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Winscores for each prospect
« on: June 21, 2017, 05:26:41 PM »

Offline jyyzzoel

  • Al Horford
  • Posts: 410
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Adjusted Winscore then Wins Per 40 minutes of each prospect in top 9 or so.

Personally, I think Adjusted Winscore is the best indicator of their impact in college as it puts them on a level playing field. Just posting this because it's interesting. Found it on Boxscore Geeks

Josh Jackson:     0.211, 0.164
Markelle Fultz:    0.22, 0.212
Lonzo Ball:         0.385, 0.373
DeAaron Fox       0.204, 0.192
Dennis Smith Jr: 0.213, 0.200
Lauri M:             0.243, 0.197
Jayson Tatum:    0.173, 0.126
Isaac:                0.290, 0.257
Monk:                0.108, 0.09

Personally, adjusting for age, body comparisons, athleticism, and stats per 40 pace adjusted I think Dennis Smith Jr is the best prospect, but say what you will, this does dampen my enthusiasm on Tatum.
« Last Edit: June 21, 2017, 05:44:45 PM by jyyzzoel »
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Re: Winscores for each prospect
« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2017, 05:29:26 PM »

Offline Green-18

  • Bill Walton
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Quote from: jyyzzoel on June 21, 2017, 05:26:41 PM
Adjusted Winscore then Wins Per 40 minutes of each prospect in top 9 or so.

Personally, I think Adjusted Winscore is the best indicator of their impact in college as it puts them on a level playing field. Just posting this because it's interesting. Found it on Boxscore Geeks

Josh Jackson:     0.211, 0.164
Markelle Fultz:    0.22, 0.212
Lonzo Ball:         0.385, 0.373
DeAaron Fox       0.204, 0.192
Dennis Smith Jr: 0.213, 0.200
Lauri M:  0.243:  0.197
Jayson Tatum:    0.173, 0.126
Isaac:                0.290, 0.257
Monk:                0.108, 0.09

Personally, adjusting for age, body comparisons, athleticism, and stats per 40 pace adjusted I think Dennis Smith Jr is the best prospect, but say what you will, this does dampen my enthusiasm on Tatum.

Are you able to pull Jaylen's score from last year?  I am interested since iooks like he was easily the correct pick at #3.
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Re: Winscores for each prospect
« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2017, 05:39:37 PM »

Offline jyyzzoel

  • Al Horford
  • Posts: 410
  • Tommy Points: 47
Quote from: Green-18 on June 21, 2017, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: jyyzzoel on June 21, 2017, 05:26:41 PM
Adjusted Winscore then Wins Per 40 minutes of each prospect in top 9 or so.

Personally, I think Adjusted Winscore is the best indicator of their impact in college as it puts them on a level playing field. Just posting this because it's interesting. Found it on Boxscore Geeks

Josh Jackson:     0.211, 0.164
Markelle Fultz:    0.22, 0.212
Lonzo Ball:         0.385, 0.373
DeAaron Fox       0.204, 0.192
Dennis Smith Jr: 0.213, 0.200
Lauri M:  0.243:  0.197
Jayson Tatum:    0.173, 0.126
Isaac:                0.290, 0.257
Monk:                0.108, 0.09

Personally, adjusting for age, body comparisons, athleticism, and stats per 40 pace adjusted I think Dennis Smith Jr is the best prospect, but say what you will, this does dampen my enthusiasm on Tatum.

Are you able to pull Jaylen's score from last year?  I am interested since iooks like he was easily the correct pick at #3.

From what I remember Jaylen's was pretty low, but due to his age, body, athleticism, and work ethic I think it was a good gamble to take since they are good indicators of the potential a player has to improve. Unfortunately Tatum doesn't have anywhere near the athleticism of Jaylen so I think his ceiling is lower.
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