Losing the MLE doesn't really matter. Its a 5.0 million salary vs the 10 year vet min of 3.2 million. The difference in player you'll get with the tax MLE is minimal, maybe nonexistent.
I'm not sure this is true. And, reportedly, the team doesn't think this is true, if the rumors of them dealing out of #25 to allow them to use the MLE are true. I'm not 100% sold that was the reason -- I think they wanted to replenish their stockpile for future trades -- but that's the report.
But, more based on logic than reporting, $1.8 million isn't nothing. $3.2 million is only 64% of $5 million; I'd assume most people would want to maximize earnings. If one team is offering $5 million and we're offering $3.4 million (less than that if the player has less than 10 years service time), we're unlikely to land the player.
Also, isn't an aspect of the CBA now that teams can use the MLE like a trade exception? If so, again, there's more flexibility in $5.0 million than $3.4 million or less.
Look, I'm not saying there is no difference between 5.0 and 3 million. There is, its two million. there just isn't any difference in the overall impact that guy is going to make. That guy will be the 10th man, regardless, behind White/PP/Brogdon/Brown/Tatum/Hauser/Rob/Al/KP and in all likelihood isn't going to be a big part of your playoff rotation. So ya, you may lose a guy who wants 5.0 if you can only pay 3.0, but my point is that guy doesn't matter.
Bottom line I can't foresee a circumstance where a player is good enough that it would be a better idea to let Grant walk for nothing, hardcap yourself at the 2nd apron before the season even starts AND where the 5.0 tax MLE vs the min is the difference between getting that player. That narrow lane DOES exist, but very rarely.
Seriously, the list of guys making between like 3.5-5.5 million (and not a rookie deal guy) who even helped a truly contending team last year is soooo small. The list is like Jeff Green, Torey Craig, Donte Divencenzo and thats kind of it. Three guys. Everyone else in that range was a rookie, on a bad team, or didn't end up playing in the playoffs. And Torey Craig had a lot to do with the complete lack of depth on the Suns. Maybe there's some 10 million a year guy who they are targeting who is willing to come here for 5 and they know it, but beyond that scenario they should avoid using the tax MLE.
Also I want to clear something up.
The idea that they traded out of 25 for money reasons is probably just not true. Its not actual reporting. There were a few minutes between where they traded 25 and when the return was announced that some people thought they had just flipped 25 for 31, so a bunch of reporters speculated that they did it to save money. But it turns out they actually got 2 future seconds just to move back 6 spots which was probably a far bigger part of their analysis than saving 200K on a rookie contract.
And no, the ability to use the MLE as a trade exception doesn't kick in until next year if I remember correct. But even if it does it's fairly easy to throw together two minimum contracts to match that kind of contract anyway. Not much utility there.
Really Grant aside the big thing here is flexibility. I really just can't foresee the C's hard capping themselves because they want to bringing in some 10th man making 5.0 million. It would be kind of crazy to me. They may very well stay under the 2nd apron, but they should 100% leave the option of going over over if some name that puts them over the top becomes available mid season.
They just spent the last week slipping draft picks to restore their draft stock, I'm not sure why they would follow that up by handicapping their ability to use those draft picks for a mid season trade.