People shouldn't discount Orlando. Yes, we've played them well this year, but last year they won the season series, and they've improved their team since then. The Jameer injury was big for them, but they still have three all-star caliber players, plus a lot of other talent.
I think Orlando is significantly better than Atlanta. Also, as much as people discount Detroit, I'd prefer to not play them in the first round, and I certainly don't look forward to playing a Game 7 in Cleveland.