I was skeptical of them last year, too. Bud's system gets you regular season wins but doesn't translate as well to the playoffs.
But even if they're 75-80% as good as their regular season efficiency stats suggest, that's still a very good team with a shot at making a deep run.
They have the pieces to play big and to go small with Giannis at the 5. I trust Holiday more in the playoffs than Bledsoe. They will be in the mix and I could see this being the year they make the Finals.
I see your point. I don't think you are wrong. I'm just trying to explain the other point of view.
80% of what the Bucks were last year is like a 48-50 win team. They'd have a shot, but the 4-6 seeds in the East aren't necessarily elite contenders.