I agree that this is not likely to become a lottery pick but there is a chance. It wouldn't take all that much in terms of injuries or maybe Draymond punching someone again and GSW could crash and burn. More likely, it is around 20, still a nice pick to have.
And I also agree that it is an intriguing trade asset. A first round pick and a $6.2M TPE should be able to get back a decent player. That type of transaction would put us over the second apron, but I am not sure that is such a big deal.