Does Gay help your team?
Last year with Gay, Memphis won at a 54% clip.
With out Gay, they won at a 60% clip and won the franchises first ever playoff game and series.
Does Gay really fit well with those two big men or are they better with the stronger role players they had in the playoffs?
This is an excellent question and, to be honest, the one I anticipated and initially feared answering the most. I also questioned this a ton in the two weeks that we put the Pacers together. All the thought on this issue is what ultimately led us to not consider trading Gay (unless for an elite player) and be confident that he was a very good fit for this team.
Beginning the season, Memphis did win at a 54% clip, but let's break this down more:
From October to December, Memphis started: Conley-Mayo-Gay-Randolph-Gasol 15 times and the team had a 4-11 record during that time.
From October to the time of Gay's injury, Memphis started: Conley-TA/Young-Gay-Randolph-Gasol and the team had a 27-15 (64%) record.
Yay for small sample sizes!
I think your team is going to struggle to replicate the Grizzlies formula. They were effective on defense primarily because they forced so many turnovers, I don't see your modified Grizzlies as beign able to replicate that.
Well, to be fair, 27-15 is 42 games. Yet people seem very comfortable judging the post-Gay Grizzlies on 25 regular season and 13 postseason games (total of 38). I don't see those 42 games (over half a season) with Gay and without Mayo as being too small of a sample size to consider since people feel just fine judging the 38 game Grizzlies w/o Gay.
What I'd like to point out is that we are not trying to "replicate the Grizzlies formula". We are trying to do this:
- Pound the ball down low and rebound well
- Spread the floor for our bigs down low with outside shooting(Memphis did poorly)
- Attack the lane from the point at times with Tony Parker and Teague
- Defend wings well on the perimeter at all times
- Have good scoring options when our bench bigs sit (Gay provides to us)
A few of those goals are very similar to the playoff Grizzlies, but I think we are a little different than the playoff Grizzlies. If we cannot force as many turnovers as the playoff Grizzlies, then we have other aspects of our game we do much better, like spreading the floor, attacking the lane from the point, and having a fantastic option to score points in Gay against other benches when Randolph and Gasol sit.
Some people may certainly think that the... 5 or so extra turnovers that Memphis could possibly create outweighs all the other advantages the Pawnee Pacers have over the Grizzlies. But we feel that our current advantages outweigh those few extra turnovers.