Now that the dust has settled are there any silver linings to the worst trade in Celtics History?
I don't think it will be that bad of a trade at the end. It is bad today but this isn't the real return. The real return will come when we trade PG13 & picks for a star player to replace Jaylen.
How good that star player is relative to Jaylen will determine how useful or how bad a trade this is.
(1) If the star is worse then Jaylen, it is a bad deal ... but how bad depends on how much of a gap there is between Jaylen and that star.
(2) If the star is roughly equivalent to Jaylen, the trade is fine.
(3) If the star is better than Jaylen, this trade improved the team.
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I don't think we will fully be able to judge it until this next part plays out. Likely in the next 12-18 months.
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But basically ... I don't think this will be historically bad trade. I don't think it will be anywhere close to that.
This trade has given us enough flexibility (PG13's contract expires in 2yrs) and assets (likely lotto pick, distant 2031 could-be-anything pick) to add to our current assets (young guys, own picks) to make a major move.
And when that plays out, we will then have a different viewpoint of this deal.
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Now if all that fails to materialize then we go into 2028 free agency with added cap flexibility. That Queta contract today was fantastic for us. If Pritchard gives us a sweetheart deal by signing early as well, we will be sitting comfortably heading into that.
If that 2028 FA fails again, then yeah, we will look at this trade as historically bad.
Basically we have created an opportunity but how well we take advantage of that opportunity is yet to be determined.
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A historical example would be Joe Dumars when he broke up the Chauncey Billups Detroit team in 2008-09. He positioned his team brilliantly for a quick retool / rebuild and back to title contention. Instead his impatience got the better of him and he wasted his money in the 2009 FA class on Ben Gordon & Charlie Villanueva instead of rolling it over to 2010 which was a historically great FA class.
So just because you create the opportunity doesn't meant you get the great outcome. It is about how well Brad utilizes these opportunities he has created with the Jaylen trade.
I expect Brad will get something that is either decent (downgrade to Jaylen but decent / acceptable) to solid (equal to Jaylen). Smaller chance he makes a great deal that improves the team beyond what Jaylen could have done.
But I don't think this trade will be some huge catastrophe ... unless Brad craps his pants like Joe Dumars did back in 2009. In which case it will be remembered as a historically bad deal.