I'm not going to totally write Novak off, but it appears he may be done winning majors. Didn't win the Aussie this year (he won his last 5 there and 10 overall) and he can't beat Alcaraz on grass and probably clay at this point. Next 2 majors are hard courts, see how he does, but if he doesn't win either, I think he ends up with the 24 he has now. The new generation appears to finally have found some real replacements for the old big 3 of Federer, Nadal, and Djokovic.