We got more leveraged. More reliant on guys with injury issues. That's at least half of our core rotation. If we have our top 7, we should be in a place to close. If we lose one, we are in trouble. If we lose two, we are done.
I've come around on Brissett. I think he can be a real player and a really quality fit for us as a 9th or 10th man. But there's a difference between 15-20 minutes a game in the regular season and having to play starter minutes in the playoffs if one guy (Porzingis or Rob or Horford) gets hurt. Same with Pritchard. I'm thrilled with him having 15-20 minutes a game in the regular season and spot minutes in the playoffs. I'm terrified of relying on him.
I think this is more perception than reality. We are not more reliant on Horford and RWill, we are less. We have Porzingis. When RWill was hurt last season, it was Grant who got minutes. This season, we have Porzingis. I don't see how that is being more reliant on Horford and RWill.
With Smart gone, we do have less redundancy regarding Brogdon and White, that is true, but I am fine with it if Pritchard needs to play more. That is simply a trade off. We are trading off depth at combo guard (Smart) so that we have more depth at PF and C with Porzingis. It is about the same worst case and in terms of roster balance vs. injury risk, I think things are better balanced this season. We have more redundancy at the positions that have the most risk.
And let's see what we can do to add a second team PF to replace Grant. If we are able to do that, we could end up better off.
Porzingis and Brogdon fall into the injury prone category. KP missed 19 games last year -- roughly a quarter of the season -- and that was his most games played since 2017!
2018: 48 games played
2019: 0 games played
2020: 57 games played
2021: 43 games played
2022: 51 games played
We'll be fortunate if KP and Timelord can play 82 games combined. Horford is an ironman by comparison.
Same thing with Brogdon:
2018: 48 games played
2019: 64 games played
2020: 54 games played
2021: 56 games played
2022: 36 games played
Well my point is that Porzingis provides redundancy when Horford or RWill is out. That situation is better. Not worse. With Porzingis here, we are less reliant on Horford and RWill. Just the opposite is the case with Brogdon. With Smart gone, we have less redundancy for Brogdon (our 6th man).
So in one critical area (PF/C) we are better off, but in the combo guard position, we are worse off. I feel the net of this trade off is that we are slightly better off. We were highly vulnerable last season with Horford and RWill. So much so that we had to move away from the 2-big line up that had been historically good the season before. But we had excess at the combo guard position so much so that we had a decent player (Pritchard) who there were no minutes for.
Now things are better balanced. The risk to me is more evenly distributed. We can get back to the 2-big line up as the core line up. Pritchard is back in the mix as he should be.
In general, there is always more injury risk with bigs. So now we have more redundancy where we need it the most. Sure, Brogdon may get hurt, Smart might too. But in general, working around an injury to your 6th man combo guard is going to be easier than working around an injury to one of your main bigs. It is now going to be easier to work around an injury to RWill, for example, with Porzingis on the roster than it would be without Porzingis.
And we are not done with the roster. The Grant situation was only resolved less than 24 hours ago. I agree completely that a second team PF is a need. It is less of a need now that we have Porzingis than it would have been but it is still a need. A reliable vet wing would be nice too. But I am the least worried about the combo guard rotation.