Author Topic: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.  (Read 5442 times)

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Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #15 on: February 21, 2011, 10:30:21 AM »

Offline jdub1660

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Chandler in a heartbeat. The guy has significantly improved his shot over the past 3 years and looks to have even beefed up some.

Gallinari to me is like another Peja. He's long so should be able to play good D, but gets shot on all day long for his lack of athleticism. He can shoot lights out, but how much of that is do to D'Antoni's system? Put him in Denver and see what he averages.
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Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #16 on: February 21, 2011, 10:37:44 AM »

Offline housecall

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W.Chandler is more consistent and versatile...has some of the same qualities a younger J.Posey with the intangilbles he brings to the court.

Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #17 on: February 21, 2011, 10:54:23 AM »

Offline Witch-King

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Their stats are pretty similar though Chandler has been in the league a year longer and shoots a higher % from the field.

I like Gallinari's size at the position of small forward and he's an excellent free throw shooter; if his long range shooting continues to improve each season then he is definitely on pace to become one of the better perimeter shooters in the NBA.

Comparing him to Peja Stojakovic might not be so far-fetched besides the fact that Peja has been the NBA's 3-point champion twice in his career however there are numerous talented perimeter shooters in the NBA who haven't won the NBA 3-point contest before, ie. Dirk Nowitzki, Kevin Durant, Steve Nash, Chauncey Billups, Matt Bonner, JJ. Redick, etc.

Right now I'd probably go with Wilson Chandler, but a few seasons from now Gallinari, if he improves his defense and rebounding.
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Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #18 on: February 21, 2011, 11:00:01 AM »

Offline Fan from VT

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A couple random points:

-In Chandler's player preview, he noted that for whatever reason, Chandler is unable to draw fouls. This has continued this year, with 2.3 ft attempts per game compared to 6.0 for Gallinari. This is why, despite strikingly similar other numbers, Gallo has a marked advantage in True Shooting % of 60 compared to 54.8.

-Because they are on the same team and play a similar position (3/4 tweener), perhaps looking at on/off stats would help:

82 games has Chandler as an 18.0 on offense and holding his opponent to 13.6, for a +4.4. Gallo is at an 16.5, holding opponents to a 19.0 for a -2.5. For adjusted plus/minus, Chandler is a +7.0, while Gallo is a +1.4.

Of their top 12 most used lineups, 4 have both Gallo and Chandler. The ones with just Gallo are -23, -18, -6; the ones with just Chandler are +20, +8, +2, +2, +9.

When on the floor, Chandler helps the knicks to +7.8 on offense, but the defense is slightly worse, as they give up +1 points per 100 possessions more when he's on the floor. Gallo has a similar effect on offense at +7.4, but the defense gives up +4.8 more points when on the floor. Thus the Net +/- for each when on the floor is +6.8 for Chandler and +2.7 for Gallo.


Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #19 on: February 21, 2011, 11:55:01 AM »

Offline action781

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There are definitely a lot of compelling cases brought up here for Chandler.  I agree that Chandler is having the beter season this season than Gallinari.  Most statistics already shown here will show that to be true.  A few things:

1.  Chandler's statistics are a bit bloated right now.  Chandler is super athletic and I think that helped him really excel in the D'Antoni system to begin the season.  I think after the Knicks got a few looks from around the league, teams figured out how to adjust.  His numbers across the board (fg%, 3pt%, ftm, rebounds, blocks, points) are all down since Jan. 1.  That's a very large sample of games too.

2.  Chandler has played a whole season over Gallinari.  While both are young and improving, Gallo has more room to improve in my opinion.

3.  The two of them are both being asked to be 3/4 tweeners this season.  I think both of them are 3's.  I think that Chandler is the player capable of being more successful as a 3/4 tweener because of his superior strength and athleticism.  I think Gallinari will be more successful as a pure 3 because he is more of a pure shooter (I don't care what stats you try to use to say otherwise).  If you like versatile players, you'll like Chandler.  If you prefer players who can be great at one position, you'll like Gallinari.  I love versatile players, but love them as bench players, not starters.
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Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #20 on: February 21, 2011, 12:01:56 PM »

Offline Surferdad

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A couple random points:

-In Chandler's player preview, he noted that for whatever reason, Chandler is unable to draw fouls. This has continued this year, with 2.3 ft attempts per game compared to 6.0 for Gallinari. This is why, despite strikingly similar other numbers, Gallo has a marked advantage in True Shooting % of 60 compared to 54.8.

-Because they are on the same team and play a similar position (3/4 tweener), perhaps looking at on/off stats would help:

82 games has Chandler as an 18.0 on offense and holding his opponent to 13.6, for a +4.4. Gallo is at an 16.5, holding opponents to a 19.0 for a -2.5. For adjusted plus/minus, Chandler is a +7.0, while Gallo is a +1.4.

Of their top 12 most used lineups, 4 have both Gallo and Chandler. The ones with just Gallo are -23, -18, -6; the ones with just Chandler are +20, +8, +2, +2, +9.

When on the floor, Chandler helps the knicks to +7.8 on offense, but the defense is slightly worse, as they give up +1 points per 100 possessions more when he's on the floor. Gallo has a similar effect on offense at +7.4, but the defense gives up +4.8 more points when on the floor. Thus the Net +/- for each when on the floor is +6.8 for Chandler and +2.7 for Gallo.


As far as +/-, Chandler probably starts more than Gallinari so he playing with better players.

Re: Who you like, Gallinari or Wilson.
« Reply #21 on: February 21, 2011, 12:19:49 PM »

Offline Fan from VT

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A couple random points:

-In Chandler's player preview, he noted that for whatever reason, Chandler is unable to draw fouls. This has continued this year, with 2.3 ft attempts per game compared to 6.0 for Gallinari. This is why, despite strikingly similar other numbers, Gallo has a marked advantage in True Shooting % of 60 compared to 54.8.

-Because they are on the same team and play a similar position (3/4 tweener), perhaps looking at on/off stats would help:

82 games has Chandler as an 18.0 on offense and holding his opponent to 13.6, for a +4.4. Gallo is at an 16.5, holding opponents to a 19.0 for a -2.5. For adjusted plus/minus, Chandler is a +7.0, while Gallo is a +1.4.

Of their top 12 most used lineups, 4 have both Gallo and Chandler. The ones with just Gallo are -23, -18, -6; the ones with just Chandler are +20, +8, +2, +2, +9.

When on the floor, Chandler helps the knicks to +7.8 on offense, but the defense is slightly worse, as they give up +1 points per 100 possessions more when he's on the floor. Gallo has a similar effect on offense at +7.4, but the defense gives up +4.8 more points when on the floor. Thus the Net +/- for each when on the floor is +6.8 for Chandler and +2.7 for Gallo.


As far as +/-, Chandler probably starts more than Gallinari so he playing with better players.

Nope, that's accounted for. I just looked at their 12 most used lineups.

http://www.82games.com/1011/1011NYK2.HTM

#1 (Starters?) is Felton-Fields-Chandler-Gallo-Stoudemire. +74
-so they both get this big +.
#2 is Felton-Fields-Gallinari-Stoudemire-Turiaf. -23
-(so their second most common is to drop Chandler and add Turiaf; -23 for Gallo without chandler)
#3 is Felton-Douglas-Chandler-Gallinari-Stoudemire. -10
-for both, again.
#4 Felton-Fields-Gallinari-Stoudemire-Mozgov. -18
-So now it's minus chandler with Mozgov. Negative for Gallo. So far, the lineup with all starters and just subbing one bench for Chandler has resulted in negatives. And remember, these are listed in order of most minutes played together. So Gallo is playing tons of minutes with mostly starters.
#5 Felton-Douglas-Fields-Chandler-Stoudemire +20
-So here we've taken the starters, dropped Gallo out, added douglas. +20.
#6 Felton-Fields-Chandler-Stoudemire-Turiaf +8
-Or, as in #2, it's drop one of the tweeners (gallo this time) and add Turiaf. Positive this time.
#7 Felton-Fields-Chandler-Williams-Stoudemire +2
-Or swap Gallo for Shawne Williams. Still small +.
#8  Felton-Chandler-Gallinari-Stoudemire-Turiaf +12
-Now they are both in, so both are getting the positive here. This is essentially their "big" starters: drop Fields, insert Turiaf.
#9  Felton-Douglas-Chandler-Stoudemire-Turiaf +2
-Now drop 2 starters (Gallo, Fields), insert Douglas/Turiaf off the bench, slight +. More bench players than any lineup with Gallo so far.
#10 Felton-Chandler-Gallinari-Williams-Stoudemire -1
-Both in, so it won't affect the comparison
#11 Douglas-Walker-Chandler-Randolph-Turiaf +9
-Here's a real bench lineup: Chandler is the only starter. Positive still.
#12 Felton-Douglas-Gallinari-Stoudemire-Turiaf -9
-Gallo with 2 bench players. Negative.



So i arbitrarily limited it to the top 12 lineups by time played. But really, their most popular lineups have almost all starters with various swaps of 1 player off the bench, sometimes 2. So Gallo and Chandler are most often playing with each other or with other starters, and so far this season, Chandler's been on the court for positives, and Gallo for negatives, when only one of the two has been playing at the same time. Most of the time they've played together for a positive, but Gallo's significantly lesser +/- is not because he's playing with the bench; he is mostly playing with starters, but in the negative while Chandler is in the positive with essentially the same players.