Honestly it could really waver between 5 and 25 based on how all the draft picks coming down the pike over the next few years pan out, especially the Nets picks.
Pelton and Ford have the Nets dead last and I see nothing to reasonably contradict that assessment. As for ending up in the 20s that's very pessimistic given the competition.
I think you misunderstood me.
When I said, "it could really waver between 5 and 25," what I was saying is that the Celts could be a top 5 "future rankings" team, or they could be toward the bottom. Where those picks end up will make a huge difference in that regard.
What you posted above is what I understood. I think the likelihood of the Cs varying from 5-15 is reasonable, but I don't see us falling back into the bottom 10 in any reasonable scenario. There are a lot very poorly owned/managed teams that eat up a bunch of the slots and will until they get new ownership.
Fair point.
Still, I stand by my statement. Things look OK for the Celts right now, but from where I stand much of that depends on one of the future picks owed to the Celts turning into a gem, either as a trade asset or as a player the team develops into a star.
If Danny can't turn any of those picks into a star one way or another, the Celts might be looking at rebooting entirely in a few years. It's tough to be in a middling market with no star talent, especially when everybody in the league has cap space.
Luck in the draft means so much to a rebuild. Look how it's worked out for the Cavaliers, Clippers, and probably soon the Timberwolves.
If the Celts get a top 5 pick from the Nets next summer, plus another top 10 pick from the Mavs, and both picks yield young stars, suddenly the Celts are a model franchise. If those picks turn into more role players . . . yikes.