What does without injuries even mean? Take Philly, for example. Are we supposed to assume that Joel Embiid plays 70 games for the first time in his career, or even 60 games, something he has only done four times in his first 11 seasons? Does Paul George hit 60, something he has reached only once in the last six seasons? I frankly will not be surprised if Tatum plays more games this season than at least one of those two.
Or that we are the only team with a gaping hole or two. Look at Milwaukee for instance. While I would absolutely love to have their PF and Center rotation of Giannis, Turner, and Portis, have people looked at their guards? Kevin Porter Jr, Ryan Rollins, Gary Trent Jr, and Cole Anthony would not even sniff our healthy guard rotation.
Or that we are the only East contender to have suffered multiple major losses this offseason. Indiana has Halliburton out for the year and lost Turner to Milwaukee, and their big offseason addition is Jay Huff?
Or the perennially mediocre Bulls, who have exceeded 40 wins once in 8 seasons and who made the major move of swapping out Lonzo Ball for Isaac Okoro? Or the similarly mediocre Raptors, who did bring in Brandon Ingram, but also have won fewer games in the past two seasons combined than we won in either season individually?
The Celtics will be better than some of those 5 teams; and I would argue than most or even all of those teams. Not to mention the true bottom-feeders that are Washington, Brookyln, and Charlotte. Add in Atlanta, which is very good at finishing .500 but not much else, Detroit, who made a nice leap last year but is relying on internal improvement this year to take another step forward, and Miami, which has seemed directionless the past few regular seasons, and I feel it is far more likely the Celtics, flaws and all, finish in the top 6 than miss the play-in altogether. I look for them to win 44-48 games. The sky is not the limit this year, but nor is it falling either.