With this BOS team above, I'd say we are looking at a pick in the 8-12 range.
2025 Draft
#8 - Egor Demin
#9 - Collin Murray-Boyles
#10 - Khaman Maluach
#11 - Cedric Coward
#12 - Noa Essengue
(1) You punt a whole season for that? For that talent?
(2) Or for the miserable odds in the draft lottery of moving up from #8-#12 to a top 3 pick?
(3) How different is that from having a pick in the #13-17 range?
#13 - Derrick Quinn
#14 - Carter Bryant
#15 - Thomas Sorber
#16 - Hansen Yang
#17 - Joan Beringer
Is the opportunity to add talent that much better that is worth putting up with a miserable season of tanking?
13 and 14 are lottery picks so I think that throws off the comparison. I'd certainly rather be 10-14 than 15-19. Of course, it is better to be even higher up in the lottery. There are 4 picks in the lottery up for grabs not 3 and I think the odds are that 2 of the bottom 4 teams get jumped in the lottery. Dallas just jumped to #1 and the Spurs to #2.
I am hoping that Stevens drafts well which apparently is a big ask. Having the 10th pick means you should at least have the opportunity to get the 10th best player versus the 15th pick getting the 15th best player. Of course teams screw up their picks so you maybe could end up with the 6th or 7th best player versus the 9th or 10th best. Considering the value of quality, young players on good contracts, I think tanking 1 season with Tatum out is the best play.