How many teams actually have the ability to offer Collins a max / near max?
Knicks, Thunder, Spurs, and Bulls could all do so with relative ease (50-70 million in cap space).
Hornets, Heat, Grizzlies, and Rockets could all pursue if interested (24+ million in cap space).
The Celtics should only pursue Collins if they’re willing to match a max salary if offered, because he’s going to pursue such a contract. And if he’s anything close to worth it, he’ll get it with the limited free agent pool next year.
Of those teams, how many make sense? Of all, mainly the Thunder I guess.
The Knicks have Randle and Toppin.
The Spurs are sort of in limbo at the moment, so not sure about them.
Chicago has WCJ and Lauri, not sure if they're interested.
Charlotte have Washington and Bridges.
Miami seem to be the favourites for Oladipo.
Memphis have JJJ, Clarke and Tillman.
Houston could theoretically, but they just signed a very similar player in Wood.
Just don't see the appeal for them
You can play the guessing game like that, but there are also plenty of teams not listed who could create max space by shipping a player to OKC or Houston. I’m not a Collins fan, but he’s arguably one of the top 3-5 free agents out there, and this list depends how likely you think a given player is to find a new team:
Kawhi (player option, most likely will sign a new max deal with the Clippers)
Chris Paul (player option for $40 million, have to imagine he picks up the option)
Oladipo
Jrue Holiday ($25 mil player option, and Milwaukee seems invested and has Bird rights)
Anunoby (can’t see Toronto letting him go)
Markinen/J. Collins (I can see the argument for preferring either —Chicago can have its pick, essentially)
It’s a thin market, and there are teams with room for multiple max deals to throw around, and a salary floor that will inspire them to do something. If I’m the Thunder or the Rockets (who will probably have room once they trade Eric Gordon), I offer Collins a max just to force the Celtics to match, so I can turn around and offer them my cap space for picks to lower their luxury tax bill. Worst that happens is the deal isn’t matched and I get a player to either build around or trade later.