Some defensive stats - PG13 vs Jaylen
DRAPM - 1.8 (96th percentile) vs -0.9 (26th percentile)
Jaylen's DRAPM was better in previous season. It was -0.9 last season, -0.1 (70th percentile), 0.5 (85th percentile), 1.0 (92nd percentile), 1.2 (94th percentile) in his last 5 seasons. So it was probably lower than normal last year due to the situation he was in.
Paul George's DRAPM was better in previous seasons but that is expected given his age and year-on-year decline. So I see his latest seasons as the most accurate predictor.
DDPM - 0.8 (85th percentile) vs -1.3 (5th percentile)
Same trend. Jaylen was in the 39th-44th percentile in the 3 previous seasons. 77th percentile the year before that. PG13 shows decline year on year again.
Stop% - 3.5% (94th percentile) vs 1.8% (30th percentile)
Stop% is steals, blocks recovered by your own team, charges drawn per 100 possessions. So PG13 gets you 3.5 possessions per 100 possessions and Jaylen gets you 1.8poss per 100poss.
Jaylen was 2.0% to 2.4% in the previous 4 years so likely down a bit last year from all the scoring he was shouldering and would bounce back next season. This put him in the 44th to 62nd percentile across those 4 seasons. PG13 has rated the same the last 2 years, lower 3rd year, higher 4th and 5th previous seasons.
dTS% - +0.9% (93rd percentile) vs -0.8 (4th percentile)
Again, Jaylen was better in previous seasons. The 4 previous seasons were -0.2 to 0.1. So fairly consistent. PG13 was better in previous when he was younger, healthier, more athletic as you would expect.
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Good chance the defense will be better next year with PG13 than it would have been with Jaylen. PG13 is more disruptive defensively. He creates more turnovers. He plays better team D. And his opponents shoot a lower percentage against his extra size & length than they do against Jaylen.