« Reply #195 on: September 15, 2022, 08:52:40 PM »
I'm not close to giving up on Bill, though I think he's likely to find himself in an 0-4 hole to kick off the season. Won't surprise me if they are mathematically in the WC hunt in Week 15, but I definitely don't expect playoffs this season. Building for good run next year seems logical to me and I hope that's the trajectory.
Why do you expect them to miss the playoffs this year (after making it last year) and having a good run next season?
It’s an expectation based primarily on starting the year with an offense that has ability but isn’t ready yet, an O-line that needs to make substantial growth, a better division and conference (2 pretty definite losses to Buffalo), and the slow start leading to a likely 0-4 hole. I believe they’ll get getter but I don’t think they’ll be able to pass a bunch of solid teams in the AFC after starting 0-4. If they manage to go 2-2 I’ll change my mind quickly and expect them to compete for a playoff spot.
Here's your problem....assuming an 0-4 start. I can easily see 2-2.
easily? They are slight favorites at Pittsburgh, but Baltimore and Green Bay will both be favored and they already have a loss, so they have to win 2 of those 3 games, and that doesn't seem likely. Heck the Lions in week 5 won't be easy and even without Watson it won't be easy to win in Cleveland either. 3 of the 4 after that should be wins, but then they go into their last 7 games and I don't think they will be favored in a single one. I doubt they lose all 7, but it wouldn't be crazy either. The Patriots offense is just bad, and they will need that offense to beat the high powered offenses they play down the stretch. The Patriots are a 6 win team at best this year.

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