Author Topic: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings  (Read 591604 times)

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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1380 on: July 28, 2011, 03:14:32 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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Hey, fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice....and I won't get fooled again!

Don't Get Fooled AGAIN!

I'd say, head to head matchup, I still lean your way though.

Well I appreciate that, and frankly, playoff seeding is not really that big a deal to me.

But you're saying a team that starts Baron Davis, Caron Butler, 34 year old 'I'm saving it for the Playoffs' Paul Pierce, 35 year old 'I'm also saving it for the playoffs' Kevin Garnett and Al 'No Defense' Jefferson is going to manage to stay focused, healthy, and consistent enough to achieve a higher number of playoff wins that my more talented, better put together, and more likable squad? 

Yes, yes I am.

I don't get it.

IP, do we have a ruling on Gaberk? How should we rank him?

I'm ranking him last. I learned my lesson with Ohio Celts Fan last year.

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like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1381 on: July 28, 2011, 03:27:14 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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To be transparent, i've swapped the jazz and blazers. IP's points about possible injuries , minute limitations is valid.

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1382 on: July 28, 2011, 03:38:50 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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kappa-chow.

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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1383 on: July 28, 2011, 03:51:02 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1384 on: July 28, 2011, 03:55:32 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

Well, in my mind there are 4 legitimate contenders. You're one of them, but its gonna come down to matchups.

"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1385 on: July 28, 2011, 03:59:34 PM »

Offline celticpride07

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

not a chance..pp kg and big al
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Pg: Jennings/Vasquez
Sg: Wade/R. Allen/Rivers
SF: Lebron/M. Williams
PF: Bosh/Humphries
C: B. Lopez/Dalembert/Anthony

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1386 on: July 28, 2011, 04:15:16 PM »

Offline action781

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

Well, in my mind there are 4 legitimate contenders. You're one of them, but its gonna come down to matchups.

I agree it will largely come down to matchups.  Teams who match up against us earlier are eliminated earlier and teams who get matched up against us later still get to be remembered as "Western conference champion" and "Eastern Conference finalist"
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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1387 on: July 28, 2011, 04:18:55 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

Well, in my mind there are 4 legitimate contenders. You're one of them, but its gonna come down to matchups.

Just four?  I see 6 or 7.  Depending upon how they argue, I could see any of these teams winning:

Philly
Indiana
Washington
Portland
Sacramento
Golden State
Utah



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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1388 on: July 28, 2011, 04:31:19 PM »

Offline Kane3387

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To be transparent, i've swapped the jazz and blazers. IP's points about possible injuries , minute limitations is valid.


My depth is better then IPs though. My sixth man is capable of starting and will get starter's minutes. My backup Center is better. He only got 18 mpg last season where as the season before he got 31 mpg. I got him playing close to 30 mpg and in that time believe he can flirt with averaging a double double while never having a play run for him. I also have the best perimeter defender in Thabo for either team.

He's a good salesman and he has to be. I mean he's banking on always hurt Bogut, don't like defense and have to play in a fast offense Amare (Bogut plays slow), nothing special Delfino, never played an NBA minute Williams, still has a lot to prove Lowry (not sold on him), never consistent lost all his minutes robin lopez, solid but never part of the future sessions, and bench player behind Thabo lots to prove Harden. Tons of Question Marks surround his team.


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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1389 on: July 28, 2011, 04:33:52 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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So I'm gonna win this thing, huh?

Well, in my mind there are 4 legitimate contenders. You're one of them, but its gonna come down to matchups.

Ha, I didn't mean it seriously. I was just trying to bump it.

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1390 on: July 28, 2011, 04:37:06 PM »

Offline Kane3387

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Quote from: IndeedProceed on Yesterday at 02:32:19 pm
Forgive me, Al Jefferson.

Quote from: NBC Sports' Pro Basketball Talk
The Jazz’s real problem has been their defense. Last season, the Jazz ranked 11th in defensive efficiency. This season, they rank 2oth. There are a number of reasons why the Jazz aren’t playing as well defensively as they did the last season, but the biggest one is likely Al Jefferson.

There’s a lot to like about Al Jefferson’s game. At 26 years old, he’s one of the few remaining pure post-up players in the NBA, and his jump hook is a thing of beauty. He’s capable of scoring from the block in a way that most young players simply aren’t taught to anymore, and that’s why he was the centerpiece of the trade that got the Celtics KG.

However, no team has ever been able to play decent def,ense while starting Al Jefferson, and that hasn’t changed now that Jefferson is in Utah. Starting in the 06-07 season, when Jefferson first became a starter for the Celtics, here are the number of points per 100 possessions Jefferson’s teams have given up when he was on/off the floor:

06-07 Celtics: 108.5 with Jefferson/102.8 without Jefferson

07-08 Timberwolves: 116.0 with Jefferson/103.9 without Jefferson

08-09 Timberwolves: 112.3 with Jefferson/113.2 without Jefferson

09-10 Timberwolves: 113.1 with Jefferson/111.2 without Jefferson

10-11 Jazz: 112.0 with Jefferson/101.3 without Jefferson

As you can see, the only teams that didn’t play significantly worse defense with Jefferson on the floor were the 08-09 and 09-10 Timberwolves, and that was only because they were so bad defensively Jefferson wasn’t able to do much damage. +/- is a very dangerous stat, but Al Jefferson has started for six seasons for three different teams, and all of them have played horrible defense when he is on the floor.

None of this disputes anecdotal evidence, either: Jefferson can block shots, but he’s extremely slow-moving on defense, doesn’t expend much energy on that end, and has long been considered a defensive liability.

Jefferson also primarily has been paired with a less in shape Perkins (pre-KG), Kevin Love, and Paul Milsap. None of those guys are specifically known for their help defense. Now you pair him with KG and things change.

The last few years Shaq was known as a liability on defense. Perk was known as a great defender... And when you exchanged Perk for Shaq was the Celtics defense really affected? Nope. Why is this? Kevin Garnett!

The maniacal defender he is still, and still one of the best help defenders in the NBA. Only Howard might be better. You can yell and scream Rajon Rondo's presence all you want but see below:

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According to the Elias Sports Bureau, the Celtics are averaging 101.9 points per 48 minutes with Garnett on the court, while their opponents put up 91.2 points per 48 minutes. In other words, the Celtics outscore their opponents by an average of 10.7 points per 48 minutes with him playing.

But when Garnett is not playing -- both when he has missed games and when he is on the bench -- the Celtics put up 97.1 points per 48 minutes compared with their opponents' 95.0 -- just a 2.1-point advantage.

KG covers up mistakes so well not even the video cameras catch them sometimes. On top of that when KG is out Big Al will be playing with Haywood at C, who is arguably the best shot blocking big man he has ever played with.

Against Stoudemire teams have to play very good TEAM defense. No one will be asking Big Al to go out there and shut down Stoudemire. But it's not like Bogut is super quick to begin with anyways. He's not going to blow by Jefferson but rather attempt to shoot over him.

Depending on your pace how many touches will Bogut see on the block anyway?

This is still a question you haven't answered... How fast will you play? Amare has shown if he doesn't play fast he isn't as effective and gets unhappy.

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They were winning boat loads of games under Mike D’Antoni and Stoudemire was one of the most dynamic big men in the league paired wih Steve Nash.

Then general manager Steve Kerr gets the brilliant idea to bring in a not-so-mobile, aging Shaq with the idea that the Suns needed to do something other than run-and-gun. Oh yes, they need a slow, plodding presence in the middle to compete with the Spurs and Lakers. Right.

It hasn’t worked out so well, as you may have heard, and Stoudemire has gotten lost in first-year coach Terry Porter’s slower, more methodical offense.

Now those rumblings have come back: It appears the Suns front office is now more willing to trade Stoudemire because he’s probably their most valuable piece, “appreciation for him locally is declining,” whatever that means, and the Suns are flat struggling.

http://rumorsandrants.com/2009/02/memo-to-paxson-do-something-worthwhile-and-get-amare.html

Bogut definitely isn't the most mobile guy... Defensively I agree Bogut can have Amare's back when he gets beat, which he will a lot, but offensively they aren't as good a fit as you are making them out to be. Bogut is good in the halfcourt but he doesn't play fast.

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But I'll be darned if the hard-nosed, old-school Skiles isn't adapting big time before our eyes. Folks, your Milwaukee Bucks are runnin' like Nellie's Warriors and pushin' it like D'Antoni's Knicks. Check out what the Bucks have done the past three games: 121 points versus the Pistons, 124 versus the Rockets and 122 versus the Pacers.

Yes, that's a small sample size, skewed by the fact the Detroit game went to OT and that Indiana barely defends at all. But something's happening here.

Actually, someone's missing here: Andrew Bogut. Bogut has a stress fracture in his back and may not return this season. So Skiles is adapting, not because Charles Darwin had a birthday this week, but because without Bogut, the Bucks' only options in the post are Francisco Elson and Dan Gadzuric. And "Elson," "Gadzuric" and "NBA-caliber starting center" are some more words that simply don't go together.

"With (Bogut) out, we're going to have to play a faster pace," Richard Jefferson told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. "That means more shots and more possessions. … Because there's so much up and down and so many points from fast breaks, it's going to make the scores a little bit higher."

http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/basketball/fba/story?page=nbaforecaster08week17

See when Milwaukee has Bogut they are more of a grind it out half court team. That's not the system that Amare thrives in. He doesn't want to thrive in it either.


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When asked whether he felt Porter's new system was helping that cause, Stoudemire said, "I'm not sure."

When told it wasn't good for him to feel that way, his response: "It ain't great!"

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"You're not wrong in that we're not where we want to be yet," Nash said. "We're not running as much as we would like to. We've got some work to do.

"We emphasized going inside and our half-court game for six weeks during training camp and the preseason. That's what you're seeing. If we play too methodically for all 82 games, it's going to wear guys down. No doubt.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/columns/story?columnist=smith_stephen&page=Stoudemire-081128

You're doing a GREAT job selling your team. I applaud that and am enjoying the challenge of the debate, but the fit with Bogut and Amare is greatly exaggerated. I think you would have been better off getting a guy like Noah who runs the floor well and plays well in the same style as Amare.
« Last Edit: July 28, 2011, 04:52:31 PM by Kane3387 »


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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1391 on: July 28, 2011, 04:44:57 PM »

Offline StartOrien

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Hold your fire, men.

Don't wanna play all your cards for better seeding.

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1392 on: July 28, 2011, 04:57:45 PM »

Offline indeedproceed

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To be transparent, i've swapped the jazz and blazers. IP's points about possible injuries , minute limitations is valid.


My depth is better then IPs though. My sixth man is capable of starting and will get starter's minutes. My backup Center is better. He only got 18 mpg last season where as the season before he got 31 mpg. I got him playing close to 30 mpg and in that time believe he can flirt with averaging a double double while never having a play run for him. I also have the best perimeter defender in Thabo for either team.

1) My backup center is Amar'e Stoudemire. Your backup center is not better. However, your backup center is probably better for your team than your actual center, who has one elite aspect of one part of the game. Everything else he's average to mediocre to bad at.

2) Thabo Sefelosha is a great perimeter defender. For those 18 minutes a game he's manning one of the swing positions, you've got a really good chance to shutting down my 3rd or 4th scoring option, while basically giving up all positibe offense production from him during that time.

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He's a good salesman and he has to be. I mean he's banking on always hurt Bogut, don't like defense and have to play in a fast offense Amare (Bogut plays slow), nothing special Delfino, never played an NBA minute Williams, still has a lot to prove Lowry (not sold on him), never consistent lost all his minutes robin lopez, solid but never part of the future sessions, and bench player behind Thabo lots to prove Harden. Tons of Question Marks surround his team.

Ha, well that was a nice line there. I'm not even going to get into the lines about my team, because frankly, we've dosie-doe'd that dance already and I'm getting ready to leave work.

But the first one I will address, because its the second time you've said it. I let it go the first time, but it kind of nags at me. I love when people accuse other GM's of 'being a good salesman', because it automatically implies A) that my product is inferior, so I have to 'sell' it better, and B) that I'm being disingenuous. What people don't realize is that maybe I'm such a "Good Salesman" because I went out there and made "Good Trades", drafted players for mostly "Good Value", and put together a team that had a "Good Fit". Maybe I assembled a "Good Product" that I genuinely believe in and enjoy talking about. And maybe that "Good Product" is actually a lot better than you are admitting and/or believe.

Its an annoying cheap shot to make in this contest I think, that's all.


"You've gotta respect a 15-percent 3-point shooter. A guy
like that is always lethal." - Evan 'The God' Turner

Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1393 on: July 28, 2011, 05:02:05 PM »

Offline Kane3387

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Hey, fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice....and I won't get fooled again!

Don't Get Fooled AGAIN!

I'd say, head to head matchup, I still lean your way though.

>:(


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Re: 2011 CB draft: How does my team look?/division rankings
« Reply #1394 on: July 28, 2011, 05:07:13 PM »

Offline Roy H.

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Don't worry, IP.  I think being a "good salesman" is a compliment.  It's better than the "you're an attorney, and it shows" line that's been thrown my way before. ;)

I do disagree with this statement, though:

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However, your backup center is probably better for your team than your actual center, who has one elite aspect of one part of the game. Everything else he's average to mediocre to bad at

That's probably stating the case against Big Al a little harshly.  He does have an elite aspect of his game -- his post scoring.  However, he was 8th in the NBA in rebounding and was in the top 13 in both offensive and defensive rebounding; that's not a mediocre skill.  He was in the top-40 in FG% (ahead of Bogut); again, not a mediocre skill.  

Jefferson is a pretty poor defender and passer, but he's pretty good in terms of scoring and rebounding.  I would probably lean toward starting Haywood, as well, but I do think the Jefferson / KG lineup will pose problems for a lot of teams.


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