Author Topic: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?  (Read 46387 times)

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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #90 on: July 09, 2022, 02:11:42 AM »

Offline celticsclay

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Robinson is a mystery.  I have no interest in him on the Celtics in any case but he stared 68 games in the regular season and then doesn't play in the playoffs?  That makes no sense.

They did get Oladipo back I guess.  He played about 8 games at the end of the season and then pretty regular minutes through the playoffs.  So I guess the call was bench Robinson and play Oladipo.  It still seems strange that you go from starter to not playing.
It is very strange and frankly I think Spo made a mistake.  Robinson played 3 playoff games of at least 20 minutes (2 were against Boston), in all 3 games he was a + and the team was better when he was in the game then when he was on the bench.  He was +2 overall against Boston in the 5 games he played.  I think Spo was worried a bit too much about defense and not enough about offense that he was playing lesser overall players like Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, and Caleb Martin rather than the guy who had been starting all season long and who when he gets going can alter the outcome of a game.  Those 3 guys are fine consistent players, but they aren't going to win you a game.  Robinson can win you a game and he is a guy that needs time to get into that groove.  I'm glad Robinson didn't play more against Boston, otherwise Boston might have lost the series.  Was happy to see guys like Vincent out on the floor. 

Heat didn't play Dedmon enough either.  Spo just didn't coach that Boston series very well.  He played right into Boston's hands instead of making Boston adjust.
I think Spo made a mistake too. Especially with how poor Strus and Herro were down the stretch.

While I’m not sure whether or not Spo made the correct decision, I would note that Duncan Robinson’s plus games against the Celtics all came from garbage time.

In Game 2 he was -13 before the Js were taken out, and +7 after, for -6 total.

In game 4 he was -2 before the Js were taken out, and +11 after, for +2 total.

In game 5 he was -1 before the Js were taken out, and +4 after, for +3 total.

Overall he was -20 outside of garbage time and +22 in garbage time.  The Heat weren’t, for the most part, terrible when he was in the more competitive portions of games, but his +/- was absolutely padded when he was on the court against the guys who were just traded for Brogdon.

Great post 21. I’ll also add he barely played in the 76ers series either. As exciting as he is when he gets hot he is really awful on defense and may have even regressed in that area last year. He also has such an awful contract that nobody wants it may be even preventing the heat from getting Durant this off-season. For some odd reason, which I initially thought was a joke, a few posters think the Celtics management should commit 80 million dollars to him with it maybe being like 200 million because of the luxury tax. Ime wouldn’t play him in the playoffs and stevens would never trade for him. So fortunately we can put this weird pipe to bed pretty easily at this point.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #91 on: July 09, 2022, 09:15:11 AM »

Offline PAOBoston

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #92 on: July 11, 2022, 08:31:52 PM »

Offline wikkid1

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khgER-hXZgM

Edit: Sorry, Liam already posted this link above. I missed it.



Those Trevion Williams passing highlights are impressive.

He only had 3 assists per game but played only 20mpg. That is an impressive total for a big man. Purdue played a slow pace as well. His per 100 possession stats have him at 9 assists per 100 possessions.

It's worth watching twice!

Sure is!  Really fun watching a guy distribute with such a great awareness of where his teammates are on the floor.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #93 on: July 12, 2022, 04:08:38 AM »

Offline ozgod

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

I guess the issue might be cost vs return. For a $17m player (the full TPE) they would spend $53m in tax for a total spend of $80m. If they spent half of that and got a player for $8m that would be a total bill of $38m. That's like spending another max contract for a guy to sit on the bench, so you'd probably want a good player to justify the expense. If it were a good player he'd probably want more than the garbage time or insurance minutes you would provide. Which would mean he would have to be in the rotation which already is a 10 man rotation: Tatum, Brown, Al, Timelord, Smart, Brogdon, White, GWill, Gallo, PP. So you would have to carve out minutes for our guy that we spent $40m/$80m on to stretch the rotation to 11.

The last time we had a situation where we had lots of quality guys competing for minutes was 2018 when we had: Cryrie, Tatum, Smart, Mook, Al, Brown, Hayward, Baynes, Rozier, Theis, Semi, Wanamaker. Timelord barely played. We had a lot of unhappy players because there were too many cooks which spoiled the broth. I really feel like there's a balance between the types of players you carry on a rotation. If you don't have enough quality players you run the risk of overworking the players, which was probably a factor for us last season because we really only had 7 rotation level players. If you have too many then some guys get unhappy because they don't feel like they're playing enough. That's why the person we need to fill out the rotation needs to be a good fit - someone who knows they will sit most of the time but they need to be ready and of a skill level that they can be slotted in. The latter is easier to find than the former. I feel like our $10m guy was Gallo (even though he came a bit below at $7m). Are we going to bring someone in and pay them the same amount as Gallo and give him the same number of minutes? And I'm expecting Gallo to be the one to miss out in the playoffs when Ime shortens the rotation. He's going to be that bench insurance scorer that we didn't have this last season, but there may be games when he's not needed and he won't play because of his defensive liabilities.

It's not my money so if Wyc decides to blow the farm on an end of bench guy there will be no complaints from me  :police: I would understand the logic of why he wouldn't though. It would cost Wyc $3.75m in tax for every $1m spent, so I think using a vet min contract for a 3rd center would be much more likely. Or I could see them using the TPE as part of a trade where they ship out some salary and take slightly more salary in return, to upgrade the overall rotation. The thing is, who in our rotation could possibly be shipped out? I could only think of maybe PP or White, who might be a little superfluous now with Brogdon. But with Brodgon's injury history we would ship out White to get another ball handler who can defend multiple positions and there aren't that many of those left on the board.
« Last Edit: July 12, 2022, 04:32:40 AM by ozgod »
Any odd typos are because I suck at typing on an iPhone :D


Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #94 on: July 12, 2022, 05:16:39 AM »

Offline PAOBoston

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

I guess the issue might be cost vs return. For a $17m player (the full TPE) they would spend $53m in tax for a total spend of $80m. If they spent half of that and got a player for $8m that would be a total bill of $38m. That's like spending another max contract for a guy to sit on the bench, so you'd probably want a good player to justify the expense. If it were a good player he'd probably want more than the garbage time or insurance minutes you would provide. Which would mean he would have to be in the rotation which already is a 10 man rotation: Tatum, Brown, Al, Timelord, Smart, Brogdon, White, GWill, Gallo, PP. So you would have to carve out minutes for our guy that we spent $40m/$80m on to stretch the rotation to 11.

The last time we had a situation where we had lots of quality guys competing for minutes was 2018 when we had: Cryrie, Tatum, Smart, Mook, Al, Brown, Hayward, Baynes, Rozier, Theis, Semi, Wanamaker. Timelord barely played. We had a lot of unhappy players because there were too many cooks which spoiled the broth. I really feel like there's a balance between the types of players you carry on a rotation. If you don't have enough quality players you run the risk of overworking the players, which was probably a factor for us last season because we really only had 7 rotation level players. If you have too many then some guys get unhappy because they don't feel like they're playing enough. That's why the person we need to fill out the rotation needs to be a good fit - someone who knows they will sit most of the time but they need to be ready and of a skill level that they can be slotted in. The latter is easier to find than the former. I feel like our $10m guy was Gallo (even though he came a bit below at $7m). Are we going to bring someone in and pay them the same amount as Gallo and give him the same number of minutes? And I'm expecting Gallo to be the one to miss out in the playoffs when Ime shortens the rotation. He's going to be that bench insurance scorer that we didn't have this last season, but there may be games when he's not needed and he won't play because of his defensive liabilities.

It's not my money so if Wyc decides to blow the farm on an end of bench guy there will be no complaints from me  :police: I would understand the logic of why he wouldn't though. It would cost Wyc $3.75m in tax for every $1m spent, so I think using a vet min contract for a 3rd center would be much more likely. Or I could see them using the TPE as part of a trade where they ship out some salary and take slightly more salary in return, to upgrade the overall rotation. The thing is, who in our rotation could possibly be shipped out? I could only think of maybe PP or White, who might be a little superfluous now with Brogdon. But with Brodgon's injury history we would ship out White to get another ball handler who can defend multiple positions and there aren't that many of those left on the board.
I understand the cost portion of using the TPE. I’m not necessarily saying Using all $17 mil of it if need be. Robinson was just an example. My point is letting it expiring and basically misusing a potential asset.

I’d also argue the 2018 is completely different to this team. The 2018 had half the roster of young blue chip guys who performed well the previous year wanting more minutes and bigger role vs veterans in their primes. This team has established pecking order and who have gotten fat contracts. The guys they would bring in would fill a specific role.

My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #95 on: July 12, 2022, 05:39:18 AM »

Online Neurotic Guy

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

I guess the issue might be cost vs return. For a $17m player (the full TPE) they would spend $53m in tax for a total spend of $80m. If they spent half of that and got a player for $8m that would be a total bill of $38m. That's like spending another max contract for a guy to sit on the bench, so you'd probably want a good player to justify the expense. If it were a good player he'd probably want more than the garbage time or insurance minutes you would provide. Which would mean he would have to be in the rotation which already is a 10 man rotation: Tatum, Brown, Al, Timelord, Smart, Brogdon, White, GWill, Gallo, PP. So you would have to carve out minutes for our guy that we spent $40m/$80m on to stretch the rotation to 11.

The last time we had a situation where we had lots of quality guys competing for minutes was 2018 when we had: Cryrie, Tatum, Smart, Mook, Al, Brown, Hayward, Baynes, Rozier, Theis, Semi, Wanamaker. Timelord barely played. We had a lot of unhappy players because there were too many cooks which spoiled the broth. I really feel like there's a balance between the types of players you carry on a rotation. If you don't have enough quality players you run the risk of overworking the players, which was probably a factor for us last season because we really only had 7 rotation level players. If you have too many then some guys get unhappy because they don't feel like they're playing enough. That's why the person we need to fill out the rotation needs to be a good fit - someone who knows they will sit most of the time but they need to be ready and of a skill level that they can be slotted in. The latter is easier to find than the former. I feel like our $10m guy was Gallo (even though he came a bit below at $7m). Are we going to bring someone in and pay them the same amount as Gallo and give him the same number of minutes? And I'm expecting Gallo to be the one to miss out in the playoffs when Ime shortens the rotation. He's going to be that bench insurance scorer that we didn't have this last season, but there may be games when he's not needed and he won't play because of his defensive liabilities.

It's not my money so if Wyc decides to blow the farm on an end of bench guy there will be no complaints from me  :police: I would understand the logic of why he wouldn't though. It would cost Wyc $3.75m in tax for every $1m spent, so I think using a vet min contract for a 3rd center would be much more likely. Or I could see them using the TPE as part of a trade where they ship out some salary and take slightly more salary in return, to upgrade the overall rotation. The thing is, who in our rotation could possibly be shipped out? I could only think of maybe PP or White, who might be a little superfluous now with Brogdon. But with Brodgon's injury history we would ship out White to get another ball handler who can defend multiple positions and there aren't that many of those left on the board.
I understand the cost portion of using the TPE. I’m not necessarily saying Using all $17 mil of it if need be. Robinson was just an example. My point is letting it expiring and basically misusing a potential asset.

I’d also argue the 2018 is completely different to this team. The 2018 had half the roster of young blue chip guys who performed well the previous year wanting more minutes and bigger role vs veterans in their primes. This team has established pecking order and who have gotten fat contracts. The guys they would bring in would fill a specific role.

My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

As an aside I think there are a few guys who could show improvement next season and Grant is at the top of that list. 23 and better each year, GW works on his game. I expect him to be more versatile offensively in 2022-23.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #96 on: July 12, 2022, 05:43:46 AM »

Offline PAOBoston

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

I guess the issue might be cost vs return. For a $17m player (the full TPE) they would spend $53m in tax for a total spend of $80m. If they spent half of that and got a player for $8m that would be a total bill of $38m. That's like spending another max contract for a guy to sit on the bench, so you'd probably want a good player to justify the expense. If it were a good player he'd probably want more than the garbage time or insurance minutes you would provide. Which would mean he would have to be in the rotation which already is a 10 man rotation: Tatum, Brown, Al, Timelord, Smart, Brogdon, White, GWill, Gallo, PP. So you would have to carve out minutes for our guy that we spent $40m/$80m on to stretch the rotation to 11.

The last time we had a situation where we had lots of quality guys competing for minutes was 2018 when we had: Cryrie, Tatum, Smart, Mook, Al, Brown, Hayward, Baynes, Rozier, Theis, Semi, Wanamaker. Timelord barely played. We had a lot of unhappy players because there were too many cooks which spoiled the broth. I really feel like there's a balance between the types of players you carry on a rotation. If you don't have enough quality players you run the risk of overworking the players, which was probably a factor for us last season because we really only had 7 rotation level players. If you have too many then some guys get unhappy because they don't feel like they're playing enough. That's why the person we need to fill out the rotation needs to be a good fit - someone who knows they will sit most of the time but they need to be ready and of a skill level that they can be slotted in. The latter is easier to find than the former. I feel like our $10m guy was Gallo (even though he came a bit below at $7m). Are we going to bring someone in and pay them the same amount as Gallo and give him the same number of minutes? And I'm expecting Gallo to be the one to miss out in the playoffs when Ime shortens the rotation. He's going to be that bench insurance scorer that we didn't have this last season, but there may be games when he's not needed and he won't play because of his defensive liabilities.

It's not my money so if Wyc decides to blow the farm on an end of bench guy there will be no complaints from me  :police: I would understand the logic of why he wouldn't though. It would cost Wyc $3.75m in tax for every $1m spent, so I think using a vet min contract for a 3rd center would be much more likely. Or I could see them using the TPE as part of a trade where they ship out some salary and take slightly more salary in return, to upgrade the overall rotation. The thing is, who in our rotation could possibly be shipped out? I could only think of maybe PP or White, who might be a little superfluous now with Brogdon. But with Brodgon's injury history we would ship out White to get another ball handler who can defend multiple positions and there aren't that many of those left on the board.
I understand the cost portion of using the TPE. I’m not necessarily saying Using all $17 mil of it if need be. Robinson was just an example. My point is letting it expiring and basically misusing a potential asset.

I’d also argue the 2018 is completely different to this team. The 2018 had half the roster of young blue chip guys who performed well the previous year wanting more minutes and bigger role vs veterans in their primes. This team has established pecking order and who have gotten fat contracts. The guys they would bring in would fill a specific role.

My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

As an aside I think there are a few guys who could show improvement next season and Grant is at the top of that list. 23 and better each year, GW works on his game. I expect him to be more versatile offensively in 2022-23.
I don’t rate Grant Williams very highly. He was pretty much unplayable and a total non factor for most of the playoffs. Cs would be in big trouble if they had to heavily rely on him for big minutes.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #97 on: July 12, 2022, 06:47:21 AM »

Online Roy H.

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My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Well, if Timelord and Horford are both ineffective, we’re screwed anyway, right?



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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #98 on: July 12, 2022, 07:14:53 AM »

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If Boston truly wants to compete for championships then there is no reason to let a TPE expire just because of cost.  Now sure, if you don't find a player that makes sense that is one thing, but there are reportedly guys out there available that would fit into the TPE that would, if nothing else, provide some quality depth and insurance.  There is no reason Boston shouldn't be making moves.

Agreed!
What are the names you have heard reportedly available that are realistic and at what cost (ie draft pics, etc)?
Duncan Robinson is certainly available and the C's might get an asset to take the contract.  He'd be a nice shooter off the bench. 

I'd see what Detroit had planned for Noel.  I'd ask the Kings about Holmes and/or Len. 

And of course the big wild card is the Clippers and all those wings.

What would adding Robinson cost?  And extra $80 million this season?  More?
Anyone filling that role would cost that, but if the goal is to win, you make moves like that.  I'm not sure the team as currently constructed is good enough to win.  They should absolutely go for it this year and they can cut costs next summer if it doesn't work.

Robinson was glued to the bench in the playoffs last year, when Miami was banged up and desperate for shooting. I’m all for spending that makes the team better, but this is *massive* spending for a guy who’s pretty unlikely to help. If they’re really willing to go that deep in the tax there has to be someone better.
Maybe just a down year. He was a starter the previous couple of years and was lethal from 3. If he wins you a few games here or there because he gets hot from 3, then he’s worth it in my book. Of course, it’s not my money so I don’t really care than the billionaire has to pay a little extra. I think they should use the TPE to get a big salary player and then figuring out the luxury tax going into the trade deadline.
Robinson is a terrible defender; why are we even talking about him?  Even Spo couldn't play him much in the playoffs so obviously no way Ime would.  He's not winning you any important games and again, he would cost $80M in one year alone with taxes.
The reason he didn’t play them was because he was ice cold from 3. He isn’t a great defender but if he was hitting his shots like he did the previous two years it doesn’t matter. Whether is he overpaid or not is irrelevant. There’s history for shooting only guys ranging from Korver/Kapono/Harris/Robinson getting paid big bucks because they are flamethrowers from 3 and put so much pressure on opposing defenses as a result. Obviously, the moment they slip shooting it becomes problematic but I’d wager that Robinson reverts back this season. He’s a low usage guy who just spit up shoots. I think he’s fit well on this team off the bench considering the other guys on the roster.

My issue isn’t so much the love for the player but letting the TPE go unused. To me that is a massive waste of an opportunity to add a player (and potentially flip later on in a deal as well). I get the luxury tax is a thing but so is the countdown on JB and JT’s contracts. You have 2 years left on JB’s deal and no guarantee he stays. What’s worse: paying some luxury tax or regretting a missed opportunity to go for it after a few seasons when JB and JT bounce? They should go for it now while they have the ammunition. There is no guarantee they will get there in the future. Just go
All in now and dump salaries later if you need to.

I guess the issue might be cost vs return. For a $17m player (the full TPE) they would spend $53m in tax for a total spend of $80m. If they spent half of that and got a player for $8m that would be a total bill of $38m. That's like spending another max contract for a guy to sit on the bench, so you'd probably want a good player to justify the expense. If it were a good player he'd probably want more than the garbage time or insurance minutes you would provide. Which would mean he would have to be in the rotation which already is a 10 man rotation: Tatum, Brown, Al, Timelord, Smart, Brogdon, White, GWill, Gallo, PP. So you would have to carve out minutes for our guy that we spent $40m/$80m on to stretch the rotation to 11.

The last time we had a situation where we had lots of quality guys competing for minutes was 2018 when we had: Cryrie, Tatum, Smart, Mook, Al, Brown, Hayward, Baynes, Rozier, Theis, Semi, Wanamaker. Timelord barely played. We had a lot of unhappy players because there were too many cooks which spoiled the broth. I really feel like there's a balance between the types of players you carry on a rotation. If you don't have enough quality players you run the risk of overworking the players, which was probably a factor for us last season because we really only had 7 rotation level players. If you have too many then some guys get unhappy because they don't feel like they're playing enough. That's why the person we need to fill out the rotation needs to be a good fit - someone who knows they will sit most of the time but they need to be ready and of a skill level that they can be slotted in. The latter is easier to find than the former. I feel like our $10m guy was Gallo (even though he came a bit below at $7m). Are we going to bring someone in and pay them the same amount as Gallo and give him the same number of minutes? And I'm expecting Gallo to be the one to miss out in the playoffs when Ime shortens the rotation. He's going to be that bench insurance scorer that we didn't have this last season, but there may be games when he's not needed and he won't play because of his defensive liabilities.

It's not my money so if Wyc decides to blow the farm on an end of bench guy there will be no complaints from me  :police: I would understand the logic of why he wouldn't though. It would cost Wyc $3.75m in tax for every $1m spent, so I think using a vet min contract for a 3rd center would be much more likely. Or I could see them using the TPE as part of a trade where they ship out some salary and take slightly more salary in return, to upgrade the overall rotation. The thing is, who in our rotation could possibly be shipped out? I could only think of maybe PP or White, who might be a little superfluous now with Brogdon. But with Brodgon's injury history we would ship out White to get another ball handler who can defend multiple positions and there aren't that many of those left on the board.
I understand the cost portion of using the TPE. I’m not necessarily saying Using all $17 mil of it if need be. Robinson was just an example. My point is letting it expiring and basically misusing a potential asset.

I’d also argue the 2018 is completely different to this team. The 2018 had half the roster of young blue chip guys who performed well the previous year wanting more minutes and bigger role vs veterans in their primes. This team has established pecking order and who have gotten fat contracts. The guys they would bring in would fill a specific role.

My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

As an aside I think there are a few guys who could show improvement next season and Grant is at the top of that list. 23 and better each year, GW works on his game. I expect him to be more versatile offensively in 2022-23.
I don’t rate Grant Williams very highly. He was pretty much unplayable and a total non factor for most of the playoffs. Cs would be in big trouble if they had to heavily rely on him for big minutes.

If you are looking at guys 6-10 making a difference between 21-22 and 22-23 I think Grant could be an upgrade.  Definitely moving down a notch or 2 in the rotation with the addition of MB and Gallinari, but improving the quality of 8-10 in the rotation - something that matters for a team that lacked depth and had (will have) injury concerns.   Grant will show improvement in 22-23 and that helps the rotation.

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #99 on: July 12, 2022, 08:18:36 AM »

Offline Moranis

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My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Well, if Timelord and Horford are both ineffective, we’re screwed anyway, right?
not if they used the full TPE and got some real talent on the team. 
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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #100 on: July 12, 2022, 08:34:30 AM »

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My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Well, if Timelord and Horford are both ineffective, we’re screwed anyway, right?
not if they used the full TPE and got some real talent on the team.

Oh?  Who is the available $17 million player that is going to make up for the loss of Timelord, along with Horford's ineffectiveness?

Full list of salaries here:

https://hoopshype.com/salaries/players/


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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #101 on: July 12, 2022, 08:55:04 AM »

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No one but  Lauri Markkanen  would not be bad, nor Wendell Carter but who knows if they are obtainable.  Carter could be the Al replacement some day

Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #102 on: July 12, 2022, 09:07:54 AM »

Online Roy H.

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No one but  Lauri Markkanen  would not be bad, nor Wendell Carter but who knows if they are obtainable.  Carter could be the Al replacement some day

I don't think either will be available over the next six days, which is when the TPE expires.

I would support the team using the TPE on expiring players who fill needs, but who could be flipped at the deadline if something better came along.  For instance, my advocated for trades for Richardson and Jeff Green.  But, ownership is very unlikely to go $40+ million into the tax just to marginally improve the team.


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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #103 on: July 12, 2022, 09:15:45 AM »

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My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Well, if Timelord and Horford are both ineffective, we’re screwed anyway, right?
not if they used the full TPE and got some real talent on the team.

Oh?  Who is the available $17 million player that is going to make up for the loss of Timelord, along with Horford's ineffectiveness?

Full list of salaries here:

https://hoopshype.com/salaries/players/
You said they were both ineffective, not that they weren't on the team.  Obviously you can't replace 40 million in salary with 17 million, but you can absolutely find useful players that can help overcome some ineffectiveness and play match-ups better.  I know he just got traded, but Christian Wood, as an example, would have been a great addition to the rotation.  Obviously both Markkanen and Carter mentioned by Celtics4ever would help (as would Jonas, though obviously I don't think any of these 3 are easily gettable).  Anunoby's name had been mentioned in trades and who could have fit into the TPE before the season turned over.  McDermott is likely available.  Kuzma strikes me as a guy that could be had, same with KO. 

And that is just big men, obviously there are plenty of wings that are available as well, which if you do that well, would then allow someone like White to be available to be traded. 

The idea that there aren't players available that would fit into the TPE and help the team, just isn't borne in reality.  There are a lot of guys out there that could help, especially during the long grind of the season.  They'd be expensive, but if you want to claim your are a contender, then you need to act like it and not let huge assets just disappear for nothing.
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Re: Report: Celtics still looking to utilize trade exception?
« Reply #104 on: July 12, 2022, 09:26:23 AM »

Online Roy H.

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My fear is that they are woefully thin up front and it is going to cost them significantly. The moment Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup, people are going to complain and see how badly the TPE was mismanaged, much like how their lack of a valid bench cost them dearly last year in the end.

Well, if Timelord and Horford are both ineffective, we’re screwed anyway, right?
not if they used the full TPE and got some real talent on the team.

Oh?  Who is the available $17 million player that is going to make up for the loss of Timelord, along with Horford's ineffectiveness?

Full list of salaries here:

https://hoopshype.com/salaries/players/
You said they were both ineffective, not that they weren't on the team.  Obviously you can't replace 40 million in salary with 17 million, but you can absolutely find useful players that can help overcome some ineffectiveness and play match-ups better.  I know he just got traded, but Christian Wood, as an example, would have been a great addition to the rotation.  Obviously both Markkanen and Carter mentioned by Celtics4ever would help (as would Jonas, though obviously I don't think any of these 3 are easily gettable).  Anunoby's name had been mentioned in trades and who could have fit into the TPE before the season turned over.  McDermott is likely available.  Kuzma strikes me as a guy that could be had, same with KO. 

And that is just big men, obviously there are plenty of wings that are available as well, which if you do that well, would then allow someone like White to be available to be traded. 

The idea that there aren't players available that would fit into the TPE and help the team, just isn't borne in reality.  There are a lot of guys out there that could help, especially during the long grind of the season.  They'd be expensive, but if you want to claim your are a contender, then you need to act like it and not let huge assets just disappear for nothing.

Moving goal posts?

The hypothetical was that "Timelord missed half the season and Horford finally breaks down putting Kornet and Grant in the starting lineup". 

As I suggested, if that happens, we're screwed regardless of what trades we make.

Nobody is arguing that there are no trade targets who could "help the team".  That's just a straw man.


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