Serious question, does this blog actually think Boston is going to compete for a title in either of the 2 next seasons without making significant moves. I just don't see how it is possible. It is time to blow it up. Get the team not just below the 2nd apron, but straight up below the cap over the next srason or two. Add young players and draft picks and build the team again.
Think of it this way, pretty much everyone pegged this window ending when KP's contract came off the books (Al would likely be retired, Jrue would be too old, and the heavy luxury tax would be too much to re-sign KP). The Tatum injury throws next year out and then KP is gone. White will be 32, Tatum will be recovering, and Brown isn't going to become less injury prone as he moves into his 30's. In other words those 3 are not going to be good enough to truly compete in 26-27 with mid-level or late 1st round type players around them.
The window of this squad is closed. Trading every player should be seriously explored. Not for 10 cents on the dollar, but all reasonable offers should be taken.
Tatum is expected to miss 8-9 months. That would put a potential return in play for February or March 2026. Playoffs start late April.
White, Brown, Hauser, Tatum, Porzingis is still an excellent starting 5. Pritchard and Kornet are good bench pieces as well. They need to move Jrue for expirings to bolster the bench. That is not an old team. Let?s compare to the warriors last championship team:
Warriors 2022 Championship Roster:
* Stephen Curry: Age 34
* Draymond Green: Age 32
* Klay Thompson: Age 32
* Kevon Looney: Age 26
* Andrew Wiggins: Age 27
* Andre Iguodala: Age 38
* Jordan Poole: Age 22
* Moses Moody: Age 20
* Jonathan Kuminga: Age 19
Even if Tatum comes back next year, he isn't going to be a top tier player. It will take some time for him to regain whatever form he is going to regain. KP isn't reliable at all. Brown misses 15 games a year. There is a chance that even if Tatum does come back, Boston is in the play-in next year. They aren't going on a magical run.
And sure teams can win flukey championships and get great injury luck like playing the Nuggets without Murray or Porter, or being in a dog fight of a series with Memphis only for Morant to get hurt in game 3, etc., but that Warriors team also had something the Celtics don't (aside from Curry), they had 2 very high lottery picks on their rookie contract because they tanked when Klay got hurt (and Durant left). They didn't have 2nd apron repeater tax issues either, so they could reset the cap, make trades, and give their draft picks playing time (including a later 1st like Poole). Curry that season was also better than Tatum has ever been and that stuff matters in the playoffs.
That?s a lot of guarantees, Moranis. There have been instances where players were able to come back and play at a high level less than a year after an Achilles injury. For example: Dominique Wilkins, the former Hawks star returned to action 10 months after rupturing his Achilles' in 1992 at age 32. He played 71 games in 1993, averaged 29.9 points per game, and finished fifth in the MVP voting.
You?re mentioning JB and KP as being injury prone, but let?s not act like Steph Curry and Klay Thompson weren?t as well. Draymond only played in 46 regular season games during the 21-22 season. Curry had one of his worst seasons statistically that year, averaging 25ppg. Also, what did the high draft picks have to do with that championship run? Wiseman was a complete bust and didn?t play at all that year, Kuminga was an average role player. Warriors were 53-29 when they won their last championship and their star players were much older than JT, JB, KP. Way too soon to be saying the C?s need to blow it up.
The tanking let them reset the cap and get assets. They'd have likely had a very different team without the tanking they did when Durant left and Klay got hurt (Curry also got hurt so that is a difference). So using the GS model, Boston needs to trade away assets and tank. And while the young guys didn't contribute much, Wiggins certainly did and he wouldn't have been on the team if they didn't go the tanking route.
The Warriors got entirely out of the luxury tax in 19-20 and 20-21. That is what Boston needs to do, not just below the 2nd apron, out of the tax entirely over the next 2 years. Given the salary and restrictions, it would be hard next year, but they could set up the moves to get cap space in the summer of 2026. That will allow the team the flexibility to move forward, add whatever assets they get for the big contracts, and start fresh.
Trade away some assets for sure. The team will take a step back next season without Tatum but no way to tanking.
My proposed big trade which moved JB for Bane and also included moving Jrue and Hauser would get us below the tax line for next season. There were variations with the teams involved but the roster I posted for next season was:
Tatum, White, Bane, Porzingis, Pritchard, Huff, Derrick Jones, Scheierman, Tillman, Queta, Davison and Walsh with 3 open spots.
Another option to get under the tax trading JB, Jrue and Hauser would be with the Kings getting Jrue rather than the Clippers and would give us:
Tatum, White, Bane, Porzingis, Pritchard, Huff, Valenciunas, Ellis, Scheierman, Tillman, Queta, Davison and Walsh with 2 open spots.
With either of those trades, I think the Celts are still a playoff team in the East for 2025. Tatum, White and Bane would be a good core to build around in 2026. We'd be out of the tax for next season and for 2026 Porzingis coming of the books would free up 30M.