Author Topic: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it  (Read 24472 times)

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Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #75 on: August 12, 2010, 11:38:38 AM »

Offline Levis107

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I agree with nickagneta that Varejao is the best defensive PF in the league.  People on this board are going to overrate KG.  He's still a very good defensive player but nowhere near what he used to be. I don't think Gasol would have destroyed AV like he did Garnett in the Finals.  Also, when talking about KG people keep using the phrase "when healthy".  Why does everyone assume KG has just been hurt and is going to magically become 2008 KG?  I love KG, but the guy is old and had a serious knee injury.  I think the player we saw last season is the player he is now.  Big men don't usually get better in their mid-30's.  They tend to decline.  History has shown us that.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #76 on: August 12, 2010, 12:24:37 PM »

Offline BballTim

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I agree with nickagneta that Varejao is the best defensive PF in the league.  People on this board are going to overrate KG.  He's still a very good defensive player but nowhere near what he used to be. I don't think Gasol would have destroyed AV like he did Garnett in the Finals.  Also, when talking about KG people keep using the phrase "when healthy".  Why does everyone assume KG has just been hurt and is going to magically become 2008 KG?  I love KG, but the guy is old and had a serious knee injury.  I think the player we saw last season is the player he is now.  Big men don't usually get better in their mid-30's.  They tend to decline.  History has shown us that.

  In no particular order:

  KG isn't the defender he used to be. That is true. But AV is also nowhere near being the defender KG was either.

  While I agree that big men don't generally get better in their 30s, I'm not sure that it's the case that 34 is too old to recover from a knee injury.

  I don't think that anyone's claimed that they expect KG to return to his 2008 form, but being at least as good as he was in the playoffs is reasonable to expect.

  Gasol "destroyed" KG for the first 2 games of the series, averaging 24 on 63% shooting. For the next 5 Pau got 16 a game on 42% shooting, while KG was getting 17 a game on 54% shooting.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #77 on: August 12, 2010, 12:26:19 PM »

Offline Fafnir

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Gasol did destroy KG on the glass consistently, but that's not exactly the same as defense at least when I talk about it.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #78 on: August 12, 2010, 12:45:51 PM »

Offline LooseCannon

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I agree with nickagneta that Varejao is the best defensive PF in the league.  People on this board are going to overrate KG.  He's still a very good defensive player but nowhere near what he used to be.

KG once performed at such a high level that a KG in decline is still in the conversation for best PF in the NBA, since no one plays as well as Garnett used to play.

Some people overrate KG because they assume he is just as good as he used to be, but some people underrate him because they think that losing a step has to mean he is no longer a great player.

We can debate about which of the two is better or whether either of them is the best defensive power forward in the league right now, but I'd be curious to see how many people are willing to argue that at least one of them is not in the top five on defense at the position.  (You automatically fail if you don't name five better defenders at the 4.)
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Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #79 on: August 12, 2010, 12:48:41 PM »

Offline drza44

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BTW, drza I wasn't trying to pull out any "optimists" versus "realists" crap again.

I said I'm all for being positive, but like to stay grounded. Your OP really gave off a vibe that you think we have improved as a team greatly because Shaq and KG were going to be returning on a regular basis to the players they once were. The perception that OP gave me is that this team, in your opinion, has improved significantly.

I disagree with that. I said that I thought they were as good now as they were in June. Well, that's good enough to be 4 points short of being a World Champion. I don't think that's being negative. I just think that's about where they are.

The team added two centers that are better offensively but poorer defensively than the players they are replacing(and BTW one of the reasons they put up better offensive numbers on their teams is because they were given the ball a lot more than the centers in the Celtic offense were). They lost their defensive oriented wing and haven't replaced him. They replaced Scal with Harangody and the rookie Gaffney with the rookie Bradley. Perk is now basically taking Shelden's role.

That doesn't appear to me to be much more than a sideways move in total. Which, given the fact that they lost their centers to injury and retirement is an amazing feat. Truly amazing in my book!!!! Great job Danny Ainge!!!!

I don't think I'm being overly "negative" or pulling out the "realist" card. That's my view of things.



Nick, I definitely respect your (or anyone's, for that matter) opinion.  In fact, that may even be part of what touched my nerves a bit...a poster that I respect responded to my post, not with "I see what you mean, but I disagree for xxx reasons..." but instead with a bullet point lists of opinions that run counter, but stated as though they were fact.  And not just stated, but with the touch of condescension that permeated a lot of exchanges last year (i.e. you've got to stay grounded...your stance is too much positivity...etc.).  Anyway, I wasn't trying to jump down your throat about it either...more just trying to emphasize that I'm not just being a blind optimist here, that there are very legitimate basketall reasons to think our team has improved solidly since last year.

And I still believe we did.  Not because I think KG and Shaq are going to suddenly become what they were 5 years ago.  But because of who they are now...they're older versions of what they were, but their skill-sets are still similar.  And neither has ever played with another player capable of meshing so well with the other.  KG's weaknesses are compensated by Shaq's strengths, and vice versa.  And those strengths/weaknesses blend perfectly, IMO, with what this team needs.

As I pointed out before, one big area where we seem to disagree is that I don't see Perk/Sheed to Shaq/Jermaine as a lateral move at all.  Shaq and Jermaine, I believe, are still better players that can do more to help this team than Perk and Sheed could last year.  I think Perk's impact is very replaceable, and we've added 2 players that each would have a bigger impact on this team.  And one of those two has the skillset and capacity, even now, to raise the ceiling on what this team can do.  Which, as you've surmised, was the point of this thread.  But where we seem to disagree is upon whether my stance is too much positivity, or merely just illuminating some points of view that aren't the common belief right now. 

I don't mind if we disagree on that, as long as we do it cordially and with respect.  Because in a couple of months we'll start getting the evidence that shows that I'm right and you're wrong, so I'll get to feel vindicated then.   8)

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #80 on: August 12, 2010, 01:00:12 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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TP4U drza. Stay sunny.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #81 on: August 12, 2010, 01:39:21 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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they are both pretty severely washed up.   LIke putting Toronto Hakeem with Sonics Ewing.

We shall see.  I'd liken Shaq more to David Robinson of 2002 or 2003, and I just think your flat way off the mark on KG.  Bug again, we'll see.
Come on... KG's 14 and 7 was about equal to Jermaine O'Neal last year (another washed up big man).   Those numbers are just going to dive more this year.  KG is old.

Shaq averaged 12 and 6 as a starter... getting bench minutes means he'll probably average 6 and 3 on this team.

I imagine KG will put up numbers equal to Ewing on the SOnics... while Shaq might put up Raptors Hakeem numbers.   


Hakeem w/ Toronto (01-02): 22 min. 7 pts/ 6 rebounds  Age: 39
Ewing w/ Seattle (00-01) 26 min. 9 pts/7 rebounds   Age: 39

LarBrd33 is correct that the Hakeem and Ewing stats could be replicated by KG and Shaq.
However, my opinion is that if Shaq can avge 9 and 7 in 15-20 minutes I won't be disappointed. 
I do expect more from KG and while it's possible that he deteriorates next year to Toronto Hakeem or Sonics Ewing, it would be a very pessimistic expectation.

Hakeem at 36 years old = 19/9
Ewing at 36 years old = 23/11

age aside... this is KG's 16th year.   Ewing in his 16th year averaged 9 and 7.  That's about what i expect from washed up KG this year.

Age aside... Hakeem only played 18 years... this is Shaq's 19th... 7 points and 6 rebounds is optimistic. 

KG is washed up?  Shaq will optimistically be a 7/6 guy?
You've assessed Jermaine, KG and Shaq as washed up and Perk is injured.

I have to conclude that you are either intentionally trying to agitate, or you have already written off the C's for 2010-11. That would be a stance very few folks would agree with. 

This team was 4 points from an NBA championship 3 months ago, While you may turn out to be correct about the old bigs, you are taking pessimism to a level not seen here since the days of Scintan. 

What you call pessimism... I call realism. 

Boston will still be good, because they have some crafty vets and a solid core.  Pierce can still drop 20.   Rondo is a top 10 point guard.   But the bigs are washed up.  *shrug*

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #82 on: August 12, 2010, 01:42:08 PM »

Offline drza44

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TP4U drza. Stay sunny.

TP back atcha.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #83 on: August 12, 2010, 02:02:11 PM »

Offline jdpapa3

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Varejao is great on pick and rolls and help defense, but is not great in straight up post up situations.

According to mysynergysports...

Varejao allowed .88 PPP in post ups

For reference: Glen Davis let up .65 PPP in post ups!

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #84 on: August 12, 2010, 02:34:54 PM »

Offline bucknersrevenge

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BTW, drza I wasn't trying to pull out any "optimists" versus "realists" crap again.

I said I'm all for being positive, but like to stay grounded. Your OP really gave off a vibe that you think we have improved as a team greatly because Shaq and KG were going to be returning on a regular basis to the players they once were. The perception that OP gave me is that this team, in your opinion, has improved significantly.

I disagree with that. I said that I thought they were as good now as they were in June. Well, that's good enough to be 4 points short of being a World Champion. I don't think that's being negative. I just think that's about where they are.

The team added two centers that are better offensively but poorer defensively than the players they are replacing(and BTW one of the reasons they put up better offensive numbers on their teams is because they were given the ball a lot more than the centers in the Celtic offense were). They lost their defensive oriented wing and haven't replaced him. They replaced Scal with Harangody and the rookie Gaffney with the rookie Bradley. Perk is now basically taking Shelden's role.

That doesn't appear to me to be much more than a sideways move in total. Which, given the fact that they lost their centers to injury and retirement is an amazing feat. Truly amazing in my book!!!! Great job Danny Ainge!!!!

I don't think I'm being overly "negative" or pulling out the "realist" card. That's my view of things.



Nick, I definitely respect your (or anyone's, for that matter) opinion.  In fact, that may even be part of what touched my nerves a bit...a poster that I respect responded to my post, not with "I see what you mean, but I disagree for xxx reasons..." but instead with a bullet point lists of opinions that run counter, but stated as though they were fact.  And not just stated, but with the touch of condescension that permeated a lot of exchanges last year (i.e. you've got to stay grounded...your stance is too much positivity...etc.).  Anyway, I wasn't trying to jump down your throat about it either...more just trying to emphasize that I'm not just being a blind optimist here, that there are very legitimate basketall reasons to think our team has improved solidly since last year.

And I still believe we did.  Not because I think KG and Shaq are going to suddenly become what they were 5 years ago.  But because of who they are now...they're older versions of what they were, but their skill-sets are still similar.  And neither has ever played with another player capable of meshing so well with the other.  KG's weaknesses are compensated by Shaq's strengths, and vice versa.  And those strengths/weaknesses blend perfectly, IMO, with what this team needs.

As I pointed out before, one big area where we seem to disagree is that I don't see Perk/Sheed to Shaq/Jermaine as a lateral move at all.  Shaq and Jermaine, I believe, are still better players that can do more to help this team than Perk and Sheed could last year.  I think Perk's impact is very replaceable, and we've added 2 players that each would have a bigger impact on this team.  And one of those two has the skillset and capacity, even now, to raise the ceiling on what this team can do.  Which, as you've surmised, was the point of this thread.  But where we seem to disagree is upon whether my stance is too much positivity, or merely just illuminating some points of view that aren't the common belief right now. 

I don't mind if we disagree on that, as long as we do it cordially and with respect.  Because in a couple of months we'll start getting the evidence that shows that I'm right and you're wrong, so I'll get to feel vindicated then.   8)

I agree here though Shaq is definitely not starting. Doc hasn't officially said those exact words on camera but I've seen it reported in local papers as well as an ESPN blog that when Doc talked to Shaq in Orlando earlier this offseason he told Shaq straight up "I don't have 30 min(a game) for you here. I have 20-25." Shaq mentioned in an interview before the press conference he was comfortable coming off the bench as if he already knew that was the plan and I believe it was because Doc had already laid it out for him. JO on the other hand I believe will get the 30 min though and considering he was purported to be the unanimous choice by several Celtics to be brought in to replace Perk I expect him to start barring injury.
Never underestimate the predictability of stupidity...

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #85 on: August 12, 2010, 02:36:25 PM »

Offline Fafnir

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Varejao is great on pick and rolls and help defense, but is not great in straight up post up situations.

According to mysynergysports...

Varejao allowed .88 PPP in post ups

For reference: Glen Davis let up .65 PPP in post ups!
What is KG?

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #86 on: August 12, 2010, 03:00:54 PM »

Offline jdpapa3

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Varejao is great on pick and rolls and help defense, but is not great in straight up post up situations.

According to mysynergysports...

Varejao allowed .88 PPP in post ups

For reference: Glen Davis let up .65 PPP in post ups!
What is KG?

Sorry, should've put this initially: .744 PPP. And for the record, both he and AV had about 4x as many possessions counted than BBD.

Perk : .766

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #87 on: August 12, 2010, 03:04:50 PM »

Offline Fafnir

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Varejao is great on pick and rolls and help defense, but is not great in straight up post up situations.

According to mysynergysports...

Varejao allowed .88 PPP in post ups

For reference: Glen Davis let up .65 PPP in post ups!
What is KG?

Sorry, should've put this initially: .744 PPP. And for the record, both he and AV had about 4x as many possessions counted than BBD.

Perk : .766
Glad to see that it confirms what I saw this year, there are only a few bigs I don't feel good with KG guarding in the post.

(Howard, Bynum, Bogut, Shaq are the four that pop into my head all Centers whom he shouldn't take for long stretches with our roster)

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #88 on: August 12, 2010, 03:31:56 PM »

Offline nickagneta

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Varejao is great on pick and rolls and help defense, but is not great in straight up post up situations.

According to mysynergysports...

Varejao allowed .88 PPP in post ups

For reference: Glen Davis let up .65 PPP in post ups!
What is KG?

Sorry, should've put this initially: .744 PPP. And for the record, both he and AV had about 4x as many possessions counted than BBD.

Perk : .766
According to 82games.com Varejao played 20% of his team's minutes at the center position and 30% of his team's  minutes at power forward position. KG on the other hand played 50% of his team;s minutes at the power forward position and less than 1% of his team's minutes at the center position.

This difference could indicate why Varejao's PPP on post up's is higher as he was forced to guard a lot more low post oriented big men than KG had to in playing centers so much. That does not mean I think KG is a worse low post defender than Varejao, on the contrary, even without the lift he once had, KG's posr defense is better than Varejao's. I just don't think it's as wide a difference as that metric makes it look like.

Re: Shaq and Garnett...I'll be the one to say it
« Reply #89 on: August 12, 2010, 05:49:37 PM »

Offline ScoobyDoo

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I think Varejo blows on defense. He's overrated. Once it starts getting real physical, when it matters most, he disappears. That's about the time KG starts making his presence felt the most.

If I'm going into a battle and I need D from the PF spot and someone asked me "should we take KG or Varejo?" I think I'd just stare at them with a blank, confused look on my face. 

For me, that's league wide and to this day. There isn't anyone I'd take over KG, defensively, at the PF spot.