I agree that there is an upper limit to how good a shooter Simmons can be. BUT, I don't think it matters. I see him more in the mold of Lamar Odom or Scottie Pippen. He doesn't need to be a sharpshooter. He won't be there at 3.
1. Philadelphia will take him because they desperately need a playmaker and he is prototypical point forward. He will have ball handling and decision making responsibilities. He won't need to be an amazing shooter as long as he keeps teams honest by attacking the hoop and scoring.
2. And of course he won't be there at 3 lol.
I remember Doug Collins quoting Dr.J, when Doc was asked why he didn't develop a great jumpshot?
- I didn't have to. He said.
There is a lot of a truth in that, he was that good back in a day.
Still, in 3pt shooting era, to say that Simmons' shooting won't matter is kinda silly to me.
I think I gave some good points on why it isn't out of the realm of possibility that he ends up being 3rd best player in the draft after couple of years.
He has more weaknessis than I and others mentioned above;
- He has no post skills at all. no jumphook, no fadeaway, no footwork in the paint.
- His defensive stance (unseen to this day) and rim protection (relying solely on athleticism against inferior competition) are on a rook Blake Griffin level. Althogh he is fairly less athletic than Blake.
That said, it is trickier to construct a team with him than it is to incorporate Ingram or Bender in todays NBA contending team IMO.
From Philies perspective, I would take Ingram, as I really need scoring and especialy shooting.
They drafted and waited Saric for 2 years. He is a point forward, basicaly a lesser version of Simmons with more heart.
And if I am L.A. it is hard to pass on Simmons and try to recreate showtime.
However, historicaly they always have the best big men. A possible 2nd comming of Pau sholdn't be ruled out automaticaly. Similarly to Philies situation, L.A. also has a promising young ballhandling 4-man in the form of Julius Randle. They also have two young guards, thirsty to get the ball after Kobes last season, last season when he was jacking it up on sight. It would hinder their growth and eventualy their value. Media pressure and shaky Jim Buss chair would be too much for him not to take Simmons though.
That said, I would say there is about 5% chance that he lands here.
I would be thrilled if that happened.
Other team was tanking the whole season for us and gave us Simmons - whoopy!
One more thing to put the things in the perspective,
Who will be better in 2019, Giannis or Ben?