Complications of trading Rondo.
#1 - It's gotta be a team that wants him
#2 - It's gotta be a team that needs him
#3 - It's gotta be a team that he wants
#4 - It's gotta be a team that has an asset or two
Say half the league has mild interest in Rondo. Say of those teams, only about 8 would see Rondo as a significant enough PG improvement that they'd bother making an offer, say of those 8 teams, only 6 or so (Knicks? Lakers? Rockets? Heat? Dallas? Pacers?) would be a team Rondo would consider re-signing with. So of those 6, only a few actually have assets. Then it's just about which of those teams is desperate enough to go hard after Rondo.
At some point, it becomes clear that the most obvious destinations for Rondo are probably the Knicks and Lakers. He's got his buddy Melo in New York. He's got his buddy Kobe in LA. He'd presumably resign there (I think those two teams are the frontrunners to sign Rondo this offseason). Those teams are interested and Rondo is a big enough upgrade that they'd make a legitimate effort. Both teams also have the right level of management incompetence and impatient fanbase that make going after Rondo plausible.
Obvious Knicks deal: Rondo + Wallace for Amare's expiring, Tim Hardaway Jr and Knicks 2015 1st rounder -
http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=lw3s9jk
Obvious Lakers deal: Rondo + Wallace for Nash's expiring, Lins Expiring, Julius Randle and Houston's 2015 1st -
http://espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=l6txnahThat's the bottom line as I see it, folks. I'm sure we've all seen variations of these for a while now, but I really don't see anything else that makes any sense presently. No other deals meet all the requirements. Am I wrong? My wild guess is that if we see a Rondo trade, it's something very close to one of those deals.
More likely that nothing happens, we try our chances at re-signing Rondo, and we eventually watch him walk.