I'd rather pay Rozier that then Smart or Fournier what they got because Rozier is just a better player than both of those guys.
That said, none of them make a whole lot of sense for Boston.
Rozier's contract is incredibly questionable, they're rewarding him for 1 good (outlier) season. That's a huge risk... but it's Charlotte, no one wants to play there, so it's understandable.
Keep in mind they have LaMelo Ball there though who can change things, and does make spending on Rozier this way not all that smart.
We'll see.
He was arguably better his first year in Charlotte than he was last year so it isn't a one year outlier. Rozier was also a much better player in Boston when he started. He was never good as a back-up, which is why he needed to leave, but Rozier as a starter has always performed well. Some guys just need the consistency (in minutes and role) that starting provides.
Not with the level of efficiency he showed last year, which is why he's being rewarded this way. Not even close.
He was much better from 2 point range this year, no doubt, but his 1st year in Charlotte he was better from 3 and the line. His AST% and TRB% were better in year 1 as well. This idea that Rozier had a 1 year fluke just isn't borne in reality. He has been very good both of his years in Charlotte.
What are you even talking about with AST% and TRB%... they're practically equal. As for 3-point, again close enough to make it negligible from a discussion standpoint.
I'm not saying anything about a fluke, just that this level of efficiency is not something he's enjoyed throughout his career up to this point... far from it. It is an outlier. His free-throw shooting his first year in Charlotte is also quite the outlier for him, it's really the only reason the difference in efficiency scoring/shooting wise isn't as great vs last season.
They could be the LaMelo/Hayward effect helping him, but even then... rolling the dice on someone who doesn't move the needle much and they're devoid of talent over there. Next year they would potentially have had quite a bit of cap space. But again, it's Charlotte so... even with those 2 guys hard to attract other players, so in that regard, Rozier makes SOME sense. But that contract is a bad one regardless, no one was going to pay Rozier THAT in the open market.
At MOST your argument should be that he's trending up after 2 seasons in Charlotte, but arguing that he had a better 1st year from the efficiency that is currently being rewarded as your evidence that this last year wasn't out of the norm for him is not the way to go honestly.
The question then becomes can he keep it up? To me that's a big question mark, lessened with having players like LaMelo and Hayward around to help... but even with the current numbers, I think he's being paid too much. They had no reason to fear losing him in free-agency to commit to him now particularly at this absurd amount.
But I see part of the problem in our discussion, I'm not dismissing his first season there as a good one for him... I'm just saying that the level he showed scoring the basketball is not something they had seen from him before, and it seems to me that's carrying the weight of the extension. But I don't think you need to make an argument that his first year there was better, it wasn't... unless we're making a Hayward/LaMelo adjustment to his play, but that's beyond me LOL.
Thankfully for them they should have another shot at it in 2023, maybe it'll work out then.