Im chalking up game seven lineup madness to a psychotic break due to Tatum pulling a Kyrie. But regardless I feel Joe is going to take at least another year to reach a good coaching level. You can see his growth
I honestly feel like people are overreacting to the game 7 starting lineup (not saying you are in your comment). Those 3 played incredibly hard in the 4th quarter of game 6 and at least made it a little more respectable. I believe he was rewarding them for their effort, while showing the others (Queta and Hauser mostly) that their spots are not guaranteed.
It obviously didn't work in the short term, but that's because Philly came out on fire from 3 and we were left in a daze missing all of ours. But I do believe it helped Queta. He had his best game of the series in game 7. We also had every opportunity to win down the stretch and just decided to blow it per usual.
I'm not a huge proponent of Joe, but I don't think he lost that game for us. In fact, it was probably the game in which he made the most adjustments all season. Not just the starters, but going zone, using Hugo at Center to shift energy, and then riding the lineup in the 4th - especially Brown and White - that was getting us there.
But I think that's the root of the problem - he's dogmatic in his ways to the point of harming his team. As the article I shared above highlights, he's stuck to his extreme three point philosophy all along, and it has absolutely screwed us three out of four years, with the only exception being the year we simply out-talented everyone else.
While this analytics approach may work out over the course of an 82 game season when the numbers will average out over time in terms of shot quality versus expected field goal percentage, as we saw this year and 2023 and 2024 that doesn't necessarily equate to the playoffs and the shorter seven game series where a short-term shooting variance can lose you a series.
If after four years he's not changed and is just as entrenched now as he was then, what makes anyone think he's going to change, especially given his extreme, eccentric personality and character that enjoys being the outsider and fringe guy?
This is correct, but I'm not sure it helps your point in the way that you mean it to - because the team still played the same way, just with better players. Players that we couldn't keep because of the CBA.
The blog post is, effectively, post-hoc nitpicking. You can do a much better job evaluating the series in question than a Marcus Smart quote and one late-game lineup decision in a series they won, for instance - this whole thread is an example of that.
Again, I don't think the coach is beyond critique or that all of the criticism is wrong, but a lot of it feels misplaced and misguided. The fluke loss to Miami can only be brought up so many times before you have to realise that - like the Rockets missing however many shots against the Warriors years ago - sometimes these things just happen, and there has to be a team on the 'wrong side of history' whenever a historic game happens.
It stops being a ?fluke loss? when we put ourselves unnecessarily in a 0-3 hole, causing that issue in the first place where the randomness of a single game matters so greatly.
The ?fluke? and ?unlucky? argument also go out the window when for the second year in a row our same lack of adjustments killed us in the postseason and we shot ourselves to death. If the entire argument is - this style of play is totally realistic and a winning philosophy, but it requires a highly specific set and level of talent that is no longer feasible in the modern NBA financial structure - then I think you?ve already lost the plot from the get-go.
But we didn't lose that game
because of the 0-3 start to the series, so you're not describing a causal relationship in any real sense. In other words, your argument would be unchanged had Miami swept us that year, right?
Trying to strawman my argument isn't doing you any favours, by the way.
The argument is as follows (keeping it basic with nice round numbers).
If we can safely assume that talent (ability + team chemistry + overall team health) wins in the NBA, ninety times out of one-hundred. We can also presume that ply teams will strategise to maximise their talents, and the strengths & weaknesses of those strategies are generally borne out over the regular season and the post-season.
Through that lens, the Miami series in '23 is the 10% (or the 1% or the 0.1%, this doesn't really matter), and this season the team significantly overachieved vs. the talent on the roster. If coaching is the difference here, truly good coaches would be measurably more impactful on the regular season and on the series, rather than just one of a handful of secondary variables to talent, chemistry, and health (of which the coach can only really impact one).
Or, put even more simply: if any idiot on the street can figure this out, why can't Stevens? Why isn't he getting Mazzula the help he
so obviously needs? Why hasn't Tenn Smoothie been hired as a consultant?