I agree with SVG here:
https://twitter.com/realStanVG/status/1599149225132322817?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
To me the College Football Playoff makes no sense to me. Playing in your conference championship game should never work against you. Why should it be advantage for Ohio State and Alabama to sit home while USC and TCU have to play an extra game against a nationally ranked team?
Anyways, my guess at the Top-4 now
1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. TCU
4. Ohio State
TCU only lost by 3 in OT to a #10 K-State team on a neutral site, and still finished the whole season with 1-loss like Ohio State. I think that + the idea of having matchups of Georgia-Ohio State, Michigan-TCU would entice the Committee to keep TCU at 3 and move Ohio State to 4.
But if the Committee really, really wants an OSU-MI rematch, they'll put Ohio State at 4 and TCU 3. But I'll be honest, if it's TCU-Georgia I think that'll be a Georgia blowout and not as enticing.
Under SVG’s theory, shouldn’t USC be top-4 as well?
They definitely should.
Unfortunately though I don't think they'll look at it that way. Maybe if USC were undefeated and this were their first loss, but this is their second loss and honestly they got demolished. And their 2 losses this season came to the same team (Utah)
But personally I'd agree. If you were asking for my personal opinion on what it'd be, I'd still say:
1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. TCU
4. USC
I definitely think they'll look over this in the coming year as to how conference championship games should affect the formulas/algorithms as it's not always fair to some teams
I mean Alabama and Ohio State were just sitting at home over the past week, I have no clue how they should just be able to potentially take a spot over another team that played an extra week compared to others, and against another good team (ex. TCU played the #10 ranked team in the country, USC played the #11 ranked)