NBA 2026-27 offseason trades, signings & rumors

[Roy H.]

I believe the 2yr deal of PG13 > 1yr deal J Poole.

Why do I think the 2yrs is better than an expiring deal?

Because most of the teams who wanted to get rid of a star player have already done so. So the market is largely already gone in cap dumps. You only have until February to find a trade and then you lose J Poole as a trade asset. It is a short window with a limited market. You are too likely to come away with nothing.

That longer window with PG13 makes him the more useful trade asset. They will have a chance next summer & in the trade deadline 18months from now. More bites at the apple.

I'm not sure that it's that useful.  Certainly it's a garbage asset this season.  Next year, how many teams are going to want to take back a $60 million contract, or even be able to?  Most teams hoping to dump superstars are also looking to cut salary.

[Who]

I believe the 2yr deal of PG13 > 1yr deal J Poole.

Why do I think the 2yrs is better than an expiring deal?

Because most of the teams who wanted to get rid of a star player have already done so. So the market is largely already gone in cap dumps. You only have until February to find a trade and then you lose J Poole as a trade asset. It is a short window with a limited market. You are too likely to come away with nothing.

That longer window with PG13 makes him the more useful trade asset. They will have a chance next summer & in the trade deadline 18months from now. More bites at the apple.

I'm not sure that it's that useful.  Certainly it's a garbage asset this season.  Next year, how many teams are going to want to take back a $60 million contract, or even be able to?  Most teams hoping to dump superstars are also looking to cut salary.

It is fairly useless an asset by itself. Expiring contracts aren't worth that much as a stand-alone asset. But if you can put either young talent and/or draft picks alongside an expiring contracts, you can create a highly valuable trade package.

Those 2 picks Philly gave us will help but they will likely need to be combined with our own picks. That will give us 4-5 first rounds that we can put alongside that expiring contract to make a valuable trade package.

[No Nickname]

On Kalshi, the betting odds favor the Miami Heat to sign free agent Bradley Beal, holding a 57% probability.

The rest of the betting market on Kalshi breaks down as follows:

Golden State Warriors: 14%
Boston Celtics: 13%

That?s kind of intriguing to think of Beal signing with the Celtics.

He could slot right into the starting SG position and it would allow PP to continue coming off the bench. 


White / PP
Beal /
George /
Tatum /
Queta / Mitchell

Hugo / Baylor / Walsh slotted into wing positions depending on the matchup, injuries, etc.

Cap-ologists can correct me, but ?Im guessing Hauser would need to be traded to keep us below the tax line?

Would that work if we were able to offer Beal the bi-annual exception which I think is around $6MM?

[Neurotic Guy]

On Kalshi, the betting odds favor the Miami Heat to sign free agent Bradley Beal, holding a 57% probability.

The rest of the betting market on Kalshi breaks down as follows:

Golden State Warriors: 14%
Boston Celtics: 13%

That?s kind of intriguing to think of Beal signing with the Celtics.

He could slot right into the starting SG position and it would allow PP to continue coming off the bench. 


White / PP
Beal /
George /
Tatum /
Queta / Mitchell

Hugo / Baylor / Walsh slotted into wing positions depending on the matchup, injuries, etc.

Cap-ologists can correct me, but ?Im guessing Hauser would need to be traded to keep us below the tax line?

Would that work if we were able to offer Beal the bi-annual exception which I think is around $6MM?

Another older, injury risk player.  He's gone downhill, but if Brad thinks he's got something left maybe it's a decent low risk addition.  Will be interesting to see who of newcomers Beal, Conley, PG, and Robinson will see the court most.   

[LilRip]

On Kalshi, the betting odds favor the Miami Heat to sign free agent Bradley Beal, holding a 57% probability.

The rest of the betting market on Kalshi breaks down as follows:

Golden State Warriors: 14%
Boston Celtics: 13%

That?s kind of intriguing to think of Beal signing with the Celtics.

He could slot right into the starting SG position and it would allow PP to continue coming off the bench. 


White / PP
Beal /
George /
Tatum /
Queta / Mitchell

Hugo / Baylor / Walsh slotted into wing positions depending on the matchup, injuries, etc.

Cap-ologists can correct me, but ?Im guessing Hauser would need to be traded to keep us below the tax line?

Would that work if we were able to offer Beal the bi-annual exception which I think is around $6MM?

Another older, injury risk player.  He's gone downhill, but if Brad thinks he's got something left maybe it's a decent low risk addition.  Will be interesting to see who of newcomers Beal, Conley, PG, and Robinson will see the court most.

Does Beal still have anything left in the tank? I would sign him for the vet min, at best.

[snively]

I like the idea of PG as expiring in theory, but there aren't a lot of  white whales on the horizon.

The best guys most likely to be available are second tier stars like Mitchell, Murray, Zion, Fox... guys who are all carrying similar conditions to those that made us want to move JB.

There is the chance that the LaMelo experiment goes horribly awry in Minny, which combined with an aging Gobert, makes Edwards want out.  But a guy like that will require more than cap relief and future picks.

[Vermont Green]

I believe the 2yr deal of PG13 > 1yr deal J Poole.

Why do I think the 2yrs is better than an expiring deal?

Because most of the teams who wanted to get rid of a star player have already done so. So the market is largely already gone in cap dumps. You only have until February to find a trade and then you lose J Poole as a trade asset. It is a short window with a limited market. You are too likely to come away with nothing.

That longer window with PG13 makes him the more useful trade asset. They will have a chance next summer & in the trade deadline 18months from now. More bites at the apple.

I hope a trade with NOP is still open.  The idea is to trade Paul George and Hauser for some Murphy + Zion or Poole or Murray.  I don't know that NOP would do this.  I would not if I was them.  Maybe they are so ready to be done with Zion they would take back George.  Maybe this trade:

Paul George for Zion + Herb Williams

I think that works.

[Donoghus]

Rui to the Clips

Shams Charania
@ShamsCharania
?
11s
Just in: Free agent Rui Hachimura has agreed to a two-year, $28 million deal to sign with the Los Angeles Clippers, sources tell ESPN.

[Celtics4ever]

I hope a trade with NOP is still open.  The idea is to trade Paul George and Hauser for some Murphy + Zion or Poole or Murray.  I don't know that NOP would do this.  I would not if I was them.  Maybe they are so ready to be done with Zion they would take back George.  Maybe this trade:

Paul George for Zion + Herb Williams

I think that works.

I hope this as well, but I like Murphy better.

I still think another deal will happen to get under the tax.   I can't see us paying the tax with the new owner if we are not in contention mode.

I used to think dealing Hauser and cutting Banton would do this but I am not so sure as I think we would be 2 million short.

Trading Sam Hauser ($10.84 million) and cutting or waiving Dalano Banton ($2.8 million) saves the Celtics roughly $13.6 million in luxury tax salary. This moves Boston's projected payroll down to roughly $190 million, dropping the team out of the second apron and getting them much closer to avoiding the luxury tax entirely.

Because Boston is operating as an over-the-cap team, shedding these contracts does not free up traditional "cap space" to sign outside free agents. Instead, it generates a Trade Exception (TPE) equal to Hauser's outgoing salary and creates significant room underneath the punitive second apron to utilize smaller exceptions, such as the Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception.

I know they like White, a lot and he is an analytical darling.  But he may be the only way to get under the tax unless we traded a small piece.

Ideally, we broaden the Philly trade with a third team but I think it morely likely we do nothing today and the Brown trade will close today.

Does Beal still have anything left in the tank? I would sign him for the vet min, at best.

Would he even see the floor due to his defense or lack there of?