Author Topic: Impact at the Rim  (Read 1120 times)

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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #15 on: Yesterday at 11:14:24 AM »

Offline Ilikesports17

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Or maybe, demand from the coach that the players need to attack the rim more (maybe 75% of the time) and stop settling for 3s 24/7.
a change in coaching philosophy (or better yet, a change in the coach) should have been the approach this offseason before giving away our second best player

Any player should be playing to his strength, not to his weakness. Joe sometimes did the opposite with his rigid 3pt heavy system. This was sheer stupidity.
brown led the entire NBA in 2 point field goal attempts

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #16 on: Yesterday at 11:35:55 AM »

Online Vermont Green

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In 2024/25 BOS had 23.5 fga/gm <5 ft, making 67.2%. In 2025/26, it was 21.9 fga/gm <5 ft and 68.9%.  At or near the bottom for fga <5, but near the best for % made.  More Tatum in 2024/25 did result in more at rim attempts over more Brown in 2025/26, but not sure this is a direct result.

For fta, in 2024/25, 19.1 and in 2025/26 18.7. In both cases, worst in the league.  I see the Brown gets a bad whistle excuse, and there could be some truth to this, but the raw stats are what they are. Bad in general in generating fta, and a little worse in Browns season.

BOS does not have a low post guy but that is not the only way to get pts at the rim. In 2024/25 BOS got 14.2 2nd chance pts and 16.9 in 2025/26.  Nice improvement there.   Not much difference for pts of TO or fast break pts, ranking low in the league for both.

I do not know if there is a magic number/ratio for how many shots at the rim a team should get. Modern defenses are set up to prevent drives. It would be good to draw more fouls. But forcing more drives sounds good but it is not that simple. Just move the ball, move without the ball, and take what the defense gives you. 
« Last Edit: Yesterday at 12:50:34 PM by Vermont Green »

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #17 on: Yesterday at 01:17:25 PM »

Offline Indocelts

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Or maybe, demand from the coach that the players need to attack the rim more (maybe 75% of the time) and stop settling for 3s 24/7.
a change in coaching philosophy (or better yet, a change in the coach) should have been the approach this offseason before giving away our second best player

Any player should be playing to his strength, not to his weakness. Joe sometimes did the opposite with his rigid 3pt heavy system. This was sheer stupidity.
brown led the entire NBA in 2 point field goal attempts

I'm talking about JT and his 10 3PTAs per game.

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #18 on: Yesterday at 01:54:35 PM »

Online Silas

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Or maybe, demand from the coach that the players need to attack the rim more (maybe 75% of the time) and stop settling for 3s 24/7.
a change in coaching philosophy (or better yet, a change in the coach) should have been the approach this offseason before giving away our second best player

Any player should be playing to his strength, not to his weakness. Joe sometimes did the opposite with his rigid 3pt heavy system. This was sheer stupidity.
brown led the entire NBA in 2 point field goal attempts

This got me to look at last season stats for 2pt shooting % not including dunks..Mid-Range Field Goal Percentage (FG%):

1. Rui Hachimura  (Lakers) - 56.0%
2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) - 53.4%
3. T.J. McConnell (Pacers) - 52.9%
4. Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) - 51.0%
5. Devin Vassell (Spurs) - 50.0%
6. Kevin Durant (Suns) - 49.9%
7. Jalen Brunson (Knicks) - 49.8%
8. Joel Embiid (76ers) - 48.9%
9. Cade Cunningham (Pistons) - 48.0%
10. DeMar DeRozan (Kings) - 48.0%
......
16. Jaylen Brown (Celtics) - 47.0%
17. Derrick White (Celtics) - 46.7%
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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #19 on: Yesterday at 02:16:58 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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So does anybody have any theories on why this needs went unaddressed?

It's weird that we traded JB, who at least contributes in this category, but didn't get anybody in return who will help attack the rim.  We also didn't add anybody in free agency who does so.
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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #20 on: Yesterday at 03:06:13 PM »

Online SparzWizard

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So does anybody have any theories on why this needs went unaddressed?

It's weird that we traded JB, who at least contributes in this category, but didn't get anybody in return who will help attack the rim.  We also didn't add anybody in free agency who does so.

"Optionalities" according to Brad Stevens


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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #21 on: Yesterday at 08:20:48 PM »

Offline smicker16

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So does anybody have any theories on why this needs went unaddressed?

It's weird that we traded JB, who at least contributes in this category, but didn't get anybody in return who will help attack the rim.  We also didn't add anybody in free agency who does so.

I think they thought they could get Giannis and likely felt he was the only option they had to competing next year. When that failed they had no backup plan and did not feel there was a clear answer to this or getting the team to be able to compete so it became more about setting themselves up for hopefully some luck down the road.

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #22 on: Yesterday at 09:15:12 PM »

Offline Goldstar88

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So does anybody have any theories on why this needs went unaddressed?

It's weird that we traded JB, who at least contributes in this category, but didn't get anybody in return who will help attack the rim.  We also didn't add anybody in free agency who does so.

I think they thought they could get Giannis and likely felt he was the only option they had to competing next year. When that failed they had no backup plan and did not feel there was a clear answer to this or getting the team to be able to compete so it became more about setting themselves up for hopefully some luck down the road.

I agree. Really sucks that Brad dropped the ball.
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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #23 on: Today at 10:45:18 AM »

Offline Goldstar88

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Payton Pritchard's goals for improving his game: "Maybe getting better at how to draw fouls now, not being a flopper but drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line more. I think I need to get better at that. It is technique stuff, learning when to draw the foul when they are being handsy. I have been working on it, and just adding to little footwork stuff and becoming even more efficient in that area, being a better finisher."
YouTube
Quoting Nick from the now locked Ime thread:
Quote
At some point you have to blame the performance on the court on the players on the court. Every loss is not the coach's fault and every win isn't because of the players.

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #24 on: Today at 11:39:43 AM »

Online Silas

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Payton Pritchard's goals for improving his game: "Maybe getting better at how to draw fouls now, not being a flopper but drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line more. I think I need to get better at that. It is technique stuff, learning when to draw the foul when they are being handsy. I have been working on it, and just adding to little footwork stuff and becoming even more efficient in that area, being a better finisher."
YouTube


Last season Payton shot an incredible 77.4% on non-restricted paint shots (floaters and short runners), ranking 3rd in the entire NBA behind only Jokić and Durant.  PP is amazing around the basket especially for a 6'1" player.
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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #25 on: Today at 12:56:47 PM »

Offline No Nickname

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It did feel like this was setting the stage for a Giannis trade and trying to get the fanbase to understand why they wanted to trade JB for him. When that fell through they had no plan B clearly.

I think our offense will be the same but maybe with some more rim running from Robinson and Queta. More offensive boards but think that may lead to more 3s actually.

It did seem for a moment in time that the Celtics were going to get Giannis and that we'd be starting this season with 2 top 5 (top 7) NBA players in the starting lineup.  Of course there'd be naysayers claiming that our team's future is reliant on an injury prone Giannis. But other chips probably would have fallen in our favor had they got Giannis and we'd undoubtedly be one of the top three favorites to win it all.   

If it is true, something I neither fully believe or dismiss, that Brad could have had GA by sending Hugo or Baylor (or both) - then that was either a colossal mistake, or Brad has some seriously high expectations for these two - or one of them.

I won't defend the Sixers trade, nor let Brad off the hook entirely for botching the negotiations with the Bucks for Giannis, but here's a potential scenario for how this went down.

And Neurotic Guy, I see that you say you neither fully believe or dismiss the Baylor/Hugo story, so I'm not trying to contradict you here.  I'm just laying out a scenario in general about this potential offer that never happened.

According to Shams the Celtics were offering:

-Jaylen Brown
-2026 1st Round Pick (pick made by Celts and sent to Bucks)
-2027 1st Round Pick (probably between 27-30 if Giannis is a success here)

That's where things get uncomfortable.  These two 1st rounders are most likely both going be between #27 - #30.  Not very attractive.

And because of the Jrue Holiday trade the Celtics owe Portland a '29 1st rounder, meaning their next available 1st rounder they can trade isn't until 2031 due to the Stepien Rule.  That would be six drafts into the future, and the Bucks' GM may not even be there then.

Brad knew those two first rounders in his initial offer weren't great. So he was probably willing to throw in:

-Baylor or Hugo
-Pick-swap in 2028 (which probably wouldn't convey based on team projections)
-Pick-swap in 2030 (too far in the future to move the needle for this Bucks' GM)

But most savvy negotiators hold out until the last moment on your true best-and-last offer.  Why overpay if you don't have to?

And Brad probably looked at the pu-pu platter that the Heat were offering and thought Jaylen, plus two picks, was at the very least equivalent.  The Bucks could always trade Jaylen later if they wanted and get a few 1st rounders (in theory, back then at least).

So he very well might have said "Here's our best offer" knowing that Miami had nothing else to add, the Heat's offer was maxed out. 

Brad probably sat there waiting for the Bucks to call back one more time and say "Ok, final chance, add Baylor or Hugo and a pick swap or we're moving on to the Heat."

And Brad probably would have done it.  But the Bucks never called back. Brad's bluff blew up in his face, they believed him when he said "This is our best offer."

You have to know who you're negotiating with. The Bucks' front office may not have understood the "hail mary last offer" ploy.  So Brad was gobsmacked that they took the Heat's offer. 

So I won't say definitively that "Brad refused to give up Baylor or Hugo."  There's a greater than zero percent chance that's not true.  In fact I'd say it's almost assuredly not true.  He just didn't expect the Bucks to give up when they did.



 






Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #26 on: Today at 01:02:13 PM »

Online SparzWizard

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It did feel like this was setting the stage for a Giannis trade and trying to get the fanbase to understand why they wanted to trade JB for him. When that fell through they had no plan B clearly.

I think our offense will be the same but maybe with some more rim running from Robinson and Queta. More offensive boards but think that may lead to more 3s actually.

It did seem for a moment in time that the Celtics were going to get Giannis and that we'd be starting this season with 2 top 5 (top 7) NBA players in the starting lineup.  Of course there'd be naysayers claiming that our team's future is reliant on an injury prone Giannis. But other chips probably would have fallen in our favor had they got Giannis and we'd undoubtedly be one of the top three favorites to win it all.   

If it is true, something I neither fully believe or dismiss, that Brad could have had GA by sending Hugo or Baylor (or both) - then that was either a colossal mistake, or Brad has some seriously high expectations for these two - or one of them.

I won't defend the Sixers trade, nor let Brad off the hook entirely for botching the negotiations with the Bucks for Giannis, but here's a potential scenario for how this went down.

And Neurotic Guy, I see that you say you neither fully believe or dismiss the Baylor/Hugo story, so I'm not trying to contradict you here.  I'm just laying out a scenario in general about this potential offer that never happened.

According to Shams the Celtics were offering:

-Jaylen Brown
-2026 1st Round Pick (pick made by Celts and sent to Bucks)
-2027 1st Round Pick (probably between 27-30 if Giannis is a success here)

That's where things get uncomfortable.  These two 1st rounders are most likely both going be between #27 - #30.  Not very attractive.

And because of the Jrue Holiday trade the Celtics owe Portland a '29 1st rounder, meaning their next available 1st rounder they can trade isn't until 2031 due to the Stepien Rule.  That would be six drafts into the future, and the Bucks' GM may not even be there then.

Brad knew those two first rounders in his initial offer weren't great. So he was probably willing to throw in:

-Baylor or Hugo
-Pick-swap in 2028 (which probably wouldn't convey based on team projections)
-Pick-swap in 2030 (too far in the future to move the needle for this Bucks' GM)

But most savvy negotiators hold out until the last moment on your true best-and-last offer.  Why overpay if you don't have to?

And Brad probably looked at the pu-pu platter that the Heat were offering and thought Jaylen, plus two picks, was at the very least equivalent.  The Bucks could always trade Jaylen later if they wanted and get a few 1st rounders (in theory, back then at least).

So he very well might have said "Here's our best offer" knowing that Miami had nothing else to add, the Heat's offer was maxed out. 

Brad probably sat there waiting for the Bucks to call back one more time and say "Ok, final chance, add Baylor or Hugo and a pick swap or we're moving on to the Heat."

And Brad probably would have done it.  But the Bucks never called back. Brad's bluff blew up in his face, they believed him when he said "This is our best offer."

You have to know who you're negotiating with. The Bucks' front office may not have understood the "hail mary last offer" ploy.  So Brad was gobsmacked that they took the Heat's offer. 

So I won't say definitively that "Brad refused to give up Baylor or Hugo."  There's a greater than zero percent chance that's not true.  In fact I'd say it's almost assuredly not true.  He just didn't expect the Bucks to give up when they did.

Brad should've just called the Bucks again on July 1st in the morning and ask "hey you sure you don't want our offer? I'll throw in Baylor or Hugo and add a pick swap. That's it"

Now Brad tried to trade JB anywhere else and ended up sending him to the 76ers for a much severely lesser package. Humiliating.

Should have sent him to the Pelicans for Trey Murphy with a package at least.


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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #27 on: Today at 01:23:09 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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If the Bucks had said "Brown, Hugo, 26 #1, 27 #1, 2031 #1 for Giannis and a couple of seconds gets it done.  And if you want, we would include Portis for Hauser.  If you say no or counteroffer, we take Miami's deal"

1) Do you do that at the time?
2) Does Brad do that?
3) Do you do that knowing the alternative is the PG trade?
4) If you make the deal, who do you spend the MLE on?
=======

1) No
2) No
3) Yes
4)  Collin Sexton or Angernee Simons + DeMar DeRozan

Queta / Garza
Giannis / Portis
Tatum / DeRozan
White  / Scheierman
Pritchard / Simons
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Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #28 on: Today at 02:01:27 PM »

Online Vermont Green

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Quote
Heat receive:
(Total Incoming $73M)
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($58M)
Bobby Portis ($15M)

Bucks receive:
(Total $48M Incoming, 3 firsts, 1 second, 1 swap)
Tyler Herro ($33M)
Kel'el Ware ($5M)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($6M)
Kasparas Jakučionis ($4M)
No. 13 pick in 2026 NBA Draft (Nate Ament)
First-round picks in 2031 and 2033
Pick swap in 2030
Second-round pick in 2033

I don't know how this went down, none of us do, but look at the deal.  Miami only sent back about $48M to absorb Giannis' $58M salary and then was able to take Portis' $15M into a TPE.  MIA absorbed $25M in excess salary in this deal, no way BOS was able to do that without sending back Hauser and at least one of Hugo or Scheierman, just to match salaries, never mind what MIL was asking for in terms of draft picks.

Quote
According to Shams Charania on ESPN, the deal ultimately broke down because Boston refused to include Gonzalez, Baylor Scheierman, and extra draft assets alongside Jaylen Brown.

What Shams reported is that MIL asked for Hugo and Baylor and "extra draft assets" (plural).  So that means Brown, Hugo, Baylor, at least 3 firsts, and more draft assets.  I don't know where people are getting to the idea that Brad didn't make a final offer or dropped the ball or whatever.  Per Shams, it sounds like MIL said this is our offer and Brad said no.  He may have countered with something less, maybe he thought MIL was bluffing, but if that is what it was going to take to get Giannis (which is what Shams is saying), do people want that deal?  None of this reporting supports the idea that if Stevens had just included Hugo or one more draft pick, that the deal would have gotten done.  The Shams reporting does not say this.

From MIL perspective, the MIA deal allowed them to dump significant salary and start over.  The BOS deal meant MIL would be extending (likely) and building around Brown or retrading Brown.  But no salary relief.  I think we can safely say now that the consensus around the league was that Brown is not worth a super-max deal in this new apron environment.  That his trade value on that contact was not as high as any of us thought.  Teams did not want to take on that contract while giving up valuable assets for a player who probably is not good enough to be a title winning #1 and too expensive to be a title winning #2.

Re: Impact at the Rim
« Reply #29 on: Today at 02:07:40 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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Quote
Heat receive:
(Total Incoming $73M)
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($58M)
Bobby Portis ($15M)

Bucks receive:
(Total $48M Incoming, 3 firsts, 1 second, 1 swap)
Tyler Herro ($33M)
Kel'el Ware ($5M)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($6M)
Kasparas Jakučionis ($4M)
No. 13 pick in 2026 NBA Draft (Nate Ament)
First-round picks in 2031 and 2033
Pick swap in 2030
Second-round pick in 2033

I don't know how this went down, none of us do, but look at the deal.  Miami only sent back about $48M to absorb Giannis' $58M salary and then was able to take Portis' $15M into a TPE.  MIA absorbed $25M in excess salary in this deal, no way BOS was able to do that without sending back Hauser and at least one of Hugo or Scheierman, just to match salaries, never mind what MIL was asking for in terms of draft picks.

Quote
According to Shams Charania on ESPN, the deal ultimately broke down because Boston refused to include Gonzalez, Baylor Scheierman, and extra draft assets alongside Jaylen Brown.

What Shams reported is that MIL asked for Hugo and Baylor and "extra draft assets" (plural).  So that means Brown, Hugo, Baylor, at least 3 firsts, and more draft assets.  I don't know where people are getting to the idea that Brad didn't make a final offer or dropped the ball or whatever.  Per Shams, it sounds like MIL said this is our offer and Brad said no.  He may have countered with something less, maybe he thought MIL was bluffing, but if that is what it was going to take to get Giannis (which is what Shams is saying), do people want that deal?  None of this reporting supports the idea that if Stevens had just included Hugo or one more draft pick, that the deal would have gotten done.  The Shams reporting does not say this.

From MIL perspective, the MIA deal allowed them to dump significant salary and start over.  The BOS deal meant MIL would be extending (likely) and building around Brown or retrading Brown.  But no salary relief.  I think we can safely say now that the consensus around the league was that Brown is not worth a super-max deal in this new apron environment.  That his trade value on that contact was not as high as any of us thought.  Teams did not want to take on that contract while giving up valuable assets for a player who probably is not good enough to be a title winning #1 and too expensive to be a title winning #2.

That's not what Shams reported, for whatever it's worth.
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