Author Topic: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?  (Read 56373 times)

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Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #105 on: July 19, 2008, 01:30:30 AM »

Offline timepiece33

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Celtics only worth $391 millions dollars.

In 2002, the Celtics were worth $290 MM. That $101MM increase in franchise value is a decent return over a 5 year period.   

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/print?id=1307993&type=story

Plus, I'm going to be curious what the brand management component of this franchise will be after winning the championship.

When I hear owner's "don't make" money, I always wonder how they take their payment.   You realize that an owner could pull in a $1MM salary AND the franchise will break even.   Depends on how you look at things.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #106 on: July 19, 2008, 06:18:18 AM »

Offline jxu66

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But the Celtics were purchased for $360 millions in '02 by the current owners.  So over 8 years, it only increased $32 millions dollar.  That's not exact great return.  Furthermore, Celtics were bought with big leverage payment (huge loan payment).  So that's why I believe that there is budget restraint
demanded by the owners.

I am not saying Celtics being cheap.  That's definitely not true (Celtics have sixth highest salary in the league as right now).  But they have limit financially. 

That's why Mark Cuban is great money owners.  He doesn't care fiscal at all and always run red (almost $20 millions) a year.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2008, 06:47:33 AM by jxu66 »

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #107 on: July 19, 2008, 08:41:59 AM »

Offline nickagneta

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Celtics only worth $391 millions dollars.

In 2002, the Celtics were worth $290 MM. That $101MM increase in franchise value is a decent return over a 5 year period.   

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/print?id=1307993&type=story

Plus, I'm going to be curious what the brand management component of this franchise will be after winning the championship.

When I hear owner's "don't make" money, I always wonder how they take their payment.   You realize that an owner could pull in a $1MM salary AND the franchise will break even.   Depends on how you look at things.
This is the part of ownership that many people overlook when discussing teams making money. That said, in order to continue such increases in the value of the asset that is the team, a proper profit and loss statement should be kept every year.  If the team loses money over a long period of time it is possible that the team's value will fall.

This component is less valid in professional sports, however, as belonging to the Association guarantees certain revenue streams that maintains a certain value within the franchise.

But the Celtics were purchased for $360 millions in '02 by the current owners.  So over 8 years, it only increased $32 millions dollar.  That's not exact great return.  Furthermore, Celtics were bought with big leverage payment (huge loan payment).  So that's why I believe that there is budget restraint
demanded by the owners.

I am not saying Celtics being cheap.  That's definitely not true (Celtics have sixth highest salary in the league as right now).  But they have limit financially. 

That's why Mark Cuban is great money owners.  He doesn't care fiscal at all and always run red (almost $20 millions) a year.

Like a house that ispurchased a team's value is not indicative as to what it cansell for on the open market. Although valued at $391 million this team could sell for upwards of $500 million right now.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #108 on: July 19, 2008, 08:55:16 AM »

Offline timepiece33

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But the Celtics were purchased for $360 millions in '02 by the current owners.  So over 8 years, it only increased $32 millions dollar.  That's not exact great return.  Furthermore, Celtics were bought with big leverage payment (huge loan payment).  So that's why I believe that there is budget restraint demanded by the owners.

http://money.cnn.com/2002/09/27/news/companies/celtics/index.htm

The Celtics previous owners took responsibility for $50MM in debt that were part of any valuation of the team (probably based on the debt structure of the deal;more favorable terms).  Since we don't know the structure of that debt, it is fair to say that the owners paid about a $15 to $20MM premium.  That isn't that uncommon.

For a valuation to average an 8% yearly increase is not a bad thing.  Do you believe franchises sell for more than book value? 

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #109 on: July 19, 2008, 09:35:47 AM »

Offline CoachBo

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Celtics has a financial budget restraint due to not owning fleet center and high debt ratio (around 46%) according to Forbe magazine.  Last year, they spent around $84.3 millions dollars on players' salary (jump from $67 millions the year before).  According to DA, they overspent on the budget last year (i.e. owners made a little or no money last year). So far this year, they spent around $74 millions already on the salary.  So had they spent on Posey, they would only sign minimum salary players. 

Anyway, we all wish the owners to be Cuban, but Celtics' owners are not Cuban.  They want to make money (or at least no lose money) on the team.  Of course, fans don't care about that, but we need to realize that Celtics organization is business as well.

Pats (1.2 billions) and Red Sox (816 millions) are not good comparison.  Celtics only worth $391 millions dollars.
A Tommy Point on your first post, well done!! An excellent and different way of looking at things and it demonstrates exactly why the Celtics need to exercise caution and financial prudence.

Resigning Posey doesn't do anything more to get this team closer to winning a championship than any other move or group of moves will. His presence is not some special "Go directly to the Finals. Do not pass GO. Do not collect $200." card. All his presence does is put confidence in the fans due to the familiarity of what we had and that it is still here.

But a mentor of mine once told me that there is a million ways to make a million dollars. The same result often can be reached by taking different paths.

Danny chose, for reason of his own knowing that his bench player that is 1st or 2nd off the bench, who has a deadly and timely three point shot but otherwise quickly eroding offensive game, a very good defensive game against larger more physical 2s, 3s, and smallish quick 4's, and who produces only about 7.5PPG, 4.5RPG and 1 SPG isn't worth, due to every contract that gets signed from this point on this year $11 million in salary and penalties and at the very least another $19 million over the next 3 years.

Danny stated in an interview that with Posey playing the 4 they were not a successful time. Danny and Doc may have decided that with their half court offensive proficiency playing big is a better option for them. If so Posey's presence would only then been religated to playing behind Pierce which is a significant decrease in minutes. The cost may not have been worth it.

If indeed the team will be playing a more conventional lineup or big lineup next year because the management and coaches feel that is a better game for them than Posey would not be as important in that scheme as possible players Danny may pick up.

Speculation? Absolutely, 100% of it. But if that is what management is looking to do, then thye deemed Posey expendable and too expensive.



Also can we please stop with the "if the Big Three were young stuff then the move would be okay". NBA Champions, with the exception of the 2000 and 2002 Lakers have all been teams with average age being 28 years old or older going all the way back to the early Bulls teams. With the exception of taking the two best basketball players on the planet who neither were older than 29 when they won their third and last championship together and putting them on the same team, NBA Champions are older teams.

It's been pretty much an axiom in the NBA forever. Older experienced teams win championships. You say if they were three years or more younger than signing Posey was the right move. I say if they were 3 years younger they wouldn't have been mature enough to blend their talents and win it all. They wouldn't have been NBA champions. So can we please stop using that saying. They won because they are older and wiser and more experienced.

The team has their older core together and in place and like the Spurs of 2004, they have some very young and promising talent around it that could, because of their presence around the veteran core, move this team forward in the coming years like Parker and Ginobelli did with the Spurs.

With the exception of the Bulls and Lakers every team has been talking about a window of opportunity since the 90's Pistons. That window hasn't closed or isn't any less open because James Posey won't be on the bench collecting $5.6 million paychecks and playing 20 or less MPG over the next 4 years. Others will be brought in and melded into the experienced older core and the youth will grow faster and better because of their proximity to the older core.

I think that with good drafts, smart trades, wise financial planning, mixed with an astute eye for talent and where that talent is heading, and proper player development and integration to the team this team can still win a couple of championships over the next 5-6 years not just 2 years. But if management overreacts and overspends everytime someone's contract expires or someone gets injured, they will never win another championship.

Patience people. Let's wait til opening day or at least until Danny has 14 players signed before labeling a Posey leaving as the reason for the Celtics falling back into some serious decline(overstatement but you get the point)!

Nick, if there were quality options left on the board I'd agree in total with you. But with all due respect, I don't. We have a couple of years left to chase a title, and I frankly don't see us moving toward anything resembling adequate championship-caliber replacements - one player or a combination - for Posey, PJ Brown or, for that matter, Eddie House.

We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut. Danny has said he's done signing bigs, and I find that fact more disturbing, frankly, than the Posey situation.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion, and I'm curious about the motivation for the bad start.
« Last Edit: July 19, 2008, 09:49:31 AM by CoachBo »
Coined the CelticsBlog term, "Euromistake."

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #110 on: July 19, 2008, 09:56:00 AM »

Offline BballTim

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #111 on: July 19, 2008, 09:58:58 AM »

Offline nickagneta

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Celtics has a financial budget restraint due to not owning fleet center and high debt ratio (around 46%) according to Forbe magazine.  Last year, they spent around $84.3 millions dollars on players' salary (jump from $67 millions the year before).  According to DA, they overspent on the budget last year (i.e. owners made a little or no money last year). So far this year, they spent around $74 millions already on the salary.  So had they spent on Posey, they would only sign minimum salary players. 

Anyway, we all wish the owners to be Cuban, but Celtics' owners are not Cuban.  They want to make money (or at least no lose money) on the team.  Of course, fans don't care about that, but we need to realize that Celtics organization is business as well.

Pats (1.2 billions) and Red Sox (816 millions) are not good comparison.  Celtics only worth $391 millions dollars.
A Tommy Point on your first post, well done!! An excellent and different way of looking at things and it demonstrates exactly why the Celtics need to exercise caution and financial prudence.

Resigning Posey doesn't do anything more to get this team closer to winning a championship than any other move or group of moves will. His presence is not some special "Go directly to the Finals. Do not pass GO. Do not collect $200." card. All his presence does is put confidence in the fans due to the familiarity of what we had and that it is still here.

But a mentor of mine once told me that there is a million ways to make a million dollars. The same result often can be reached by taking different paths.

Danny chose, for reason of his own knowing that his bench player that is 1st or 2nd off the bench, who has a deadly and timely three point shot but otherwise quickly eroding offensive game, a very good defensive game against larger more physical 2s, 3s, and smallish quick 4's, and who produces only about 7.5PPG, 4.5RPG and 1 SPG isn't worth, due to every contract that gets signed from this point on this year $11 million in salary and penalties and at the very least another $19 million over the next 3 years.

Danny stated in an interview that with Posey playing the 4 they were not a successful time. Danny and Doc may have decided that with their half court offensive proficiency playing big is a better option for them. If so Posey's presence would only then been religated to playing behind Pierce which is a significant decrease in minutes. The cost may not have been worth it.

If indeed the team will be playing a more conventional lineup or big lineup next year because the management and coaches feel that is a better game for them than Posey would not be as important in that scheme as possible players Danny may pick up.

Speculation? Absolutely, 100% of it. But if that is what management is looking to do, then thye deemed Posey expendable and too expensive.



Also can we please stop with the "if the Big Three were young stuff then the move would be okay". NBA Champions, with the exception of the 2000 and 2002 Lakers have all been teams with average age being 28 years old or older going all the way back to the early Bulls teams. With the exception of taking the two best basketball players on the planet who neither were older than 29 when they won their third and last championship together and putting them on the same team, NBA Champions are older teams.

It's been pretty much an axiom in the NBA forever. Older experienced teams win championships. You say if they were three years or more younger than signing Posey was the right move. I say if they were 3 years younger they wouldn't have been mature enough to blend their talents and win it all. They wouldn't have been NBA champions. So can we please stop using that saying. They won because they are older and wiser and more experienced.

The team has their older core together and in place and like the Spurs of 2004, they have some very young and promising talent around it that could, because of their presence around the veteran core, move this team forward in the coming years like Parker and Ginobelli did with the Spurs.

With the exception of the Bulls and Lakers every team has been talking about a window of opportunity since the 90's Pistons. That window hasn't closed or isn't any less open because James Posey won't be on the bench collecting $5.6 million paychecks and playing 20 or less MPG over the next 4 years. Others will be brought in and melded into the experienced older core and the youth will grow faster and better because of their proximity to the older core.

I think that with good drafts, smart trades, wise financial planning, mixed with an astute eye for talent and where that talent is heading, and proper player development and integration to the team this team can still win a couple of championships over the next 5-6 years not just 2 years. But if management overreacts and overspends everytime someone's contract expires or someone gets injured, they will never win another championship.

Patience people. Let's wait til opening day or at least until Danny has 14 players signed before labeling a Posey leaving as the reason for the Celtics falling back into some serious decline(overstatement but you get the point)!

Nick, if there were quality options left on the board I'd agree in total with you. But with all due respect, I don't. We have a couple of years left to chase a title, and I frankly don't see us moving toward anything resembling adequate championship-caliber replacements - one player or a combination - for Posey, PJ Brown or, for that matter, Eddie House.

We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut. Danny has said he's done signing bigs, and I find that fact more disturbing, frankly, then the Posey situation.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.
I see your point Coach, there really isn't a player out there that based on past performance, is going to give this team what Posey did last your. But I do believe that if they switch up their strategy they don't need a player like what Posey gave them last year.

It's still early and all we know at this point is that Posey is gone. We can lament the loss and second guess it's wisdom all we want but that doesn't help us get any closer to Banner 18, now does it.

O'Bryant is a stiff but I do not believe Danny when he says there will be now more bigs. At least not by the time we reach the playoffs next year. He might be willing to attempt to give more minutes to Perk and try O'Bryant and Davis as his center backups and if that fails bring in someone at the trade deadline.

Posey's role as a half time 4 in a small ball lineup and true 3 in a regular lineup is probably not necessary this year and if all they are looking to replace is his SF minutes I think they can with what's out there. Because I do believe that being around this team will change a player and then their past performance will not be completely indicative of his contributions after all.

Maybe I'm just an optimist.

But where we differ mostly, Coach, is that I don't think they will be playing the same style ball as last year and that diminishes Posey's importance and what the C's will need to replace him with.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #112 on: July 19, 2008, 10:27:57 AM »

Offline winsomme

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #113 on: July 19, 2008, 12:29:37 PM »

Offline BballTim

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

  Sure, PJ hit a few big shots in the playoffs, as did House, Cassell, Posey and Powe. That doesn't make them irreplaceable. It also doesn't mean that they played great throughout the entire playoffs, or that they outplayed their opponents when they were on the floor.

  Posey's game isn't based on offense, but there have been a fair amount of posts mentioning the 18 points he scored in the big comeback win. How many people also mentioned that he scored a combined 10 points in the last 4 games vs Cleveland, or that he only scored more than 3 points twice against Detroit? Again, I'm not saying that Posey's offense is the most important part of his game. I'm saying that we're not trying to replace the player's highlights.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #114 on: July 19, 2008, 12:50:06 PM »

Offline winsomme

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

  Sure, PJ hit a few big shots in the playoffs, as did House, Cassell, Posey and Powe. That doesn't make them irreplaceable. It also doesn't mean that they played great throughout the entire playoffs, or that they outplayed their opponents when they were on the floor.

  Posey's game isn't based on offense, but there have been a fair amount of posts mentioning the 18 points he scored in the big comeback win. How many people also mentioned that he scored a combined 10 points in the last 4 games vs Cleveland, or that he only scored more than 3 points twice against Detroit? Again, I'm not saying that Posey's offense is the most important part of his game. I'm saying that we're not trying to replace the player's highlights.


well, i wouldn't call that shot simply a highlight.....it's being clutch. and it can be said for House, Posey and PJ throughout the playoffs....

and that IS hard to replace. maybe one of the most difficult things to replace because you can't look at a stat sheet or a formula to do it...

WHEN you make these shots, steals, shutdowns, rebounds, etc  is  (i would argue)  more important than how many of them you make....

how many times have you seen people cite those guys stat lines and say how easily we could get someone to give us the exact same thing off the bench?

i'm sure that there are plenty of guys that had similar stat lines to Posey, House and PJ in the playoffs, but how many of them made the big plays when their team REALLY needed it...
« Last Edit: July 19, 2008, 01:09:12 PM by winsomme »

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #115 on: July 19, 2008, 01:15:54 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

  Sure, PJ hit a few big shots in the playoffs, as did House, Cassell, Posey and Powe. That doesn't make them irreplaceable. It also doesn't mean that they played great throughout the entire playoffs, or that they outplayed their opponents when they were on the floor.

  Posey's game isn't based on offense, but there have been a fair amount of posts mentioning the 18 points he scored in the big comeback win. How many people also mentioned that he scored a combined 10 points in the last 4 games vs Cleveland, or that he only scored more than 3 points twice against Detroit? Again, I'm not saying that Posey's offense is the most important part of his game. I'm saying that we're not trying to replace the player's highlights.


well, i wouldn't call that shot simply a highlight.....it's called being clutch. and it can be said for House, Posey and PJ throughout the playoffs....

and that IS hard to replace. maybe one of the most difficult things to replace because you can't look at a stat sheet or a formula to do it...

WHEN you make these shots, steals, shutdowns, rebounds, etc  is  (i would argue)  more important than how many of them you make....

how many times have you seen people cite those guys stat lines and say how easily we could get someone to give us the exact same thing off the bench?

i'm sure that there are plenty of guys that had similar stat lines to Posey, House and PJ in the playoffs, but how many of them made the big plays when their team REALLY needed it...
Another way to look at it is if the bench was consistently good then maybe the clutch shots wouldn't have been necessary because the Celtics would have been up by more points.

We seem to be dwelling, as BBallTim so accurately described, on Posey's and PJ's and other's highlight and making the decision to overpay him on that and some other points(I don't think I need to bring every one up).

But the C's bench was Jekyl and Hyde in the playoffs and for a good portion of the letter part of the year as well. And I'm not pointing to just a guy or two I mean everyone that came off the bench. Posey, PJ, Cassell, House, and Powe all made big clutch shots at necessary times during the playoffs. But if they were consistent instead of constantly up and down those clutch situations may not have existed.

So if Danny can get a couple of guys that will give him the consistent effort that this team needs off the bench, those other players clutchness may not be as great of a loss as some think.

Just another way of looking at the fact that the team might be still create a better chance of winning than signing Posey would have.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #116 on: July 19, 2008, 02:24:40 PM »

Offline BballTim

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

  Sure, PJ hit a few big shots in the playoffs, as did House, Cassell, Posey and Powe. That doesn't make them irreplaceable. It also doesn't mean that they played great throughout the entire playoffs, or that they outplayed their opponents when they were on the floor.

  Posey's game isn't based on offense, but there have been a fair amount of posts mentioning the 18 points he scored in the big comeback win. How many people also mentioned that he scored a combined 10 points in the last 4 games vs Cleveland, or that he only scored more than 3 points twice against Detroit? Again, I'm not saying that Posey's offense is the most important part of his game. I'm saying that we're not trying to replace the player's highlights.


well, i wouldn't call that shot simply a highlight.....it's being clutch. and it can be said for House, Posey and PJ throughout the playoffs....

and that IS hard to replace. maybe one of the most difficult things to replace because you can't look at a stat sheet or a formula to do it...

WHEN you make these shots, steals, shutdowns, rebounds, etc  is  (i would argue)  more important than how many of them you make....

  Great. Call it being clutch. We played 26 playoff games. How many of them would you say PJ was clutch in? 20? 15? 3? Again, it's just highlights.

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #117 on: July 19, 2008, 02:56:51 PM »

Offline winsomme

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We've already significantly downgraded at the big - I simply cannot fathom how any coach can turn an apathetic, lazy, disinterested player into a championship backup. The ONLY thing I like about O'Bryant is his size - having seen him play in person, there's simply nothing else to like, and I speak from experience - you can't just flip a switch and turn effort on. If money didn't motivate this guy in GS, then what will? I'll be stunned - and happily willing to admit I'm wrong - if O'Bryant ends up as anything but cut.

And despite what several post here, there's no easy replacement for Posey, either, unless we get lucky with an MLE to Childress. Quinton Ross can replace the defense, but I've got more offense than he does. Matt Barnes' game isn't at a championship level, and neither is Mo Evans. No rookie's going to fill the bill. People bounce all over the league for a reason.

When the games start next year, we're going to miss PJ Brown. Desperately. Probably more than Posey, actually, who we also will miss.

Danny will put a bench together good enough to beat the Knicks. But it's going to be extremely difficult to put a bench together that can whip the Lakers when Perk is down with a shoulder injury, Pierce's knee is hurting and Rondo's rolled an ankle. We are not off to a good start toward that goal, in my opinion.

  They'll probably sign another big at some point. But even if they don't, we'll probably get better big play than we got last year because Perk, Powe and Davis should show improvement. We won't miss PJ that much during the season because he wasn't here for much of the season last year when we killed everybody. And his play during the playoffs wasn't exactly overwhelming. Our pg play will also likely be improved because because we'll get better play from Rondo as well as more minutes from him. Also, the entire team will benefit from having played together for a year and having that championship experience. I don't think that it's a given that we'll be any worse next year than we were this year.

well he did hit what IMO was the single biggest shot in the playoffs.....in game 7 of the CLE series....but i agree that we should be okay for most of the season with Perk, Powe, BBD and POB. i actually am pretty high on the POB signing. i think he will be a pleasant surprise for the regular season at least.

  Sure, PJ hit a few big shots in the playoffs, as did House, Cassell, Posey and Powe. That doesn't make them irreplaceable. It also doesn't mean that they played great throughout the entire playoffs, or that they outplayed their opponents when they were on the floor.

  Posey's game isn't based on offense, but there have been a fair amount of posts mentioning the 18 points he scored in the big comeback win. How many people also mentioned that he scored a combined 10 points in the last 4 games vs Cleveland, or that he only scored more than 3 points twice against Detroit? Again, I'm not saying that Posey's offense is the most important part of his game. I'm saying that we're not trying to replace the player's highlights.


well, i wouldn't call that shot simply a highlight.....it's being clutch. and it can be said for House, Posey and PJ throughout the playoffs....

and that IS hard to replace. maybe one of the most difficult things to replace because you can't look at a stat sheet or a formula to do it...

WHEN you make these shots, steals, shutdowns, rebounds, etc  is  (i would argue)  more important than how many of them you make....

  Great. Call it being clutch. We played 26 playoff games. How many of them would you say PJ was clutch in? 20? 15? 3? Again, it's just highlights.


it's not "highlights" if it's something that you actually NEED to replace.

i would argue that whoever we replace these guys with, at some point during a playoff run, they are going to be needed to make similar "highlight" plays under massive pressure. it happens almost every year in the playoffs that role/bench players are called on to make key contributions.

bench players are almost never going to consistently have to have huge numbers in the playoffs on any team, the question more often than not  is will they step to the plate in those instances where they ARE needed. and for our bench, in this playoff run, they did....

you know, "big shot rob" doesn't have that nickname because he had huge numbers in every playoff game....he has the  nickname because of what you are calling "highlights"....

you aren't going to go through a successful playoff run without needing  bench/role players to step up and make huge plays or have a huge game here and there...

it certainly is replaceable, but it's something you won't know about until you get there....how they will respond to the pressure.....

what we're really talking about is "likelihood".

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did???????
« Reply #118 on: July 19, 2008, 03:30:28 PM »

Offline tenn_smoothie

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hes not gonna be doin the same stuff at 34-35

He's a lot more likely to be doing that sort of stuff at 32 and 33, which, incidentally, will directly coincide with the lion's share of the Celtics' continuing championship window with the three stars.

As I've stressed throughout the off-season, it seems the fairest way to consider the contract situation is that part of the price of having him here for the next two years (in addition to the monetary cost) would have been having to continue to pay him after that.  Since I take the approach that the primary goal far beyond all else is winning championships -- and it's my contention that Posey was an integral part of this team's ability to do so this year and would have been crucial to repeating as well -- that cost seems more than manageable to me, especially when one considers that he becomes valuable as an expiring contract if nothing else in the final year of his deal.

I've said this before, but I think it pertinent here as well.  This team has spent the majority of the last decade stockpiling assets and building to set the table for the future.  Effective July 31, 2007, the future became the present.

thank you mr. steve for boiling down the reality of the current Celtics so well.

the Celtics are about winning banners - not winning the atlantic or getting to the east finals or having a good homecourt show to put on for the fans - we are about titles, that's it.

and currently we are in the middle of maybe a four year window to hang some more banners. year 1 of that window was a huge success - banner #17 done in grand style, by the way (i finally have a little relief from the nightmare of 1987-game 4).

so now, we have 3 more years and then it's probably time to rebuild anyway. plain & simple, we needed james posey to win some more titles. Danny blew it.

btw ............. i will continue to make an analogy of this situation to losing paul silas at the end of 1976. that team did not win another title and silas went on to contribute to another championship team in seattle. besides being a great defender and rebounder, silas lent a ton of intangibles to those title teams of the '70s. chemistry, chemistry, chemistry. keep it simple danny.

The Four Celtic Generals:
Russell - Cowens - Bird - Garnett

The Four Celtic Lieutenants:
Cousy - Havlicek - McHale - Pierce

Re: Signing Posey gave C's best chance to win a title. It did?
« Reply #119 on: July 19, 2008, 03:52:33 PM »

Offline BballTim

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it's not "highlights" if it's something that you actually NEED to replace.

i would argue that whoever we replace these guys with, at some point during a playoff run, they are going to be needed to make similar "highlight" plays under massive pressure. it happens almost every year in the playoffs that role/bench players are called on to make key contributions.

bench players are almost never going to consistently have to have huge numbers in the playoffs on any team, the question more often than not  is will they step to the plate in those instances where they ARE needed. and for our bench, in this playoff run, they did....

you know, "big shot rob" doesn't have that nickname because he had huge numbers in every playoff game....he has the  nickname because of what you are calling "highlights"....

you aren't going to go through a successful playoff run without needing  bench/role players to step up and make huge plays or have a huge game here and there...

it certainly is replaceable, but it's something you won't know about until you get there....how they will respond to the pressure.....

what we're really talking about is "likelihood".


  But if PJ or Eddie or Sam is really clutch for 2-3 games each, is it really that unlikely that whoever replaced them would manage to be really clutch in 2-3 games out of 26? Would that really be that unlikely? PJ hit, in your eyes, the most clutch shot in the playoffs. But does that make him a clutch shooter? Did we always have him on the court when we needed a clutch basket? Did we try and get him shots in those situations?