »

Offline BillfromBoston

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How these two are handled this summer will be a very interesting clue to whether Danny's going dumpster diving again this summer, or if they're going to make a serious effort to upgrade the bench.

I guarantee you that Ainge is going to offer good money to some high quality vets at either the 5 or the 1...he's saving the wing spot for Bill Walker to develop, which is smart because the team does indeed need a future...

This team will get somebody substantial in the off-season...

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #78 on: March 22, 2009, 12:55:30 PM »

Offline EJPLAYA

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I like both players and feel they both bring special things that a championship team needs.

Leon is tenacious and feisty and he'll battle you down low.

Big Baby can play pick'n roll as well as pick'n pop and his quickness is deceiving allowing him to get to the rim with finesse and a power.

One big negative for Leon is his poor free throw shooting.

Big Baby is also too short to play quality 4's and 5's...they just shoot right over him.

But both bring fire, passion, and energy to the team and that's probably their greatest strengths right now. We need their activity and hustle more than anything.

The first sentence is absolutely true, as is the second. The first half of the third is correct, but the problem BBD has is that once he gets to the rim with "finesse and power" he usually can't finish due to his horrific vertical. Every once in awhile he brings out a McHale type move and scores, but it is rare.

Leon isn't THAT bad of a free throw shooter and as he has gotten more consistent minutes this past month he has been much better shooting over 77% which is better than all but one of BBD's months this year. I would hardly say BBD's 74% vs 68% this year is that big of a deal, especially since Leon has it 174 of them to BBD's 93. I'll take the few percentage points lower and the 81 more makes due to Leon's ability to draw the foul, especially since a good deal of them are and-1 opportunities anyway. If he had more consistent minutes he would be more up in BBD's range.

I agree with the last paragraph completely as well. It would be nice to keep them both, but that probably isn't going to happen. If I HAVE to have only one there really isn't much of a debate. Powe is so far ahead of BBD because of his ability to score in the low blocks and rebound with the best of them. BBD does a few things well, but nothing great, and quite a few things he is pretty poor at.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #79 on: March 22, 2009, 12:56:54 PM »

Offline EJPLAYA

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It's fruitless to argue if an apple is better than an orange, or vice versa.

But now that stem cell research is eligible for government funding, maybe Ainge can get Boston's biotech geniuses to clone a player with Powe's low post game and relentlessness on the offensive glass but also with BBD's jumper, floor game and ability to defned the post.  You would also want to put Powe's insanely long arms on BBD's wide body.

Then we'd have an orapple that we could all discuss intelligently.

It is, unless you can only chose one of them. Then it is crucial to decide which you would rather have.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #80 on: March 22, 2009, 01:06:56 PM »

Offline BillfromBoston

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If powe was 2 inches taller he'd be once heck of a pf in the league, definitely starting material. But his lack of height(honestly he seems closer to 6'7) really gives him trouble scoring down low against taller defenders. Powe's main strength on offense is putbacks and also ability to catch and dunk. Other than that it pains me to try to watch him operate downlow(he really has poor footwork, no fakes, no moves).

That being said not sure there is another player in the nba that works as hard as powe and thats why i like his play.

Davis on the other hand about the same height has unique set of skills that is impossible to find in the nba. His versatility is incredible considering he can guard the likes of shaq but also finese oriented pf's using his footwork. His post game is pretty much non existant but for guys like powe and davis who don't have much height , a nice jumper will take them a long way. Lastly bbd has higher iq. Especially watch when either powe or davis play team defence davis seems bbd he is one step ahead (though powe doesn't make alot of mistakes) . Also i personally think a player who knows how to pass has high basketball which powe doesn't know how to do.


In any case this is a comparison thread so just proving my opinion why'd i like to keep davis instead of powe if it came down it. I really don't think we can keep both short pf's(playing time issues), and also can afford to keep either(going to get big raises)

I think this post is typical of the reason why these threads always denigrate into arguments.

I absolutely hear what you are trying to describe when it comes to Davis - it is the same stuff that originally drew me to him.

But my philosophy is based on tangible, consistent results, something that Davis has now shown with his jumper and his defense.  

There are tons of things i like about Davis' game and hope to watch develop into consistent elements that will make him the player I think he can be, but when you don't measure and weigh the body of work, you  fall victim to the "highlight reel" memory flaw, where you take a couple memorable great things and turn it into an argument for what a player "can" do as if he does it regularly.

Davis has taken the next step by locking down his J and knowing the team defense - but he isn't doing all these other things that are "nearly impossible to find" with any level of consistency to date.

On the other hand, your assessment of Powe's post game is just flat out wrong when weighed against the statistical evidence - he is one of the most efficient post players in the league and the arguably tops off the bench.

Now, an argument about situational effectiveness may be a deeper argument, but there is no argument that he is very, very good at scoring on the block and if we are looking at both players games and future development I absolutely love where Powe is at with his post game and expect even more variety down the road.

As far as defense is concerned - Powe is ahead of Davis as a PF - by the numbers or the eyes - he is quicker with his latteral movement and knows how to use angles to prevent penetration outside or in --- Davis' advantage in team defense is pretty negligable at this stage, yet most in this argument continue to evaluate these two based off where they started from LAST SEASON.

I have little doubt that Davis will be a long-term player in the NBA now - he's proven he can master a skill and develop a go-to game for himself...but Powe continues to be ahead of him from a production and efficiency standpoint right now and if the team is forced to pick just one to be the PF, I think Powe's no frills game has had the advantage in terms of consistency and results over the past two years...

...but again, this board has never succeeded in ever changing anyone's mind, so as always, we'll have to see how it plays out...

Both players can play and both have some chance to develop into starters for a playoff team - what the percentages are is what im trying to figure...

but BFB, when you're considering development and consistency, don't you think that you also have to incorporate what the team is asking the player to work on?

for instance, one could criticize Leon for not have his 15 jumper further along, but that's not really fair because that's not a shot they are really pushing for him to take.

on the other hand, like Doc said last night, they have been working long and hard on getting that shot for Baby because they know in their sets he is going to be wide open for that shot. and the work obviously has paid off.

as for Baby not yet being an efficient scorer in the post or better able to defend mobile PFs, the team isn't really asking him to do either of those things with regularity, so he simply isn't getting the time working on them.

basically the only time that Baby gets the ball in the offensive sets is in the high post to pass or kick-outs for this jumper he has been working on.

for Leon, they actually run plays for him on the block and dump the ball in to him. It's clearly something that they have been working on with him.

perosonally, i think the strengths and weaknesses of each of their games at this point is more a reflection of where they are putting their work in than an inability to do other things.

It's also why they don't have a duplicate set of skills and are BOTH useful to the team.

I agree with this completely - both players have been asked to focus on niche elements of their skill sets in order to carve out the most effective role for the team.

However, it tells me a lot that it was Davis that was chosen for jump shooting and Powe for low post - over the 3 years Powe has played and 2 for Davis,  their efficiency metrics in the post have been a landslide in favor of Powe.

As jumpshooters Powe as superior to Davis' metrics up until about the first of this year,  when Davis really got a handle on it through his hard work and repetition.

Looking at the results from past history and then looking at their physical attributes, I just can't see Davis ever matching what Powe can do in the post because the block usually relies on length and lift - two things that Davis doesn't have.

The jumper i have much more faith in Powe developing because of his track history with it before this season and the relative ease of which one can develop that shot barring massive fundamental flaws, which Powe doesn't have.

Now, a PF doesn't need a pure post game to score in the post. The threat of Davis' jumper should allow him to put the ball on the deck and take his man into the paint. He could be a brilliant offensive player in time.

I think Powe can be a great offensive player as well and I think his post game is only about 1/3 to 1/2 of what it will be in a couple of years - look to Perk for support of that optimism...hard work pays off.

I just like that Powe is already in 100% physical condition and can score against set defenders at a high rate. He also gets to the line top 10 in the leauge and rebounds 8th best amongst PFs...there are just so many measurable areas that Powe is already elite in, I like his potential a lot.

If Davis was willing to stay on for another 3 years and be a backup C/F with Powe and then the best of the two takes KGs job afterward and the other is first big off the bench, that would be awesome...I just think its not going to happen.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #81 on: March 22, 2009, 01:18:48 PM »

Offline BudweiserCeltic

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- Powe is a less attention seeking personality than Davis - the latter of which specifically held fast to getting a 2 year deal so he could hit free agency faster
- Davis also has stated multiple times he wants to be an All Star

- I'm pretty sure we didn't have anything left in the MLE so a 3 year deal wasn't offered to him. From what I remember he simply made comments afterward that he doesn't mind the 2 year deal because it would allow him to make better money faster. It doesn't mean that he wouldn't have taken a 3 year deal back then had it been offered.

- Who cares if he wants to be an All-Star?

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #82 on: March 22, 2009, 01:24:35 PM »

Offline winsomme

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I agree with this completely - both players have been asked to focus on niche elements of their skill sets in order to carve out the most effective role for the team.

However, it tells me a lot that it was Davis that was chosen for jump shooting and Powe for low post - over the 3 years Powe has played and 2 for Davis,  their efficiency metrics in the post have been a landslide in favor of Powe.

As jumpshooters Powe as superior to Davis' metrics up until about the first of this year,  when Davis really got a handle on it through his hard work and repetition.

Looking at the results from past history and then looking at their physical attributes, I just can't see Davis ever matching what Powe can do in the post because the block usually relies on length and lift - two things that Davis doesn't have.

The jumper i have much more faith in Powe developing because of his track history with it before this season and the relative ease of which one can develop that shot barring massive fundamental flaws, which Powe doesn't have.

Now, a PF doesn't need a pure post game to score in the post. The threat of Davis' jumper should allow him to put the ball on the deck and take his man into the paint. He could be a brilliant offensive player in time.

I think Powe can be a great offensive player as well and I think his post game is only about 1/3 to 1/2 of what it will be in a couple of years - look to Perk for support of that optimism...hard work pays off.

I just like that Powe is already in 100% physical condition and can score against set defenders at a high rate. He also gets to the line top 10 in the leauge and rebounds 8th best amongst PFs...there are just so many measurable areas that Powe is already elite in, I like his potential a lot.

If Davis was willing to stay on for another 3 years and be a backup C/F with Powe and then the best of the two takes KGs job afterward and the other is first big off the bench, that would be awesome...I just think its not going to happen.

i guess the only things i would add here are that Leon was already a year in to developing the low post game that he has now when Baby arrived. Leon showed the ability to get to and finish at the rim early on and the team clearly wanted to continue his work in that area because it was already paying off.

so maybe it's not so much a slight of Baby as it is an acknowledgment of the progress already made by Leon before Baby even got here.

plus, Baby had a nice face-up jumper in college, so getting him to be able to knock it down as a pro made a lot of sense too.

as for physical attributes, while i agree that Baby doesn't have the length or lift, he creates his space with his wide bottom and like i said earlier, he has great balance for a guy his size and finishes well with both hands (an ability that IMO shouldn't be underestimated).

anyway, i too would like to have both these guys back because i have really enjoyed watching them both develop as players.

not to be lost in all of this, if we add in the development of Perk and Big Al, i think we can safely say we have the best big man coach in the NBA...

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #83 on: March 22, 2009, 01:29:50 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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Why can't we all just agree that these two guys, for being as close in size as they are, have about as different and opposite a set of skills as two young PFs can have and that what's in the best interest of the Boston Celtics is to have/retain both players and have Doc be given the benefit of using their combined versatility as much and as well as he does. I love Powe low post game and his rebounding instincts. I love Baby's outside shooting and physical nature with players that are bigger than him.

I just don't understand the need for the constant popularity threads pitting one player versus the other.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #84 on: March 22, 2009, 01:31:50 PM »

Offline Brickowski

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- Powe is a less attention seeking personality than Davis - the latter of which specifically held fast to getting a 2 year deal so he could hit free agency faster
- Davis also has stated multiple times he wants to be an All Star

- I'm pretty sure we didn't have anything left in the MLE so a 3 year deal wasn't offered to him. From what I remember he simply made comments afterward that he doesn't mind the 2 year deal because it would allow him to make better money faster. It doesn't mean that he wouldn't have taken a 3 year deal back then had it been offered.

- Who cares if he wants to be an All-Star?

Davis was offered a three year deal but turned it down.  Calculated risk by his agent that looks like it will pay off.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #85 on: March 22, 2009, 01:55:16 PM »

Offline Bankshot

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- Powe is a less attention seeking personality than Davis - the latter of which specifically held fast to getting a 2 year deal so he could hit free agency faster
- Davis also has stated multiple times he wants to be an All Star

- I'm pretty sure we didn't have anything left in the MLE so a 3 year deal wasn't offered to him. From what I remember he simply made comments afterward that he doesn't mind the 2 year deal because it would allow him to make better money faster. It doesn't mean that he wouldn't have taken a 3 year deal back then had it been offered.

- Who cares if he wants to be an All-Star?

I care.  I'm glad he wants to be an all-star.  It just means that he's going to work that much harder, which will greatly benefit the Celtics should we re-sign him, which I hope we will. ;D
"If somebody would have told you when he was playing with the Knicks that Nate Robinson was going to change a big time game and he was going to do it mostly because of his defense, somebody would have got slapped."  Mark Jackson

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #86 on: March 22, 2009, 02:39:50 PM »

Offline expobear

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If powe was 2 inches taller he'd be once heck of a pf in the league, definitely starting material. But his lack of height(honestly he seems closer to 6'7) really gives him trouble scoring down low against taller defenders. Powe's main strength on offense is putbacks and also ability to catch and dunk. Other than that it pains me to try to watch him operate downlow(he really has poor footwork, no fakes, no moves).

That being said not sure there is another player in the nba that works as hard as powe and thats why i like his play.

Davis on the other hand about the same height has unique set of skills that is impossible to find in the nba. His versatility is incredible considering he can guard the likes of shaq but also finese oriented pf's using his footwork. His post game is pretty much non existant but for guys like powe and davis who don't have much height , a nice jumper will take them a long way. Lastly bbd has higher iq. Especially watch when either powe or davis play team defence davis seems bbd he is one step ahead (though powe doesn't make alot of mistakes) . Also i personally think a player who knows how to pass has high basketball which powe doesn't know how to do.


In any case this is a comparison thread so just proving my opinion why'd i like to keep davis instead of powe if it came down it. I really don't think we can keep both short pf's(playing time issues), and also can afford to keep either(going to get big raises)

I think this post is typical of the reason why these threads always denigrate into arguments.

I absolutely hear what you are trying to describe when it comes to Davis - it is the same stuff that originally drew me to him.

But my philosophy is based on tangible, consistent results, something that Davis has now shown with his jumper and his defense.  

There are tons of things i like about Davis' game and hope to watch develop into consistent elements that will make him the player I think he can be, but when you don't measure and weigh the body of work, you  fall victim to the "highlight reel" memory flaw, where you take a couple memorable great things and turn it into an argument for what a player "can" do as if he does it regularly.

Davis has taken the next step by locking down his J and knowing the team defense - but he isn't doing all these other things that are "nearly impossible to find" with any level of consistency to date.

On the other hand, your assessment of Powe's post game is just flat out wrong when weighed against the statistical evidence - he is one of the most efficient post players in the league and the arguably tops off the bench.

Now, an argument about situational effectiveness may be a deeper argument, but there is no argument that he is very, very good at scoring on the block and if we are looking at both players games and future development I absolutely love where Powe is at with his post game and expect even more variety down the road.

As far as defense is concerned - Powe is ahead of Davis as a PF - by the numbers or the eyes - he is quicker with his latteral movement and knows how to use angles to prevent penetration outside or in --- Davis' advantage in team defense is pretty negligable at this stage, yet most in this argument continue to evaluate these two based off where they started from LAST SEASON.

I have little doubt that Davis will be a long-term player in the NBA now - he's proven he can master a skill and develop a go-to game for himself...but Powe continues to be ahead of him from a production and efficiency standpoint right now and if the team is forced to pick just one to be the PF, I think Powe's no frills game has had the advantage in terms of consistency and results over the past two years...

...but again, this board has never succeeded in ever changing anyone's mind, so as always, we'll have to see how it plays out...

Both players can play and both have some chance to develop into starters for a playoff team - what the percentages are is what im trying to figure...

but BFB, when you're considering development and consistency, don't you think that you also have to incorporate what the team is asking the player to work on?

for instance, one could criticize Leon for not have his 15 jumper further along, but that's not really fair because that's not a shot they are really pushing for him to take.

on the other hand, like Doc said last night, they have been working long and hard on getting that shot for Baby because they know in their sets he is going to be wide open for that shot. and the work obviously has paid off.

as for Baby not yet being an efficient scorer in the post or better able to defend mobile PFs, the team isn't really asking him to do either of those things with regularity, so he simply isn't getting the time working on them.

basically the only time that Baby gets the ball in the offensive sets is in the high post to pass or kick-outs for this jumper he has been working on.

for Leon, they actually run plays for him on the block and dump the ball in to him. It's clearly something that they have been working on with him.

perosonally, i think the strengths and weaknesses of each of their games at this point is more a reflection of where they are putting their work in than an inability to do other things.

It's also why they don't have a duplicate set of skills and are BOTH useful to the team.

I agree with this completely - both players have been asked to focus on niche elements of their skill sets in order to carve out the most effective role for the team.

However, it tells me a lot that it was Davis that was chosen for jump shooting and Powe for low post - over the 3 years Powe has played and 2 for Davis,  their efficiency metrics in the post have been a landslide in favor of Powe.

As jumpshooters Powe as superior to Davis' metrics up until about the first of this year,  when Davis really got a handle on it through his hard work and repetition.

Looking at the results from past history and then looking at their physical attributes, I just can't see Davis ever matching what Powe can do in the post because the block usually relies on length and lift - two things that Davis doesn't have.

The jumper i have much more faith in Powe developing because of his track history with it before this season and the relative ease of which one can develop that shot barring massive fundamental flaws, which Powe doesn't have.

Now, a PF doesn't need a pure post game to score in the post. The threat of Davis' jumper should allow him to put the ball on the deck and take his man into the paint. He could be a brilliant offensive player in time.

I think Powe can be a great offensive player as well and I think his post game is only about 1/3 to 1/2 of what it will be in a couple of years - look to Perk for support of that optimism...hard work pays off.

I just like that Powe is already in 100% physical condition and can score against set defenders at a high rate. He also gets to the line top 10 in the leauge and rebounds 8th best amongst PFs...there are just so many measurable areas that Powe is already elite in, I like his potential a lot.

If Davis was willing to stay on for another 3 years and be a backup C/F with Powe and then the best of the two takes KGs job afterward and the other is first big off the bench, that would be awesome...I just think its not going to happen.


Bill,

I followed Powe in college quite a bit and I don't ever recall him having a jumpshot. His offensive game was strictly within 10 feet of the basket. I'm glad to hear you think he has the ability to shoot the jumper which would make him harder to stop if he develops that as part of his game but I don't ever recall him shooting much from 15 feet out. And when he did, it didn't go in very regularly.

I didn't see Leon play at all as a rookie for the Celtics so he may have shot more from the outside and perhaps this is where you're getting your assessment of Powe's jumpshooting ability.  If you followed Powe for 5 years, you would have watched him in college. I don't think Powe's coach in college did much for his development....he just told him to go out and score and grab rebounds. There was no need to develop a jumper, as far as his coach was concerned.

Interested to hear your comments.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #87 on: March 22, 2009, 03:47:14 PM »

Offline LB3533

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It really doesn't matter that Powe can score in the low post.

The way we run our offense isn't designed to score in the post....

Our offense is "sharing the ball" with ball movement.

The Post Offense is not what we do.

So Powe's strength is not being fully utilized.

I will tell you 2 things why we get the ball into the post for KG.

1.) KG will sometimes draw a double team.

2.) Even if KG doesn't draw a double he can make a pretty pass to a cutting open teammate.

Powe can't do either of these things.

If our team is healthy....no team in their right mind will gameplan to double Leon Powe. (This was how Powe scored a ton of his points from plays where he was left open because opponents were doubling other Celtics).

BBD on the other hand doesn't need to play in the post to score, because he can:

1.) make the jump shot

2.) make a nice pass if he cuts to the hoop (he doesn't have to necessarily finish because he can pass the rock).

Within our offense Powe is lacking, (whether it is the usage of a midrange jumper, or whatever the case maybe) he's not shooting the jumper so it is not in the equation. And Powe is also not adept at drawing a double team nor is he a great passer.

Within our offense BBD has the clear advantage with his jump shot and his passing.

A 3rd disadvantage for Powe is...now, recently, even Perk is starting to show his inside scoring ability.

On offense, Powe 's skill set and strengths are slowly becoming unnecessary or redundant (if we are healthy team).

EDIT: So IMHO, Powe is more likely to be off the team in the future. Other teams will find Powe more attractive and he may command a higher salary because of his attractiveness. BBD on the other hand is more of the prototype player our offense is designed for. So Baby will be kept.

Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #88 on: March 22, 2009, 04:18:45 PM »

Offline kozlodoev

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- Powe is a less attention seeking personality than Davis - the latter of which specifically held fast to getting a 2 year deal so he could hit free agency faster
- Davis also has stated multiple times he wants to be an All Star

- I'm pretty sure we didn't have anything left in the MLE so a 3 year deal wasn't offered to him. From what I remember he simply made comments afterward that he doesn't mind the 2 year deal because it would allow him to make better money faster. It doesn't mean that he wouldn't have taken a 3 year deal back then had it been offered.

- Who cares if he wants to be an All-Star?

Davis was offered a three year deal but turned it down.  Calculated risk by his agent that looks like it will pay off.
I don't think so. To offer 3-year deals to second-round picks you have to use the MLE. By the time Davis signed, all we had no MLE left (I think it was all spent on Pruitt's 3-year deal), so he could only sign for 2 years.
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Re: Powe vs. Glenn Davis
« Reply #89 on: March 23, 2009, 09:47:50 AM »

Offline Bankshot

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It really doesn't matter that Powe can score in the low post.

The way we run our offense isn't designed to score in the post....

Our offense is "sharing the ball" with ball movement.

The Post Offense is not what we do.

So Powe's strength is not being fully utilized.

I will tell you 2 things why we get the ball into the post for KG.

1.) KG will sometimes draw a double team.

2.) Even if KG doesn't draw a double he can make a pretty pass to a cutting open teammate.

Powe can't do either of these things.

If our team is healthy....no team in their right mind will gameplan to double Leon Powe. (This was how Powe scored a ton of his points from plays where he was left open because opponents were doubling other Celtics).

BBD on the other hand doesn't need to play in the post to score, because he can:

1.) make the jump shot

2.) make a nice pass if he cuts to the hoop (he doesn't have to necessarily finish because he can pass the rock).

Within our offense Powe is lacking, (whether it is the usage of a midrange jumper, or whatever the case maybe) he's not shooting the jumper so it is not in the equation. And Powe is also not adept at drawing a double team nor is he a great passer.

Within our offense BBD has the clear advantage with his jump shot and his passing.

A 3rd disadvantage for Powe is...now, recently, even Perk is starting to show his inside scoring ability.

On offense, Powe 's skill set and strengths are slowly becoming unnecessary or redundant (if we are healthy team).

EDIT: So IMHO, Powe is more likely to be off the team in the future. Other teams will find Powe more attractive and he may command a higher salary because of his attractiveness. BBD on the other hand is more of the prototype player our offense is designed for. So Baby will be kept.

Good post. I agree that Perk's development could make Powe redundant and Baby's versatile game fits more with what the Celtics do.
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