With the new luxury tax restrictions, its almost impossible for any team to realistically give a player 25-27 million and try to contend. As the possibility of gaining more marquee or free agents that can possibly make a difference seems limited.
If Melo opts out of his contract next year, and re-signs with the Knicks. He could possibly be getting paid for a five year deal of 125-129 million. That is a lot of money. Considering the fact Amare would be crazy not to renew his player option, then the Knicks will have about 3-4 million cushion next year.
The kick? Melo will be 30 next year. Imagine getting paying a player over 30 million for a player that will soon be 35, and isn't known for stellar defense, or the ability to play a great role in ball movement.
Bottom line? Melo ruins and doesn't create great chemistry. He may be one of the best players in the league, but he demands the ball too frequently, and doesn't take smart shots. If you guys can barely contend for a championship while Melo is still in his prime, what makes you possibly think he can later on when his prime diminishes?
Yes he is a star, and in a star proven league, where having 1-2 superstars is a requirement in order to contend. The Knicks don't have anyone else except JR Smith, Chandler who is already declining, and Shumpert who is your only actual trade piece, albeit slightly lower than ever due to the shady injury history.
I remember when Melo and Lebron were competing in high school. These two were going to be the next superstars of the NBA, and they are. I just find it crazy that Melo had a better team with the Nuggets, and Lebron didn't have anyone substantial. And yet Lebron led his team to 19 playoff appearances or has 19 playoff appearances in his career, and Melo only has 3.
The idea to build around Melo should've been a good defensive PF, and a pass first PG like Rondo. Unfortunately, with no draft picks and no relatively open cap space it'll be hard to see Melo thinking about the future of the Knicks as something he'd like to do. He said himself he wants to win.
But who would be surprised to see him opting out and possibly finding another place to call home?
At this point if there is any inkling of him possibly wanting a trade, or opting out for FA. Then if I was James Dolan, I'd trade him for a boatload of future draft picks and young prospects along with decent vets who can fill up the cap space.