well, 6 games left and every one of them count. if you are seeking some clarity on the red sox odds of making the post season, here is an informative post from SoSH by SirPsychoSquints:
Let's talk worst case scenario here. TOR sweeps BOS, CLE beats DET 2-1. HOU goes 6-0 the rest of the way.
We enter the last weekend at:
Det 86
Cle 86
Bos 85
BOS goes 3-0, we're in over DET (88 to 86). DET would be out of the playoffs entirely.
BOS goes 2-1, then BOS/DET are both at 87 wins. BOS is knocked out by tie-breakers unless CLE goes 0-3 in Texas.
BOS goes 1-2, then BOS is knocked out unless CLE goes 0-3 in Texas.
BOS goes 0-3, then BOS is out obviously.
ONE win against TOR makes a HUGE difference. DET winning at least 2 games against CLE makes a HUGE difference.
TOR sweeps BOS, DET beats CLE 2-1:
We enter the last weekend at:
Det 87
Cle 85
Bos 85
BOS goes 3-0, we're in over CLE & DET.
BOS goes 2-1, then BOS is in unless CLE sweeps TEX.
BOS goes 1-2, then BOS is in unless CLE wins 2 in TEX.
BOS goes 0-3, then BOS is out unless CLE gets swept in TEX.
TOR beats BOS 2-1, DET beats CLE 2-1:
We enter the last weekend at:
Det 87
Bos 86
Cle 85
BOS goes 3-0, we're in over CLE and DET.
BOS goes 2-1, we tie DET. DET owns this tie-breaker. If CLE goes 3-0, then it's a three-way tie that we lose. Otherwise, we're in.
BOS goes 1-2, then BOS is in unless CLE sweeps in TEX.
BOS goes 0-3, then BOS is in unless CLE wins 2 in TEX.
https://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?threads/sox-playoff-pulse-check.46917/page-4#post-6886954