agreed with much of your post. thank goodness for tankathon.com.
as i read how people are evaluating the players in this draft so far, there are clearly the "big three" of wiggins, embiid, and parker. not too far beyond are exum and randle in most mock drafts.
so in most minds the top 5 picks are distinguishable from everyone else. and that the celtics have a good chance at getting one of those top 5.
but what if they drop to 6th or 7th place? clearly a distinct possibility. even then, the celtics will pick up a very good player.
smart seems to be impressing people and will be tough, outstanding pg in the nba i think.
next, my favorite "not a top 5" is vonleh. neither smart nor vonleh are chopped liver. both are talented and i would be happy with either one.
so, while the celtics seem destined for 5th place in the lottery ([dang] you philly!!!) they still have a 29.1% chance of getting a top 3 pick. which is good.
by the way, when do they do the lottery?? i am more than ready for this season to wrap up.