This is kind of interesting to think about. There's a lot of games to play, but let's imagine things continue like this for the rest of the season.
Currently there are 13 teams in the Western Conference with .500 records or above. The Suns, Wolves, Lakers, Hornets and Nuggets all currently have .500 records and yet they are out of the playoffs if they started today.
Meanwhile, there are only 5 teams in the entire Eastern Conference with winning records.
Here's what that means:
Detroit and Washington are currently tied with 5-8 records.
If the playoffs started today, Detroit would make the playoffs with the 8th seed... and likely get swept by the Pacers. Washington would miss the playoffs.
Detroit would get the #15 pick.
Washington would be 9th in the lotto and have a long-shot chance of landing one of the top 3 picks. (the 9th worst team won the lotto in 2008. 8th worst won it in 2011)
As this draft class starts to shake out and we start to get a better sense of the talent available... it may be that the difference between the 9th pick and 15th pick is pretty dramatic.
Here's what even more frightening. The Bucks are the bottom of the East with a 2-10 record... and yet they are only 2.5 games behind Philly with the 7th seed. The difference between the #2 pick and #16 pick is pretty slim at the moment. It's going to be a crazy year in the Leastern Conference.