Heres the problem guys and its bigger than what is the right worth for Ray at this point of his career. Lets say he was offered a contract of 8 million per year for 3 years. How would he feel about that compared to what KG and PP are/will get?
I think Ray will be fine with it. He wants to stay in Boston and knows its basically MLE money to play for another contender or short term dollars to play for a bad team. We hold all the cards and he knows it.
So, wait until the end of the season and we will know:
1) If the team is still a contender or not
2) If Ray is starting quality on a contender, ready for a key bench role, or done (last one unlikely IMO)
Then (assuming Celtics are still contending and Ray is healthy) most likely scenario is for Ainge to put a 2 yr, $7-8 mill offer on the table as a marker and then let him play the FA market and see what offers he gets. If we are lucky, might even get him for the MLE!
Basically, Ray can't complain about $7-8 mill if no-one offers more than that. If he does get a bigger offer, Ainge should rightly let him walk with no hard feelings.
Pierce will no doubt take up his option next season and thats fine, but Ainge can then do the same thing with Pierce in the 2011 off season as I am suggesting with Allen above.
Ainge is in a powerful position, so as long as he sticks to his guns, the Celtics will be in a good position to transition to the post big three era in 2012-13, either via trades or FA signings.