They're gonna have to do daily covid-19 testing each day before they play
this may not be the panacea we hope it will be. if a false negative comes up on a test and a player infects everyone else on the team....what then?
Also, the testing right now has difficulty detecting COVID-19 during its very early stages.
I have read a wide range of estimates on the accuracy of testing that the depend upon the test itself, the person being tested, the stage of the virus, and more. testing is good, but not remotely fool proof.
so, what happens if (when?) 3, 4, 6, or 10 players on a team comes down with the virus?
i am saying here that the process of bringing back players may be a lot more complicated than the NBA is indicating right now.
From what we know of the virus, which is a lot more than we knew back when the NBA shut down, it is highly unlikely that any NBA player would suffer life threatening symptoms. They are all young, pro athletes with no obesity, cardiovascular disease, or diabetes (assuming no diabetes for the vast majority if not all of them). They will very likely be ok.
I'm sure all players , coaches and refs will be instructed to distance themselves from friends and family members until a few weeks after they finish play for the season.
The people who will be most at risk are the older coaches and refs. They could go strictly with younger refs, but you can't expect teams with older coaches to go ahead without their head coach.
I would imagine if it starts spreading between players, it will reach a point of urgency around the time they get to the Conference or NBA Finals. Then they may hope for the best that the remaining 2-4 teams are not impacted much.
I keep hearing experts say that although we know more than we did in March, there is much unknown about Covid and it keeps throwing wrenches -- including what existing conditions increase the risk of complications. But of some of the things we do know - high blood pressure, diabetes, asthma - I guarantee some NBA players have these conditions. There also always a few overweight players (Glenn Davis and Jared Sullinger come to mind) who would add that risk factor. Additionally, there are likely other hidden conditions that players aren't even aware they have.
They should be thinking about maybe being back in October which is only 5 months from now for 20-21 -- and that could be premature even then.
I agree. It was only weeks ago that we thought children were extraordinarily unlikely to die. Now, we’re seeing Covid-related / Covid-adjacent syndromes killing kids in NY.
Yes, it’s billions of dollars, but scrap the season and get ready for next year.
So are you against the governments across the US opening up businesses? Because I am sure the NBA is much better positioned to handle re-opening than virtually every other business that requires in person interactions at the moment.
I think its obvious that states are opening up way too early, and people have thrown caution to the wind across the US. There's going to be a large second wave this summer imo. BUT, if anyone can manage reopening safely in a contained environment with proper testing, it's the NBA. They are positioned to set an example of how its done.
At the same time, the NBA is at about the very bottom in terms of essential businesses. Opening up just takes resources away from others that need them.
Neither are hair salons, ice cream parlors, bowling alleys, etc. but they are all opening across the country anyway.
Also, they are not taking away any resources if they follow their proposed plan. They will generate more resources for everyone. They propose to donate a certain number of tests to the general public for every test they use themselves. They are also able to serve as role models for how to safely and properly reopen. The NBA leadership is very smart and very in-tune with health and safety issues as well as public perception. I think Silver and co. see this as an opportunity to lead the way by example for the rest of the US, which is all opening regardless.
Btw, you failed to answer my question of whether you are against business reopening across the US then? Should hair dressers, bowling alleys, etc , who have no expertise or resources to maintain safety reopen, but the NBA which is much more capable of establishing and executing safety procedures stay closed?
Don't forget that NBA remaining closed does not affect only the wealthy NBA players and owners. There are a lot of employees associated with each organization who are not wealthy that will suffer significantly from the league staying closed.
For example:
''With no clear indication of when our businesses can fully reopen, we have made the difficult yet necessary decision to furlough a portion of our employees,'' Jim Olsen, the organization's president, said in a statement. The furloughs affect Jazz employees, workers at the team's arena, a chain of movie theatres and the Los Angeles Angels' minor league baseball affiliate in Salt Lake."
https://sports.yahoo.com/nba-teams-start-reopen-testing-plan-begins-emerging-221058807--nba.html