The Raptors are 6-3, riding a five-game winning streak. They are currently fourth in the East. A lot can change in the long NBA season, but so far they’ve out-performed most of the prognosticators’ predictions.
How have they done it? Is it sustainable? Coming out of pre-season, I predicted that they’re a playoff team. I’m feeling VERY good about that prediction right now. They aren’t leading the league in defense yet (currently sixth), but I’m predicting that, too.
Their tempo is 29th in the league.The conventional wisdom coming into the season was that since Kawhi departed they had a bottom-quarter-of-the-NBA half-court offense - so a slow tempo should have been strategic suicide. And yet they’re 12th in offense - with Pascal Siakam still recovering from off-season shoulder surgery and Scottie Barnes only at the beginning of his rookie season. How’s that happening?
They lead the league in offensive rebound %, and they’re seventh in TOV%. More of both of those stats slows down the tempo by lengthening possessions; but the Raps are also second in the league in TOV% on defense.
Sidebar: Gary Trent leads the league in per-game deflections, Fred is fifth, OG is 13th, and the precocious Scottie Barnes is 27th. No coincidence, those four get the most minutes. Turns out, Trent is an ace defender... who would’ve guessed? Not Portland fans, at any rate, and spotting his potential and getting him at the deadline last year is yet another coup for Masai Ujiri.
Intriguing: only four Raptors are getting starters’ minutes - but TEN of them are getting rotation minutes. Weird. Including Dalano Banton, and if you saw that coming I’ll give you lunch at your favorite Back Bay restaurant. He’s the 10th in a ten-man rotation, relegating Malachi Flynn to spot minutes.
The return of Pascal likely won’t upset the balance of the team defense (on the contrary), but it will add a versatile scorer. The team is deep and unselfish. This is sustainable.