My concerns are based mostly on stats…the team that won game 5 in a 2-2 series went on to win game 7 82% of the time or something. Also, no team has won 2 straight games in this particular series. The Cs are gonna have to play really well in order to get the W. It helps that we have homecourt advantage. Oddsmakers currently have the Celtics as 5.5 point favorites for what it’s worth.
here is a stat for you.
as of 2018 (could not find more recent) out of 129 Game 7's since 1947, the home team has won 103 time.
celtics will beat the bucks.
There’s a couple ways to look at both of these stats and I guess depending on whether you’re an optimist or a pessimist would decide which you’d lean on.
The reason the team winning game 5 wins the series 82% of the time is because the team with HCA is playing at home on game 5, and usually the odds favor the home team winning. The Bucks won game 5 on the road, so it’s kind of an anomaly. So do you buy that the Celtics will successfully defend home court like the stats say they should when they failed to do what the stats said they would in game 5.
The Bucks have arguably played their best games in Boston and we’ve played our best games in Milwaukee.
So what do you believe? The story the historical stats tell you? Or the path the play on the court has been heading.
I really don’t know which way to lean but I can’t shake the belief that we’ve left too many golden opportunities on the table in this series to make it out alive.