I don't really find this that surprising. If Okafor had the rookie season he just had twenty years ago I think he would be in play for a top 2 pick in that era. However, with the advancements that have been made in advanced stats and the direction the NBA has moved in (look at the finals big men rotation) the flaws in his game are much more high profile than they once would have been.
That seems to be the narrative everyone's going with. I don't yet buy the idea that big men are dead. I just think it's a lack of quality big men. There aren't a lot of dominant low post guys worth building a system around. I think that has more to do with it than anything.
I actually think there's a chance here at some point there's going to be a conventional big man who will show up and just eat the league alive. I'm not saying that will be Okafor. But at some point some 7'2 300+ pound monster with skill is going to show up and they are going to try sticking a 6'8 230 pound "center" like Draymond Green on him. Good luck to em.
Isn't the "New NBA" that everyone envisions just a throwback to the NBA in the 1950s before the human giants showed up and started stomping on jump-shooting white guys?
It's also just kind of funny, because no team has had more consistent success over the past 20 years than the San Antonio Spurs and they are successful, in large part, because Tim Duncan is a conventional 7 foot 250 pound big man who even in his twilight was able to make a difference for that team. Granted, Duncan was an exceptional defender which isn't how anyone would describe OKafor, but i'm more commenting on the idea that conventional bigs are seen as obsolete.
I agree with you. In fact, I think the Spurs are trying to be the unconventional team already by shooting more mid-range 2s and going in the post while playing two bigs. They are zagging when everyone else is zigging.
You can play good basketball and play big. But you have to have the players to play big basketball. You can't throw the ball to Dwight Howard 15-20 times a game in the post and expect your offense to be good. But until Cousins, Howard was the premier low post player in the NBA. 20 years ago, Howard would have been comparable to Mourning. We don't have any Hakeems, Robinsons, or Shaqs in the modern NBA and there doesn't seem to be any on the horizon.
I don't think Okafor can be that kind of player because he isn't a complete basketball player. Give me a player like Okafor who can also defend the rim and rebound, and I would fully support punishing opponents on the inside. But you can't build a team against convention around an incomplete basketball player, or else your team will struggle against the new conventional basketball style, and you, as a GM will be crucified.
He's young. Maybe he will develop. If he could play both ways, he'd be worth a top 6 pick. But GMs aren't stupid. The value of that kind of incomplete player with a non-conventional style is low right now.