I'm in the "I don't trade Brown unless I'm certain that he isn't resigning" camp.
I'm curious, how do you define "certain"?
One of Danny's mistakes was not trading Kyrie when it looked very likely that he was on the way out. Does "certain" only apply to 100%, or is it more loose, like 80% certain?
I'm in the "more likely than not" group. If there's a 51% chance JB is leaving, I'd deal him for Durant.
I think this is the point. We are talking about a contract that runs for two more seasons. No player can assure an organization that they are going to want to resign in 2 years or assign a percentage to it. So if Brown says that he is all in, can't wait to run this back and take another shot at the finals, may be open to resigning but also may test the market (which is the normal thing for any player to say at this point), what do you do with that?
I tell you what I would do, I would say OK Great Jaylen, we are going to put the best team we can around you and let's go out a win a title, then we can check in on a future contract again next off season.
I am in the run it back again camp. I don't want to trade for Durant. But I would not be worrying about what Jaylen is going to do in 2 years and let that lead me to overpay for Durant. Or rush to into some trade. At least not this off season. Maybe next or even the trade deadline in 2024.