The OP seems to be saying that getting a star doesn't necessarilly mean drafting a top recruit. There are lots of examples of guys dafted 4-10 that wind up leading teams to championships. If the Celtics wind up slipping down the lottery but they draft intelligently, they could still come away with a Mike Conley (4th), Kevin Love (5th), Brandon Roy (6th), Curry (7th), or any number of other all stars taken farther down.
That said, I'd like the #1 pick.