Hield is 22; most players are drafted at 21 or younger.
There are two ways in which these two extra years might give a false impression of his talent.
First, he has a significant advantage over other players.
In the 18-22 range, a couple of years make a big difference.
Hield had 1-3 years more of high level basketball playing and training; he also had more time to improve his strength, speed etc
At least part of his recent success can be explained away by these factors.
Second, as a player spends more time in the NCAA it is harder to see how his skills will translate into the NBA. Add to this the danger is that the player gets used to NCAA levels of competition and might take longer to adjust to the NBA.
Clearly, being drafted young is no guarantee of success. James Young was drafted at 19, and his skills have not translated well either.
Still, I doubt Hield will maintain anything close to his present FG% and scoring against NBA defenders. DraftExpress has him at nr 7 of a weak draft class despite all the recent success. At least for now, it is best to remain a bit skeptical.
Buddy Hield is much better now than when he entered college. He's gotten better by working on his game.
I think that what he's been able to do will translate quite nicely to the next level. While it's true that he will be playing against defenders who are bigger, stronger and faster than the ones he's faced in college, I think it's conversely true that his offense could really flourish in the more wide open NBA system. He is already very adept at working off screens and getting his shot off with just a sliver of daylight.
He's being compared a lot to the likes of JJ Redick, who took a while to find his NBA groove. I think Hield is already a better driver and finisher at the rim than Redick. That will help him against players aggressively trying to close out on him.
Like Redick, Hield looks like he'll be a one position player in the pros. He's a shooting guard, and that's it. But, put him next to a lead guard who can really get in the paint and collapse defenses, and he could be scary good from very early on.
It's not like any of the other top prospects don't have risks involved with them as well. I've been well aboard the Buddy bandwagon since seeing him play early in the season. I'm staying on the wagon and going on record saying that I would love to see this kid in Celtics Green this June.