Let's look at this roster before we dismiss this team, because we might end up seeing them in the first round (remember, this is the east):
Harris / Dooling
Carter / Harris
Simmons / Hayes
Jianlian / Williams
Boone / Lopez
They have a very solid back court, probably rated better than ours by most accounts. Harris is very good, the Dooling signing will allow him to play off the ball for stretches, and Carter is a perennial all-star.
They should be fine at small forward, with Simmons providing solid defense and replacing about 70% of Jefferson's scoring. Hayes is a decent backup, and CDR has some upside.
The front court is where things get interesting. They have some offensive options with Jianlian and Lopez, and defensive options with Boone (Better numbers than Perk last season, in equal time) and Williams. I think coach Frank will probably get them all around 24 minutes per night until one group emerges. Najera and Swift seem completely redundant, but might get some burn if the young guys stink.
With a very good back court and solid small forward, this team will win as many games as their young front court lets them. I predict between 32-38 wins next season.
SF Simmons/Hayes This is the most substandard SF duo in the league. These guys are #3 SFs on a real roster (if they manages to stay healthy), not starters.
The centers are untested and limited. The PFs are untested too. One has no offense and the other has no defense. Vince Carter is a front running slug. How many games before this guy goes off the reservation (or conveniently gets injured)this season? I give it 30.
I guess there's a chance that this team might win 30 games, but more likely it will implode.