Lowe is a fantastic journalist. He controlled the interview in the exact way he needed to extract as much from Hinkie as possible. That split second of silence when he asked "is it a problem that you don't have that player (a superstar prospect) yet?" was absolutely priceless.
I got the feeling that Hinkie is quite resentful of the Celtics, particularly regarding the flak he's getting for routing Isaiah to us instead of including him in the package he got from Phoenix. He came off at quite bitter: he doesn't think it's fair that he's being painted as a failure already and he's got a great deal of conviction that he'll still be vindicated in the end.
Reading between the lines, I think Embiid's medical issues are looking fairly grim ("he's either going to be a superstar or never play in the NBA"), and the Sixers really have no clue with Saric ("we don't really have one person in charge of talking to him...").
I think the 76ers are set up to have the last laugh there.
Signs are looking very positive with Embiid. I agree, if the guy plays he'll end up a superstar. The only way he doesn't end up a superstar is if he never plays... but signs point to him playing.
So many assets. A competent GM will be able to easily turn that into a competitive team. At this point, the casual fans that don't get it aren't going to get it. They'll just have to wait and be dumfounded when suddenly Hinkie's seeds turn into an Orchard.
Dude, c'mon. Know when to concede defeat. Hinkie just did. You should follow suit.
I've had soooo many conversations about Philly on this forum and I've always tried to be pretty clear in my stance on them. My opinion gets twisted a lot. I've reiterated the same points dozens of times. You've seen them. But I'll go ahead and reiterate them again.
- Never cared about Hinkie. As far as I know, he was hired with the goal of tanking. Philly was in "superstar or bust" mode before Hinkie came on... hence going after risky guys like Andrew Bynum.
- I'm perfectly happy to see Philly fall on their face. I've never been a 76er fan.
- I think Hinkie did a fine job collecting assets, but I never felt there was anything SPECIAL about what he was doing. What he did didn't take genius. I've never seen Hinkie as an equal to Danny Ainge. What was SPECIAL was that the team was allowing and encouraging a shameless tank job. We've never seen a team so shamelessly go into "superstar or bust" mode. We've never seen a team so blatantly tank for such a prolonged period of time. We've never seen a team basically say, "this system is rigged and encourages losing... so as long as this system encourages losing, let's lose for as long as we can". They decided to run that team like you'd run a team in franchise mode on a video game... But in a video game, you have the luxury of simming full seasons in minutes without the media backlash. That was fascinating to me. I've never really cared about Hinkie. I always saw Hinkie as a puppet. He was hired to do collect assets and "let it ride", and he did a fine job at it.
I personally followed the same strategy in the Lucky17 Points League/CBPL. I joined that keeper league 7 years into their existence. The team I took over had finished in the lottery all 7 years and was currently bottom 5 in a 20 league team. I took over in Jan 2014. This was right around the time that I was desperate for Boston to bottom out and go for a star prospect in the 2014 draft. So, I followed the same exact method I take every time I start a video game franchise mode. I traded away every single player for prospects and draft picks. I intentionally bottomed out 2 years in a row. This Summer, I converted all of those assets into real tangible players. My team subsequently steamrolled the entire league. I coasted to a championship, put up a league record 32,363 points. My team had an average age of 24 and was set up to dominate for the next 10-15 years. The level of domination was so thorough that half the league threatened to quit unless I was removed. I'm told that the juggernaut I put together will be dismantled with the players distributed to the bottom-tier teams in need of bail outs.
Point is, I could follow that shameless "wait until next year" strategy in a fantasy league. I didn't have fans and media to answer to. You can do that in a video game. But not until the recent Philadelphia 76ers have we seen a team follow that strategy in the real world. Take guys like Noel and let him sit for a year. Trade guys like Michael Carter Williams for draft picks that might end up in the top 4. Draft Elfrid Payton and trade him away for Dario Saric and a future 1st with the expectation of Saric playing overseas. Literally spend $0 on competent free agent veterans in favor of trying out D-League players that help the team continue to lose. Allow a roster to be so lopsided and mismatched with no intention of fixing it in the short-term. We haven't seen something so blatant before.
And it was fascinating. It's still fascinating. As much as ignorant fans want to believe otherwise, this story is far from over. It's just entering the next phase. This signals that they are done collecting assets - now they will try to turn it into a team. Respected basketball minds like Zach Lowe and Charles Barkley back up this stance. Philly is loaded with assets, they have some very interesting prospects and tons of options heading forward. We will not know how this plays out for a few years. Guys like Barkley have commented that the team is set up very well heading forward and he's right. They have valuable pieces that can be traded for roster balance.
They are set up beautifully. This offseason could be massive for them. I've repeatedly said that this would be a dream job for a smart GM. It's a DREAM job. You can take over a team loaded with assets and young prospects, spend some cash on young guys on the promise of a "new team identity", trade the two centers you don't want for equally outstanding prospects at different positions... It has basically everything a GM could want from a team. Youth, draft picks, cap space, potentially franchise prospects.
I had no idea of Hinkie would be the guy for that job, though. Would he be the right guy to take the next step? He did a fine job amassing the assets, but would he make the right moves heading forward? Would he sell low on Okafor? Would he make bad signings? No freakin idea. I've never at any point claimed to know if Hinkie was a competent GM in that regard.
Sounds like Philly is making the right move. The Colangelo's are highly regarded. As they head into this potentially epic offseason for them, it's good to give the allure of a "fresh start" and a "winning mentality". Hinkie probably hurt that perception. Now they can engage in good-faith conversations with agents on the premise of, "Hey I know Hinkie snubbed you and the team was a mess, but now we have a totally new agenda. Things are different!". Hinkie leaving is probably for the best.
I've said a couple times before that I expect at least 4 of the top 6 players next season aren't playing for them right now. It remains a fascinating situation. Especially depending on how lucky they get in the lotto.
Truth be told, there was a time when I would have gladly swapped Boston's roster for Philly's. I stand by the belief that Philly's assets are underrated. A lot of people still believe in Saric. I think Noel is a stud. I believe Embiid still has a huge future if the bonegraft works out as well as it did for Durant and Lopez. I think they'll have tons of trade options. There is a real chance they end up with picks #1 and #4 in this draft. They have several additional 1st round picks to utilize. There was a time when I would have gladly taken that over "Marcus Smart + a pick that may or may not end up in the lotto". To be fair, I have to point out that my opinion has changed since then. There's a lot of factors as to why. #1 - I believe Boston has a legitimate shot at Kevin Durant and Al Horford this summer primarily because of how well they have played and their strong foundation/management/ownership/coaching. #2 - The Brooklyn pick has exceeded all expectations. Their lack of depth was exposed by injuries and the team struggled mightily all season. While the Philly pick is a lock for top 4, the lotto could bless us. #3 - Players like Jae Crowder and Isaiah Thomas have taken leaps. The trade value of guys like Avery Bradley have taken positive hits as well. These can't be ignored. Point is, there was a time when Philly's assets were legitimately more valuable than ours. The basketball gods have been kind to us, though. I'd take Boston's roster over it now. Granted, 6 months from now if Boston strikes out in free agency, Embiid proves to be the prospect we all thought and Philly lands Ben Simmons in the draft, I'm not going to lie about my updated opinions on the roster value just because of my Celtic fandom. THese things fluctuate. Right now, Boston looks set up better than any team in the league. I still think a smart GM will be able to turn Philly into a beast as well, though. It's going to be very very interesting to watch what happens here.
I stand by my stance that a competent GM will be able to easily turn Philly into a competitive team. I had no idea if Hinkie was that guy. I'm sure if Colangelo succeeds, people will act shocked and say he did a brilliant job "turning it around", but I genuinely think it's a dream scenario for any GM. Taking over Philly is basically "Easy Mode". It's only up from here.