I was one of the posters willing to "throw away" the chance to rebuild 3 and 4 years from now by giving posey what he wanted, 4 years at the mle.
by doing this, imho, we would have has the best possible chance to win the next two years, meaning 3 in a row, and then deal with the consequences after. we could have still signed either tony or House but probably not both. and i think we make late season pickups to fill needs the next two seasons. I think the OBryant as back up will work well, because i have fath that we will be able to fix laziness when he is surrounded by KG, Cliff Ray, Perk, Powe and all.
By not signing Posey, imho, we have decreased out chances of winning the next two years. Just mo. But surely we have dramatically increased the possibility of picking up a key fa or even two, in summer 2010. Will that matter? It will if kg has 2-3 good years after that, and other things fall into place, like Perk, RR, and some of the other young guys getting a lot better.
But lets look at this year and the hyberbole of some of us thinking it may well be a reasonable gamble on DA's part to lose Posey and try to fill his minutes.
its simple actually. Posey played 22 mpg. we can easily fill the minutes with quality and by playing bigger much more often. Tony doesn't have to be a world beater. Either does OBryant. I expect perk to improve more than marginally and play 5 more minutes a game. I expect the combo of Powe and Baby to play 3-5 more minutes a game. I do think OBryant will be able to play 12 and be solid at time and improving. Its more likely than not that its a good fit for him and we rub off on him. Is it really a stretch that we get a total of 20-22 more minutes from Perk, baby, Powe, and OBryant than last year? Is it really hype to expect good minutes from these guys?
As far as TA goes, I think he gets 5-7 more minutes. i also expect him to more than just marginally better. Say one notch. less to's. fewer dumb fouls. better finishing at the hoop. i don't think we need a lot more than that from him. i do think he and rajon will shot better from 15 feet on out by a few points too. Is that too much to expect?
I really think that this year the big 3 will play as well as last year. they will be better integrated; KG will not play center as much; Ray will be healthier.
What we lose with James is smarts, guts and clutch play. We are taking the chance that we are still better than everyone else and won't need this as much. I wouldn't have taken this chance but its not idiotic either. and i do think we will pick up a clutch shooter who can spread the floor when its becomes clearer that is what we are missing and that we are getting good enough play elsewhere. i wish I knew who the perfect guys for that would be. I don't.
We will be ok i think and its not hype to expect some improvement at areas that will fill in for James at least during the reg season