8 days till trade deadline & 28 games remaining this season..how many do we win?

[kozlodoev]

32 wins good for a bottom 10 record and a top 5 pick (lottery yay!)

Yeah, that's not how the lottery works.

[Cman]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

^^Yes, this is most likely scenario.

[henr1k]

Trades are going to have big impact on our record obviously. I think Pistons, Bobcats and Cavs are still going to play for that last playoff spot, at least in the first 15 games after trade deadline. If they start badly they might pull the plug after that.

Looking at our schedule, games on this west coast trip against Lakers, Kings and Jazz are going to be crucial IMO. March is pretty brutal, Knicks and Pistons at home are only games in which we are favorites, and vs Knicks we are b2b.

April is scary, we could go on a winning streak to finish the season because everything will depend on other teams motivation. If Bobcats, Wizards, Pistons and Hawks are in a playoff hunt we should be fine. If not.. I am scared to even think about going 6-2 in April and finishing 8th or worse.

My prediction 7-21, 26-56 and 4th in reverse standings.

@Phoenix L (b2b for Suns)
@Lakers  W
@Sacramento (b2b) L
@Utah L
Atlanta W (b2b for Hawks)
Indiana L
Golden State (b2b for GS) L
Brooklyn L
Detroit W
@Indiana L
NY Knicks (b2b) L
Phoenix L
@New Orleans L
@Dallas (b2b for both teams) L
Miami L (b2b for Heat)
@Brooklyn L
Toronto W (b2b for Raptors)
@Toronto L
Chicago W
@Chicago L (b2b for both teams)
@Washington L
Philadelphia W
@Detroit (b2b for both teams) L
@Atlanta (b2b for Hawks) L
Charlotte L
@Cleveland (b2b for both teams) L
@Philadelphia W
Washington L

[slamtheking]

my guess:

We win 10 more games.

At the trade deadline, Hump is the biggest name on the team being traded to a top contender needing frontcourt help for a contract that ends in 2015 and a late first (maybe 2 players coiming in to make the $ work with at least one expiring in 2015)

We end up with the 8th worst record (currently 6th worst but we end up passing Utah and Cleveland for 8th--no one below us passes us in the standings).  We end up picking 8th and 19th (Hawks pick).
Danny tries to make a deal with the picks and Bass to move up but is unsuccessful.  The picks we have are the ones we make.
We end up taking Vonleh with the 8th pick and Selden with the 19th.  (BPAs at the time we pick)  no draft day deals

This summer after the draft, Danny swings a deal moving Bass to a contender looking to add a backup big on a now-expiring deal.  Gets a projected late-first as the primary return in the deal. 
Danny resigns AB to slightly-over MLE money for 3 years. 
Bayless and Bogans are just let go.
Danny is able to use the exception from the Pierce deal to sign a decent backup center that will end up starting for us.  He also brings back Colton Iverson from overseas who makes the team after camp.

Just some thoughts on reasonable transactions this offseason.

this is a shoryuken of reality. i know it's realistic (and quite likely) but i think i'll still be quite bummed about it.

I agree, it's nothing I'd be excited about but I think this is close to what will come to pass.  I think the real excitement will come in the following summer.  a lot of the crappy teams this year will be better than us, we'll get a better pick in another deep draft, one projected to have very good big men) and Danny is able to get another solid player in the draft, make a very nice FA signing and hopefully unload Wallace as an expiring deal for a disgruntled good player.

I disagree. I think that this summer Ainge will be busier. This is the summer to get talent through trades. We are going to get a good pick regardless of what it is. Honestly, I would be happy with Aaron Gordon. I would rather have a top 4 pick but who knows how any of their careers will work out. I think Ainge will make a move for a center like Sanders, Monroe, or Asik, and try to sign a SG or SF like Stevenson, Evans, Hayward, or Barnes (trade/S&T rather than free agency). Maybe look at guys that are good multi positional 3 and D as backups.

If he makes these types of moves, I can see next year seeing where the team is, and putting any finishing touches on it either by trading Wallace's contract next summer or at the deadline, or maybe a free agent signing if someone is still available. Next summer has a bunch of restricted free agents, so who really knows who will still be available by next summer.

The Bass deal I considered for the summer was with Asik in mind but I think Danny will move Bass for someone that fills a need that's not a PF.  Asik's booked to make a lot of money for someone that's not a 2-way player next year so he's not as attractive a trade candidate as many think.

I really think the only SG Danny signs over the summer is resigning AB and whatever SG he drafts (which I think is Selden at the moment)

It's too early I think for Danny to look at major reconstruction of the roster.  I really believe he needs one more season of another high pick and more money cleared from the roster to make a FA splash (assuming a sizeable 'splash' is available)

[Boris Badenov]

if the team continues to win at a .352 clip (our winning percentage so far), the celtics would win 10 more games.

that option is not provided, so i cant vote.

Yeah, I found the choices a bit peculiar as well.

I would bet that regardless of what happens at the deadline, Stevens uses our last 5-10 games on "player development." This might include sitting Rondo, playing KO 30 mpg, etc...in short, the kind of thing that makes a strong finish unlikely.

[clover]

Trades are going to have big impact on our record obviously. I think Pistons, Bobcats and Cavs are still going to play for that last playoff spot, at least in the first 15 games after trade deadline. If they start badly they might pull the plug after that.

Looking at our schedule, games on this west coast trip against Lakers, Kings and Jazz are going to be crucial IMO. March is pretty brutal, Knicks and Pistons at home are only games in which we are favorites, and vs Knicks we are b2b.

April is scary, we could go on a winning streak to finish the season because everything will depend on other teams motivation. If Bobcats, Wizards, Pistons and Hawks are in a playoff hunt we should be fine. If not.. I am scared to even think about going 6-2 in April and finishing 8th or worse.

My prediction 7-21, 26-56 and 4th in reverse standings.

@Phoenix L (b2b for Suns)
@Lakers  W
@Sacramento (b2b) L
@Utah L
Atlanta W (b2b for Hawks)
Indiana L
Golden State (b2b for GS) L
Brooklyn L
Detroit W
@Indiana L
NY Knicks (b2b) L
Phoenix L
@New Orleans L
@Dallas (b2b for both teams) L
Miami L (b2b for Heat)
@Brooklyn L
Toronto W (b2b for Raptors)
@Toronto L
Chicago W
@Chicago L (b2b for both teams)
@Washington L
Philadelphia W
@Detroit (b2b for both teams) L
@Atlanta (b2b for Hawks) L
Charlotte L
@Cleveland (b2b for both teams) L
@Philadelphia W
Washington L

I'm thinking 4th too: the Bucks, Philly, and (grrr) the Lakers are gonna haul down the last three slots.

[Mr October]

9 more wins for the celtics.

I can see this finish:

Mil 15-67
Phi 22-60
LAL 24-58
BOS, CLE, ORL, SAC 28-54
UTA 32-50

If you are going to force me to pick tie breakers, i think the celtics finish with the 6th worst record.
And then draft Aaron Gordon with the 6th pick.

If Stevens embraces the tank in April the celtics could only win 1 of those games, and fall to the 4th worst record. But i dont think he does that.

[henr1k]

My prediction 7-21, 26-56 and 4th in reverse standings.

@Phoenix L (b2b for Suns)
@Lakers  W
@Sacramento (b2b) L
@Utah L
Atlanta W (b2b for Hawks)
Indiana L
Golden State (b2b for GS) L
Brooklyn L
Detroit W
@Indiana L
NY Knicks (b2b) L
Phoenix L
@New Orleans L
@Dallas (b2b for both teams) L
Miami L (b2b for Heat)
@Brooklyn L
Toronto W (b2b for Raptors)
@Toronto L
Chicago W
@Chicago L (b2b for both teams)
@Washington L
Philadelphia W
@Detroit (b2b for both teams) L
@Atlanta (b2b for Hawks) L
Charlotte L
@Cleveland (b2b for both teams) L
@Philadelphia W
Washington L

So far so good, we are 3-7 after All-star break. With 4 teams tied at 22-42 every win/loss matters.

Considering how good Toronto and Chicago are playing, we might lose those 2 games i predicted as wins, but then again we might win @Pelicans.

April is gonna be brutal especially since Cavs are out of the playoff hunt. They are in the mix for 4th-8th spot. Atm they are sitting at 24-40, on a 4 game losing streak and they have Suns, Warriors, Clippers, Heat, OKC and Rockets coming up.

It will be interesting to see if Danny decides to sit some of the veterans last 6-7 games like some teams often do.
Tank Watch will be as interesting as western conference playoff race IMO. 

[Clench123]

9 more wins for the celtics.

I can see this finish:

Mil 15-67
Phi 22-60
LAL 24-58
BOS, CLE, ORL, SAC 28-54
UTA 32-50

If you are going to force me to pick tie breakers, i think the celtics finish with the 6th worst record.
And then draft Aaron Gordon with the 6th pick.

If Stevens embraces the tank in April the celtics could only win 1 of those games, and fall to the 4th worst record. But i dont think he does that.

So let me get this straight.  If we only win one game for the rest of the season, that only get us far down to fourth?

W*F lol