Have to admit that the 2028 pick has some legs. A miserable year from the Clips or the Sixers and we get a great pick. I've been dreading the '28 pick swap with SA and will hate to see them get a good pick from us, but this new scenario softens that blow - maybe a lot.
Best case scenario both the Clips and Sixers finish from 4th worst to 10th worst and we have six ping pong balls bouncing around.
One new change in the rules that I just saw regarding second round picks that will add a wrinkle:
"The first 16 picks of the second round will be inverse of the lottery order."
So while we will still get the "best of" from multiple teams' picks for those second round picks from the Jaylen Brown trade, which include Milwaukee and Phoenix, just because they may have bad seasons it won't mean that their second round picks will be good (ex. 31 - 36).
So when we're watching the draft lottery, we'll want one of these teams in 2028 and 2030 to get the 16th pick in the 1st round.
If they do, they'll get the 1st pick in the second round which will convey to the Celtics. The worst pick in the 1st round the better for us!
2028: the C's get the best of the second-round picks between the Golden State Warriors, Milwaukee Bucks, and Oklahoma City Thunder.
2030: the C's get the most favorable pick between the Phoenix Suns, Portland Trail Blazers, and Washington Wizards.
I'm surprised this post didn't result in any discussion. This new lottery rule for the 2nd round is interesting.
It's not a true snake draft like in fantasy football, as the team with the #1 pick in the first round won't have the 60th pick overall for their 2nd round (instead it'll be #46).
But it will really mess around with a lot of existing "best of" deals regarding 2nd rounders that were negotiated under the previous lottery rules.
It is interesting, but at the same time I am not sure how much impact it will have on the Celtics picks. Maybe instead of the Bucks picking near the top it will be the Warriors. Because of the teams and the number of options, it seems pretty likely the Celtics will get a pick in the 31-37 range each of those two years.
Yes, having the best of three teams? 2nd round picks with those two second rounders from the Philly trade gives the C?s lots of options. Much more value than if it was just a 2nd rounder from one specific team.
But it really changes the calculus for how 2nd rounders are valued in subsequent trades. No longer will 2nd rounders be assigned based on reverse order of standings.
Teams who really value the contractual flexibility of a pick from 31-35 (basically a 1st rounder without the commitment) can?t just count on the scrubby teams to provide those value picks.