Author Topic: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?  (Read 11229 times)

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Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #45 on: November 17, 2019, 05:04:00 AM »

Offline CelticsPoetry

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I'm not a genius, nor can I see the future, but, it really isn't that hard to see where the Celtics were headed this season. Stevens is a master regular season coach. This season he again has a young team the core of which are "his guys."

You add Walker,  the antithesis of Irving, to the Tatum/Brown/Smart/Theis group who've been through plenty of playoff games together why wouldn't they win a zillion games?

Steven's has "the core" and a college all star team on the bench. He has a steady veteran point guard to back up Walker and the NBA east isn't that good....wait a minute...is the NBA west that good?

Take the weight of expectations off of these guys and you have a recipe for 55+ wins.

We could predict most of the above as we've watched Stevens for some years now. The media? Read about the media and you will learn that you will have a much longer happier life if you ignore the media.
You're making sound as if we will flame out in the playoffs, even though our guys and Stevens are proven playoff performers.

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #46 on: November 17, 2019, 05:22:42 AM »

Offline Csfan1984

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IMO the C's haven't played well they are winning but haven't hit on all cylinders just yet. The league is just worst this year, there was a lot of roster moves and changes across it. The true test is how well teams do after the all star break.

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #47 on: November 17, 2019, 06:31:38 AM »

Offline Moranis

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Starters - Luka, JB, Lebron, Wemby, Shaq
Rotation - Noah,
Deep Bench -

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #48 on: November 17, 2019, 06:55:59 AM »

Offline Somebody

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
Jaylen Brown for All-NBA

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #49 on: November 17, 2019, 07:56:28 AM »

Offline SHAQATTACK

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Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #50 on: November 17, 2019, 08:01:02 AM »

Offline Moranis

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
2025 Historical Draft - Cleveland Cavaliers - 1st pick

Starters - Luka, JB, Lebron, Wemby, Shaq
Rotation - Noah,
Deep Bench -

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #51 on: November 17, 2019, 08:22:36 AM »

Offline Somebody

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
What about Brown?
Jaylen Brown for All-NBA

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #52 on: November 17, 2019, 08:36:59 AM »

Offline CelticsPoetry

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
What about Brown?
Fron what I've seen I'd say he's practically there. He doesnt force things, under control, finally able to use his athletic advantages over his opponents

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #53 on: November 17, 2019, 09:53:12 AM »

Offline Somebody

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
What about Brown?
Fron what I've seen I'd say he's practically there. He doesnt force things, under control, finally able to use his athletic advantages over his opponents
Exactly my thoughts, but I always like asking our resident pessimist what he thinks lol. It's not to ridicule him, but I like to see his takes on the NBA and the Celtics.
Jaylen Brown for All-NBA

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #54 on: November 17, 2019, 10:26:32 AM »

Offline Moranis

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
What about Brown?
Tatum is better than Brown.  Even this year by most metrics (not defensively of course, but pretty much every where else).  Tatum is the one with the Gold Medal Superstar potential.  Brown tops out, at absolute best, as a Paul Pierce type player.  Which is very good, but is more along the Conference Finals type superstar as the team's best player (which Pierce hit exactly once pre-KG). 

This team isn't winning a championship unless Tatum hits that next level.  Right now he isn't at that level.  He isn't consistent enough and hasn't honed his overall game enough to be considered that level of player.  He absolutely has the talent and potential to reach that level though.

At the current level of play Boston has 3 or 4 top 25ish players on the roster (depending on what Hayward looks like when he comes back).  That makes them a very good team, but contenders almost always have multiple top 10-15 players or a top 5 level talent and a quality/deep team around that player.  Very rarely do teams win titles or even make the finals that don't fit that mold.  Boston doesn't fit that mold. 
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Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #55 on: November 17, 2019, 10:33:36 AM »

Offline Roy H.

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I don’t think anybody expected this start, media or fans. Did any of us expect Daniel Theis to be making this impact as a starter?


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Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #56 on: November 17, 2019, 10:45:14 AM »

Offline Ty_Unabi

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Another way to rephrase this thread is " Why do some people overestimate the Media's intelligence?"

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #57 on: November 17, 2019, 10:52:03 AM »

Offline Somebody

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I don't see the local Boston media, but the national media pretty consistently pegged Boston as the 3rd best team in the East behind Milwaukee and Philadelphia.  Many had them as the 2nd seed (figuring Philly would have rest and load management thus decreasing their record).  So I'm not sure of this underestimating by the media that this thread is about.  Now clearly Boston is off to a great start, but I don't think anyone expects Boston to continue to win more than 90% of their games so at some point the record will even out a bit.  Remember Kyrie's first year the team started off 16-2 winning 16 straight games.  Some times the newness provides an immediate boost.  Eventually the team will be what it is.  Now what that is, is up in the air.  Is Boston a 60+ win team, a 55 win team, a 50 win team, or something in the 40's (though that one seems unlikely given the hot start).  What Boston is, is still up in the air, but an 11 game hot streak to start the year is not necessarily indicative of what the team is (just like a cold start by a team like Portland doesn't mean Portland is one of the worst teams in the league either).
Many in national media had Celtics pegged as 2nd seed?  LOL
Yep, there was an ESPN publication where they listed where they thought everyone would be seeded and like 5 of their experts had Boston as the 2nd seed.  That said, every single one of them had them losing to the Sixers or Bucks in the ECS as every single ESPN expert had the Sixers and Bucks playing for the ECF.  ESPN has pretty consistently held them out as the 3rd seed, though, which is a far cry from 5th.

Yeah, I think you’re going to need to link that ESPN 2nd forecast.

There’s this one, where we’re 3rd in the East, but with a projected record as close to Orland at 8 as Philly at 2, and the 9th overall record in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27426015/nba-preseason-predictions-our-experts-picks-2019-20

There’s their rankings after the preseason, where we’re 4th in the East (behind Brooklyn in addition to Milwaukee and Philly), and 11th in the NBA.

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/27844219/nba-preview-2019-rankings-projections-big-questions-all-30-teams

2nd in the East was just not a position anyone staked to unless they were just being bold for the sake of being bold.  Furthermore, the forecasts with us 3rd tended to show us in a clump of teams in the 3-6 range, and not near the top 2.

Now, who knows how the season will turn out, but it is not remotely unreasonable to say, based on 11 games, that the national basketball media underrated the Celtics rather significantly.
We have a thread on here titled ESPN Projects the Celtics as #2 in the East.  https://forum.celticsstrong.com/index.php?topic=101195.0.  Now granted that was just Pelton and using RPM which is suspect.  There was also another thread on here where they actually showed where they thought teams would finish and several people had Boston at 2, though the vast majority had them at 3 (I think that might have been the annual GM Survey and not ESPN now that I think about it).   

Also, I know they had the Nets ahead of Boston in that one article you cited, but they project them at less wins by all 4 metrics they site (including best case).  It seems strange to have thus ranked the Nets better than the Celtics when you think the Nets will win less games.

On a scale of one to ten how much have you enjoyed this stretch and start to the season. I’m at a 9 cause I have definitely thought a number of times how much my dad would have enjoyed this and it has been the best stretch they have has since he passed (last year would have driven him nuts)
9 as well only reason not a 10 is Hayward's broken hand.  It has been a great start.  Lots of fun to watch.
Thoughts on whether we have the top end talent to contend?
don't think so. at least not this year.  Tatum needs another year or two to really reach that level.
What about Brown?
Tatum is better than Brown.  Even this year by most metrics (not defensively of course, but pretty much every where else).  Tatum is the one with the Gold Medal Superstar potential.  Brown tops out, at absolute best, as a Paul Pierce type player.  Which is very good, but is more along the Conference Finals type superstar as the team's best player (which Pierce hit exactly once pre-KG). 

This team isn't winning a championship unless Tatum hits that next level.  Right now he isn't at that level.  He isn't consistent enough and hasn't honed his overall game enough to be considered that level of player.  He absolutely has the talent and potential to reach that level though.

At the current level of play Boston has 3 or 4 top 25ish players on the roster (depending on what Hayward looks like when he comes back).  That makes them a very good team, but contenders almost always have multiple top 10-15 players or a top 5 level talent and a quality/deep team around that player.  Very rarely do teams win titles or even make the finals that don't fit that mold.  Boston doesn't fit that mold.
Interesting stuff as always. I think Brown's ceiling is higher than what you think, his playmaking numbers would jump to pretty respectable levels (~4 APG) if he had a larger role on another team, and I'm confident in him making at least one more leap on offense. Combining that type of offense (the type that I'm projecting) with elite wing defense usually results in a fringe MVP player like PG last season, which is better than Pierce's peak.

Is Kemba Walker not a top 15 player? I think he's one of the best guards out there save Harden and with Curry out. Imo he's close enough to that level where he can get hot and pull a Billups 2.0 in the playoffs to lead us to a title, and even if he doesn't our wings can catch fire to push us to that level. I think 3-4ish All-Star calibre players with 1 of them being an All-NBA guy (Walker) plus a fringe All-Star in Smart is a really sneaky team that might break the mould of a traditional title contender. I don't remember many teams having this type of balanced top 5 where everyone's at least at a fringe All-Star level.
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Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #58 on: November 17, 2019, 11:02:27 AM »

RazzelnoDazzel

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I'm not a genius, nor can I see the future, but, it really isn't that hard to see where the Celtics were headed this season. Stevens is a master regular season coach. This season he again has a young team the core of which are "his guys."

You add Walker,  the antithesis of Irving, to the Tatum/Brown/Smart/Theis group who've been through plenty of playoff games together why wouldn't they win a zillion games?

Steven's has "the core" and a college all star team on the bench. He has a steady veteran point guard to back up Walker and the NBA east isn't that good....wait a minute...is the NBA west that good?

Take the weight of expectations off of these guys and you have a recipe for 55+ wins.

We could predict most of the above as we've watched Stevens for some years now. The media? Read about the media and you will learn that you will have a much longer happier life if you ignore the media.
You're making sound as if we will flame out in the playoffs, even though our guys and Stevens are proven playoff performers.

IMO this is just the start of the season. We had a leg up because we are also coming off the team USA run, but eventually teams are going to start getting their acts together and I fear we will be left behind. I love how we are playing for the most part. This is my 1st year paying attention to Kemba and he is too perfect to be true as far as what The Celtics NEED. We also have a very favorable schedule up until after all star break. I believe we will have a great record going into All star break, but afterwards I see a huge slump due to better competition.

Re: How did the media underestimate this Celtics team?
« Reply #59 on: November 17, 2019, 11:32:25 AM »

Offline CelticsPoetry

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I'm not a genius, nor can I see the future, but, it really isn't that hard to see where the Celtics were headed this season. Stevens is a master regular season coach. This season he again has a young team the core of which are "his guys."

You add Walker,  the antithesis of Irving, to the Tatum/Brown/Smart/Theis group who've been through plenty of playoff games together why wouldn't they win a zillion games?

Steven's has "the core" and a college all star team on the bench. He has a steady veteran point guard to back up Walker and the NBA east isn't that good....wait a minute...is the NBA west that good?

Take the weight of expectations off of these guys and you have a recipe for 55+ wins.

We could predict most of the above as we've watched Stevens for some years now. The media? Read about the media and you will learn that you will have a much longer happier life if you ignore the media.
You're making sound as if we will flame out in the playoffs, even though our guys and Stevens are proven playoff performers.

IMO this is just the start of the season. We had a leg up because we are also coming off the team USA run, but eventually teams are going to start getting their acts together and I fear we will be left behind. I love how we are playing for the most part. This is my 1st year paying attention to Kemba and he is too perfect to be true as far as what The Celtics NEED. We also have a very favorable schedule up until after all star break. I believe we will have a great record going into All star break, but afterwards I see a huge slump due to better competition.
We just can't enjoy good things. I would expect at least from fans to positive about our team. I know our opinions differ, but our offense is so balanced and I don't see why  everyone but us eould get better. The way Hayward dominated a few of those games was eye-opening, I don't see many teams being able to keep up with us when our offense is clicking.