Reason 1. I don't think Boston can exploit miami's lack of size the
Way Indy could. Love KG, but his whole Career we all wished he would play down low more. And Brandon Bass with his back to the basket is a rare sighting. But he's no where near as effective as KG down low.
Reason 2. There is one days rest in between games, which clearly favors the heat. No explanation needed here.
Reason 3. Paul Pierce won't have a good series. Seems like he is still a bit gimpy and lebron previously held Melo in the 30th percentile in a series. Pierce is a hof but with all do respect Melo is a tougher cover today. I mean the only shots I remember Pierce hitting we're the wide open 3s where lebron fell asleep on defense. ( not to mention he has the task of guarding the best player in the world)
Reason 4. I watch the C's struggle against a younger athletic Philly team. Miami plays a lot like Philly but Iggy < Lebron and Holiday < Wade.
Reason 5. I have too much respect for the heart of a champion to predict a sweep. I think Boston wins game 3 realizing their season is on the line, but Miami wins games 4 and 5.
This is just a fan's opinion, feel free to disagree or voice your opinion I love to talk bball. Go heat!